She was a two shot witness in the sense that she could recall only two shots for sure. She did say to the FBI that she could not be sure that there were not additional shots.
In any event, she is still a "JFK reacted to the first shot" witness.
But her "first shot" is still the one before the fatal head shot. It's actually the second shot in most LN three-shot scenarios. She's misplaced the first of the three shots (the one many term the "backfire" or "firecracker") because nothing unusual happened (like a person reacting as if they had been shot) and the crowd behaved as they did before the first shot.
Your speculation that the first shot did not register with her is not evidence. Your premise that someone can hear an ear-shattering noise and then another a few seconds later and forget that they heard the first one is, on its face, a bit absurd. You would need some empirical evidence that this can and does occur often in humans.
Meanwhile, your theory requires that "two shot" witnesses fail to register your Z271 second shot. This is after the crowd had (per your theory) been alerted to the President reacting on your Z195 first shot, so they should therefore be immediately concerned about any subsequent shots or happenings in the car.
As far as I can determine, Jean Newman was the woman to the left of the space and to the right of the man with the black hat (Ernie Brandt) in between the lamppost and the Thornton sign. She was opposite the President at about z197. Newman said that the first shot occurred as the motorcade had just passed her. That puts the first shot in the same place that dozens of others put it.
Roberdeau locates her between Templin and Burney. In any event, she supposedly is in that small group. She could still see the front of the limousine by Z200.
Jean Newman is a two-shot witness. The jump-and-duck shot occurred when "the motorcade had just passed" and before the head shot. Her Nov 24th affidavit states: "A car carrying the President and another person had just passed her when she heard a report and saw the President jump, raising his hands to his chest area." The SBT Z223 shot fits with what Jean Newman saw.
In fact, not a single witness puts the shot anywhere near z160 where you put it and others definitively put it much later (for example: Hughes stopped filming about z187 and said he stopped before it;
The Connallys and Mrs. Kennedy said they turned their heads to their right upon hearing the first shot. The Connallys begin doing so in the Z160s and Jackie at Z172.
Hughes says he stopped filming about five seconds before the shots were heard; but Z185 is about 1/2 second before your theory's first shot at Z195. Seems unlikely Hughes would characterize 1/2 seconds as five seconds.
What if Hughes (like other witnesses) wasn't that alarmed by a late-Z150 missed shot (and so didn't include its moment in time in his recollections)? A second shot at ca.Z223 is over two seconds from when Hughes stopped filming.
Betzner said it was after his z186 photo;
Betzner said he was looking down to wind his camera when he heard the first of two shots he later recalled, the latter one being the head shot. So the winding-the-camera shot he heard could be the shot heard before the head shot. In a three-shot scenario, Betzner has lost track of one of those shots.
As Betzner goes out of the Zapruder film in Z207, he is still lowering his camera and is not looking down. Assuming he winds his camera shortly thereafter, it is an argument that the shot he heard while winding the camera was the proposed SBT shot at Z223.
motorcade witnesses said the VP car had just finished its turn and the VP security car was almost finished its turn - both are still turning at z191).
At Z160, the VP car is about 70? turned off of Houston Street. I would imagine they would be looking down Elm and not dead straight ahead through the windshield.
And where do you see that occur before z206? His arm appears to have dropped slightly by z206 from its highest position at z193.
Include the amount it dropped while he was behind the sign. This is very near to Dishong and something that impressed her. She said a loud noise occurred when Kennedy was very near to her and after he had dropped his arm.
A "horrible ear-shattering noise" was forgotten within 3 seconds? What on earth are you basing that on? This is not only speculation, it is speculation that is contrary to normal human experience. People observe/hear things and just because they don't understand immediately what caused it doesn't mean it vanishes from their consciousness.
It's better to believe "two shot" witnesses would lose track of your second shot at Z271? After how alert they are and concerned having heard and supposedly witnessed a bullet strike on your theory's first shot at Z195?
June Dishong was about 4-5 feet from Jean Newman - a one-person space plus one person between them, which puts the President directly opposite her at about z200.
She sees even more than Newman of the front of the car at Z200.
She did not give a statement to the FBI but she did write out a vivid description of the events - undated but apparently written shortly after the events. It came to light only after her death in 1998. You have given part of what she said but here is a bit more to provide context:
The source is from a post by Don Roberdeau who is pretty reliable.
When she says "another shot", it can't mean the second shot because no one threw themselves to the ground until the head shot.
?? That's your take? He was smiling and waving - hardly looking like he had been shot!! Westbrook was to the immediate left of June Dishong so she was opposite JFK around z198-200.
She was oblique to JFK, as was Dishong and Jean Newman.
"After the first shot was fired I saw the President's hands gradually come up".
Between Z162 and Z193, the President's right hand gradually raises up fairly high ("
I thought he was going to hold up his hands and say 'Ah, you got me.'")
