The evidence is: Tomlinson found a bullet and that he gave it to Wright; Wright gave that same bullet to Johnson; Johnson gave the bullet he received from Wright to Rowley; Rowley gave it to Todd; Todd marked it with his initials and it was produced as CE399.
Sorry. I assumed you could reason. If Tomlinson found a bullet that was not CE399 then someone must have switched it with CE399 at some point before Todd put his initials on it .
There is a chain of custody. You just don't think the witnesses are being truthful when they said that the bullet that was handed to them was the one they passed on.
So we disagree on language. An inference is a conclusion based on evidence and reasoning. An assumption is not based on either necessarily. It is usually based on experience but is subject to being rebutted by evidence.
It depends on the quality of the investigation. If there has been a thorough investigation that ought to have turned up some evidence of involvement of others if it existed then, yes: absence of evidence is probative of absnce of a conspiracy. Just like evidence of whether it rained. If I look ouside on the street, sidewalk, grass, deck, windows, rain barrel and there is no sign of water I can reasonably conclude that it did not rain.
I keep looking. If my window is wet I conclude that it rained.
The evidence is: Tomlinson found a bullet and that he gave it to Wright; Wright gave that same bullet to Johnson; Johnson gave the bullet he received from Wright to Rowley; Rowley gave it to Todd; Todd marked it with his initials and it was produced as CE399. In other words; you just assume it was the same bullet all the way down the line because you take Todd's word for it. Got it. You seem to go above and beyond what that WC was willing to accept initially, as they asked the FBI to investigate the chain of custody for CE399 which prompted the production of the questionable (and in my opinion deceitful) FBI memo included in CE2011. The WC must have had a reason for their request, don't you think? Any idea what that reason could have been?
Sorry. I assumed you could reason. If Tomlinson found a bullet that was not CE399 then someone must have switched it with CE399 at some point before Todd put his initials on it . Wow, amazing reasoning. And how do we deal with the fact that, in an interview with Josiah Thompson, in November 1966, O.P. Wright said that the bullet he handled had a pointed tip? And not only that, but when shown photos of CE399, CE572 and CE606 Wright rejected all of them as resembling the bullet Tomlinson had found on the stretcher. Was Wright lying?
There is a chain of custody. You just don't think the witnesses are being truthful when they said that the bullet that was handed to them was the one they passed on. Oh they were being truthful alright about having passed on a bullet. But all four collectively failed to confirm that CE399 was the bullet they had passed on. And so, we keep going round in circles. You are unable to show that the bullet they passed on was indeed CE399, yet you are willing to accept that it was based on..... nothing at all!
Bottom line; all you have evidence for is that
a bullet was passed on by four men until it arrived at the FBI Lab in Washington and despite the fact that you can not rule out the possibility that the bullet was substituted you simply assume that the bullet the men passed on must have been CE399. Never mind what Wright told Thompson, never mind the obvious shenanigans that went on, in mid 1964, with SA Odum, CE2011 and SAC Shanklin's Airtel....and - let's not forget - never mind General Walker's claim that his bullet was also substituted.
If you shut the doors and windows real tight for the storm that is raging outside, you might just end up concluding that everything is so quiet that there simply can't be a storm raging outside.