Where's all your Ma and Pa Kettles, Royell? They left Donald Trump. Now that Biden has nearly all the white voters Donald Trump has, this is going to be a landslide.
Trump’s Lead with White Voters Has Nearly VanishedNate Cohn: “Remarkably, Mr. Trump’s lead among white voters has all but vanished. On average, he holds just a three-point lead among white voters, 48 percent to 45 percent, across an average of high-quality telephone surveys since June 1. His lead among white voters has steadily diminished since April.”
“In the long view, the president’s losses among white voters compared with his final standing in 2016 polls are broad, spanning all major demographic categories. In more recent months, the president’s losses have been somewhat narrower and concentrated among younger voters.”
https://politicalwire.com/2020/07/24/trumps-lead-with-white-voters-has-nearly-vanished/Trump’s Suburban Horror Show“Donald Trump says Joe Biden wants to abolish the suburbs. But polls show a different truth: The suburbs want to abolish Donald Trump,” Politico reports.
“If current numbers hold, the Republican Party will suffer its worst defeat in the suburbs in decades — with implications reaching far beyond November.”
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/07/25/trumps-suburban-nightmare-376823Florida Moves to Lean DemocratCook Political Report: “Given its track record in presidential campaigns over the last 20 years, it’s hard to think of Florida as anything other than a Toss Up. Since 2000, the winner of the state has never carried it by more than 5 points. In fact, in four of the last five presidential elections, the winner squeaked in by 3 points or less.”
“But, at this point, this battleground state looks less like a 50-50 proposition and more like a state that is leaning Biden’s way.”
The consensus electoral map now shows Joe Biden at 320 electoral votes with Donald Trump at 125 and 93 as Toss Ups.https://politicalwire.com/2020/07/24/florida-moves-to-lean-democrat/Coronavirus Response Sinks GOP GovernorsA new SurveyMonkey poll finds Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey, and Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp — all Republicans — saw their ratings take a nosedive this month as coronavirus cases skyrocketed in their states.
https://politicalwire.com/2020/07/24/coronavirus-response-sinks-gop-governors/Trump’s Most Important 2016 Donor Sits Out 2020“Robert and Rebekah Mercer ranked among President Trump’s most influential backers in 2016. But they’ve all but abandoned the embattled president and aren’t likely to help him in the home stretch for 2020,” Business Insider reports.
Said one associate: “They’re 100, 100, 100% out.”
https://politicalwire.com/2020/07/24/trumps-most-important-2016-donor-sits-out-2020/Trump’s Convention Cancellation Costs Millions“President Trump’s whipsaw decisions to first move the Republican National Convention’s in-person main events, then to cancel them are costing GOP donors millions of dollars,” NBC News reports.
“Of the $38 million raised by the host committee for the convention’s original location — Charlotte, North Carolina — the majority has been spent, the Republican officials said. The host committee in Jacksonville, Florida, where Trump had moved the convention, raised an additional $6 million, but GOP officials said much of that money remains.”
“Now, the president’s team is searching not only for a new stage from which he can deliver a speech accepting his party’s nomination for a second term, but also a way to appease Republicans who have nothing to show for their donations.”
https://politicalwire.com/2020/07/24/trumps-convention-cancellation-costs-millions/How the U.S. Compares with the World on the Virus“The surge in the United States is so extreme that, once adjusted for population… 10 states are recording more new cases than any country in the world,” the New York Times reports.
Trump’s Response to Protests May Cost Him ElectionNew battleground polling provided to Vanity Fair suggests that the Black Lives Matter protests themselves “changed America’s opinions about race so quickly, and so profoundly, that Trump unknowingly planted himself even further on the wrong side of public opinion than previously understood.”
“Avalanche found resounding support for the protests not just among Biden supporters, but among persuadable voters and even soft Trump supporters. The hardcore Vote Trump respondents were against the protests, with 56% opposing them. But among the softer Lean Trump set, an eye-opening 59% said the protesters were ‘completely right’ or ‘somewhat right’—probably not what the president had in mind when he commandeered Lafayette Square. And 72% of Americans with Mixed Feelings about the presidential race—precious undecided voters—said the protesters were right too.”
“But just as remarkable were the shifts among those persuadables in the 10 days between June 1 and June 11, a window that opened with burning cities and Trump’s march to St. John’s Church, but concluded with mostly peaceful demonstrations nationwide. During that period Avalanche found that support for the protests grew 10 points among Mixed Feelings voters, 14 points among Lean Biden voters, and a head-spinning 25 points among Lean Trump voters.”
Said pollster Michiah Prull: “I had never in my research career seen public opinion shift on the scale in this time frame.”
https://politicalwire.com/2020/07/24/trumps-response-to-protests-may-cost-him-election/This poll is the cherry on top. Eat your cherry Royell. Donald Trump is losing.
