Seriously @Andrew Mason: ARE YOU OK ?
Because suggesting that JC was hit in the back by the FIRST shot!?? Which you suggest was fired at Z195? ( when Willis girl stops running), is like REALLY pushing the plausibility meter far into the red zone imo
And if JC were hit at Z195, the forward motion of his right shoulder would not be starting at Z224-225, but would have occurred at the moment of impact at Z195-96 thus at Z223 his right shoulder would already be turned and he would have already probably my be clutching his hat and raising it up.
I’m not adverse entirely to trying to work out that a 1st shot was fired thru the tree foliage because Maybe the 6th floor shooter whether Oswald or some one else, had some experience at shooting thru foliage ( like a Vietnam sniper for example) thus it’s not necessarily implausible to have shot thru the tree foliage.
However, imo,your theory would work better if the 1st shot was at. Approx Z 170 so that there’s not only the required 2.3 secs to fire again the MC rifle at Z224, but the angle for Z170 shot makes it higher probability to bypass JFKs right shoulder.