Why do you need me to say that it is "possible" that I'm incorrect when I've already indicated it is conjecture based upon what is known about Oswald
Everything you think you know about Oswald is what others have told you and you have no way to verify if it is true or not. That, by itself, makes any opinion you have speculative. Add to this that you accept that it is possible that your conjecture is wrong and you end up with a meritless insignificant opinion of which the veracity can not be verified. This in turn makes it a complete waste of time to "address the substance of the discussion".
formulate reasoned conjecture about his state of mind.
Which is just another way of saying; because I believe what others have told me about Oswald, I can now make up stuff based upon that belief.
Wow. This statement is breathtaking in the scope of its stupidity. Even from you. I can't believe that you actually own up to this. Apply this lunatic contrarian standard to any person or event in history. It effectively precludes ever reaching any conclusion or establishing a fact in world history. It does explain a lot, though, about the mindset of a contrarian.
Classic fallacious "reasoning". A breathtaking willingness to accept any unverifiable information to reach an idiotic [i.e. made up] conclusion about Oswald's state of mind and present it as fact.
Even worse, when called out about it, the LN fool falsely claims that not accepting unverifiable 'evidence' precludes ever reaching a conclusion about anything or establishing a fact.
All of it demonstrates that this particular LN (and a few more) don't care if evidence is authentic and verifiable as long as it offers a possibility to conclude that Oswald was guilty.
It's a bit like the Republicans constantly claiming they have evidence of wrong doing by Hillary Clinton and/or Joe Biden which they are never able to produce.
Both are equally pathetic and both are supported by "Richard Smith", making it perfectly clear with what kind of individual we are dealing here.