The study by Roselle and Scearce is pure nonsense.
The very worst metric, by a country mile, for establishing whether a shot was fired is looking at people turning their heads in a motorcade. It is utterly futile.
It's a motorcade!!
The occupants of the car are constantly turning their heads one way and another as people call out to them, as they talk among themselves, as motorcycles backfire and a thousand other reasons not related to gunfire.
To produce a study based solely on people turning their heads in a motorcade to establish when the first shot occurred is embarrassing. And that's all they do. It isn't tied in with witness statements or anything, it's just a meaningless examination of a silent film. And it wouldn't be so bad if the head turns were 'startle reactions' as they claim but not a single one of them is.
When people use the phrase "mountain of evidence" it is often used as a desperate exaggeration but in the case of when the first shot occurred there is indeed the proverbial mountain. For a truly in-depth examination of this particular topic see "The First Shot" thread.
Below is an example of the type of evidence used to establish that the first shot passed through both men at z222/z223
It's an analysis of the statements of every person in the Vice Presidential car and its follow-up car relating to when the first shot happened.
VICE PRESIDENTIAL CAR
Hurchel Jacks [Driver] -
"My car had just straightened up from making the left turn. I was looking directly at the President’s car at that time. At that time I heard a shot ring out..."
Rufus Youngblood [Passenger Seat] -
"The motorcade then made a left turn, and the sidewalk crowds
were beginning to diminish in size. I observed a grassy plot to my right in back of a small crowd...I heard an explosion…"
"As we were beginning to go down this incline, all of a sudden there was an explosive noise."
"We had straightened on Elm now and were beginning to move easily down the incline in the wake of the cars ahead. Suddenly there was an explosive noise..."
Senator Yarborough [back left] -
“as the motorcade went down the slope of Elm Street toward the railroad underpass, a rifle shot was heard by me; a loud blast..."
Lady Bird Johnson [back centre] -
“we were rounding a curve, going down a hill and suddenly there was a sharp loud report..."
"...suddenly in that brilliant sunshine there was a sharp rifle shot. It came, I thought, from over my right shoulder."
Lyndon Johnson [back right] -
"After we had proceeded a short way down Elm Street, I heard a sharp report."
VICE-PRESIDENTIAL FOLLOW-UP CAR
Joe Henry Rich [Driver] -
“We turned off of Houston Street onto Elm Street and that was when I heard the first shot."
Cliff Carter [passenger seat] -
"...our car had just made the left hand turn onto Elm and was right along side of the Texas School Book Depository Building when I heard a noise which sounded like a firecracker."
Jerry Kivett [back right] -
"As the motorcade was approximately 1/3 the way to the underpass, traveling between 10 and 15 miles per hour, I heard a loud noise..."
Warren Taylor [back centre] -
“Our automobile had just turned a corner (the names of the streets are unknown to me) when I heard a bang which sounded to me like a possible firecracker —the sound coming from my right rear."
Thomas (Lem) Johns [back right] -
"We turned onto Elm Street...We were going downhill...which put the Texas Book Depository on our right, more or less...But we were going down this Elm Street, with my door open. I heard at least two shots.."10 witnesses in 2 vehicles all corroborating each others statements. Not one or two ambiguous statements open to any kind of interpretation. Every single occupant of both cars are stating, basically, the same thing -
at the time of the first shot these cars had turned off Houston Street and were travelling down Elm.All that needs to be done now is to establish when both vehicles had completed the turn from Houston onto Elm and were travelling down the incline of Elm Street.
I've used the Motorcade Mapping program created by Mark Tyler and compared various positions of the Vice Presidential car and its follow-up car to determine when this moment occurs...when the cars line up with the collective statements of the occupants of both cars.
Z133
In the image above the Vice-Presidential car is marked 7 and the follow-up car 8. It is obvious from this image that both vehicles are still on Houston at the time of this proposed first shot and, as such, a shot around z133 (or before) is absolutely refuted by the 10 witness statements.
Z160
Again, we can clearly see that, although car 7 is well into it's turn, car 8 is still on Houston. The theory of a first shot around z160 is refuted.
Z190
It can be said that car 7 is now travelling down Elm but car 8 is still to complete the turn as specified by the occupants of this car and, as such, a shot around z190 is refuted by the witness statements.
Z223
This is the first moment the collective statements of all 10 vehicle occupants can be accurate.
It represents the moment both JFK and JBC are clearly seen to be having extreme physical reactions in the Zapruder film as they emerge from behind the Stemmons sign.
At his website, Pat Speer documents 44 witnesses who saw JFK react to the first shot - hands flying up to throat, slumping etc.
44 eyewitnesses!
This is proper evidence.
Examining the completely normal head turns of a tiny fraction of the people that can be seen in the Z-film is weak sauce indeed.