OK, conspiracy fans, I've gone back to the drawing board.
Here is what seems to me like a reasonably evidence-based, genuinely simple conspiracy theory that even a Fair & Reasonable Provisional Lone Nutter (F&RPLNer, my new category) can love. The only downside is that it isn’t sexy enough for the agenda-drive CTers who demand that LBJ and the CIA, FBI, DPD and Oodles and Gobs of Others be involved.
1. It’s a fully pro-Castro conspiracy. Oswald is no patsy.
2. On September 9, Oswald sees a newspaper article reporting Castro’s September 7 speech denouncing JFK and the CIA for plotting his assassination.
3. JFK’s trip to Texas is announced to the Dallas Morning News on September 25 and reported by them on September 26. The dates of November 21-22 and the inclusion of Dallas are part of the announcement.
4. Oswald arrives in Mexico City on September 27. Despite the apparent failure of the trip, he makes connections with other pro-Castro types and a possible assassination of JFK may have been mentioned, possibly even at the Cuban or Soviet Embassy.
5. Oswald returns to Dallas and begins to look for work. On October 16, he starts work at the TSBD. Perhaps an assassination plan begins to be formulated with another pro-Castro type since they know JFK will be in Dallas.
6. JFK’s motorcade route is published no later than November 19. Oswald now knows he’ll be sitting in the catbird seat on November 22. He contacts his assassination partner and they agree it’s a go.
7. They scout the area and decide the partner will be in or on the roof of the Dal-Tex Building, which is the same height as the TSBD. It’s perfect.
8. At the appointed time, both fire at JFK. Hence the witness testimony of two shots close together. Oswald’s first shot is the back wound, his second the one that hits Connally; he’s low and to the right on both shots. His partner fires the head shot.
9. They have agreed each is on his own after the assassination. They will rendezvous at the Texas Theater, wait a reasonable time, and make their way to Mexico. Oswald makes his way to the theater, as does his partner – or perhaps the partner sees the activity at the theater and vanishes.
10. Once arrested, there is nothing to be gained for Oswald by revealing the plot, so he adopts an uncooperative attitude and the partner forever remains an unknown.
Not perfect, I’ll admit, which is why I remain a F&RPLNer. But certainly more realistic and consistent with the evidence than the more elaborate Oswald-as-patsy, massive-cover-up theories.
Or, since we’re not trying to fool anyone with a patsy, perhaps the partner is on the Grassy Knoll and the head shot is indeed a frontal one. I prefer the Dal-Tex Building, however, because the risks would be fewer and an escape much easier.