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JFK Assassination Plus General Discussion & Debate => JFK Assassination Plus General Discussion And Debate => Topic started by: Joe Elliott on September 09, 2020, 01:44:14 AM

Title: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 09, 2020, 01:44:14 AM

Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis

The “Hold Everything Secure” phrase, which was said about a minute after the assassination, and the “four impulse patterns” occur at about the same time on the Dictabelt recording. Dr. Donald Thomas explained this away by saying the two channels could drift apart from each other by a minute.

If this is true, there must be other cases where two events, that happened at about the same time, but appear to occur a minute apart on the recording. Or two events that happened a minute apart appear to happen at the same time, or two minutes apart.

Question:

Is there a single clear case of this happening on this Dictabelt tape? Is there a case, where we know two phrases were actually spoken about a minute apart, but appear to occur at about the same time on the recording? Or are there no other examples of something like this occurring, except with the “Hold Everything Secure” and the “four impulse patterns”.


If this is the only known example, what fantastic luck that this is the only case of this “Offset” phenomenon happening.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: John Iacoletti on September 09, 2020, 09:09:55 PM
The "hold everything secure" was crosstalk from a channel 2 radio nearby the stuck motorcycle microphone on channel 1.  So any other example would have to meet the same narrow condition.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 09, 2020, 10:14:52 PM
The "hold everything secure" was crosstalk from a channel 2 radio nearby the stuck motorcycle microphone on channel 1.  So any other example would have to meet the same narrow condition.

So, of all the sounds or “sound impulses”, which were recorded “out of order”, the lone example, according to Dr. Thomas, is the “sound impulses” from the gunshots themselves.

What a fantastic coincidence.

In other words, the hypothesis that the Dictabelt recording contains sounds which are out of order, is totally without support. If this hypothesis had any support, we would have other examples, like maybe:

Statement C - Officer X – “Officer X here. I have reached Main and Texas.”
. . .
Statement A – Dispatcher – “Officer X, proceed immediately to Main and Texas.”
Statement B – Officer X – “I am on my way. I am almost there.”

Clearly, if we had such an example, we would have statements that were recorded out of order, since the real order in time was Statement A, B, C.

Dr. Thomas, and others talk of how unlikely the hypothesis is that the 4 “sound impulses” were not recorded at Dealey Plaza. They talk of how unlikely it would be, for these 4 “sound impulses” to match the testing done at Dealey Plaza so well. Initially, the probability was calculated at 50%, which does not sound like much of a coincidence to me. Later they revised the probability to 95%. Later still, Dr. Thomas made it at 96%. How much more unlikely is it, that of the hundreds of Statements and sounds that were recorded on the Dictabelt, the only one that was recorded out of order, was the “sound” of the four gunshots.

The HSCA/Dr. Thomas acoustic hypothesis, is ultimately based on a probability argument. The type of argument you criticize so much when I use it. It is curious that you criticize a LNer when he uses a “probability argument”, but never say a peep when a CTer does so, like whenever they give support to the 1978 HSCA Acoustic Studies. Actually, I think Probability arguments can be valid, when applied consistently.

If the odds of the “1963 gunshots” matching the “1978 tests” are 50%, 95%, or even 96%, but the odds of the “gunshot sounds” being recorded out of order is 0.1%, then these probability arguments collapse. It is too much for one to believe the 1 in 25 chance of the “1963 impulses” matching the “1978 impulses” by chance. But not too much to believe the 1 in 1,000 chance that the only “sound” that was recorded out of order, was the four gunshots?
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: John Iacoletti on September 09, 2020, 10:28:16 PM
So, of all the sounds or “sound impulses”, which were recorded “out of order”, the lone example, according to Dr. Thomas, is the “sound impulses” from the gunshots themselves.

What a fantastic coincidence.

In other words, the hypothesis that the Dictabelt recording contains sounds which are out of order, is totally without support. If this hypothesis had any support, we would have other examples, like maybe:

Statement C - Officer X – “Officer X here. I have reached Main and Texas.”
. . .
Statement A – Dispatcher – “Officer X, proceed immediately to Main and Texas.”
Statement B – Officer X – “I am on my way. I am almost there.”

Clearly, if we had such an example, we would have statements that were recorded out of order, since the real order in time was Statement A, B, C.

I have no idea what you're talking about.  Main and Texas?  Who said that the impulses were recorded "out of order"?  The impulses and the "hold everything secure" announcement were on two different recording devices with different speeds and two different dispatchers with unsynchronized clocks.

Quote
The HSCA/Dr. Thomas acoustic hypothesis, is ultimately based on a probability argument. The type of argument you criticize so much when I use it.

I've never opined on any "probability argument" made by Thomas.  On the other hand when you make probability arguments you just make up the probabilities.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 09, 2020, 10:38:55 PM

I have no idea what you're talking about.  Main and Texas?  Who said that the impulses were recorded "out of order"?  The impulses and the "hold everything secure" announcement were on two different recording devices with different speeds and two different dispatchers with unsynchronized clocks.

And yet the “four alleged gunshots” are the only “sounds” that were recorded out of order. No other examples can be named.

I've never opined on any "probability argument" made by Thomas.

Why not? Do you deny that the 1978 Accoustic/Dr. Thomas arguments are probability arguments?
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: John Iacoletti on September 09, 2020, 11:12:23 PM
And yet the “four alleged gunshots” are the only “sounds” that were recorded out of order. No other examples can be named.

Why not? Do you deny that the 1978 Accoustic/Dr. Thomas arguments are probability arguments?

I still don't know what you mean by "out of order".
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 10, 2020, 01:47:43 AM
This thread is a waste of time. You clearly have not bothered to read any of the research on the acoustical evidence that I cite in my thread "Poor Scholarship on Display: Larry SPersonivan's Book The JFK Myths."

Every single point you raise is addressed in that research, and you know, or should know, that you are simply ignoring strong evidence that the acoustical evidence of four-plus shots is valid: the sound-distance correlations, the sound fingerprints, and the N-wave correlations.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 10, 2020, 03:43:42 AM

Michael Griffith and John Iacoletti have tried to change the subject of this thread. For those who may have forgotten, this thread is about the following question:

On the Dictabelt recording, there are 4 N-waves (I have read there are a good deal more than that scattered over the recording, but they focused on these 4) which, though they don’t sound anything like a gunshot, are actual gunshots.

The supporters of the HSCA 1978 Acoustic study and of Dr. Thomas Acoustic study, admit that the 4 N-waves, the alleged “4 gunshots” are found on the recording near the phrase “Hold everything secure”. This would indicate that the alleged “4 gunshots” were recorded a minute, or perhaps a half minute, too late to have been the real gunshots. The claim is that somehow these “sounds” were offset from their true position in time.

Question:

Can anyone come up with another example of a sound, or a spoken phrase, anything, that got offset by 30 or more seconds?



They have not answered this one basic question, but instead go off on all kinds of tangents. Clearly, the answer is no, they can’t. So, it appears everything else appears in the proper order, all the spoken phrases, everything, was recorded in the proper order. Everything except the alleged 4 gunshots.

So, when they speak of the odds that the 1963 N-waves match so closely to the 1978 N-waves, to a chance, which they have at times said was 1 in 2, or 1 in 20, or 1 in 25, consider all the hundreds of spoken phrases, and all the other sounds, and the only sound that got offset in time, was the “4 gunshots”.


And as an aside, I might point out, let’s assume, for the moment, that they are right. The 4 sound impulses were displayed in time from where they actually occurred, we don’t know if they actually occurred right when they are supposed to have occurred. For all anyone knows, if they didn’t happen 1 minute too late, maybe they really happened 2 minutes too late, or maybe 1 minute too early. There is nothing to show that the cause of these 4 N-waves happened within the period of, let’s say, z133 through z400. Nothing.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: John Iacoletti on September 10, 2020, 07:21:45 PM
The supporters of the HSCA 1978 Acoustic study and of Dr. Thomas Acoustic study, admit that the 4 N-waves, the alleged “4 gunshots” are found on the recording near the phrase “Hold everything secure”. This would indicate that the alleged “4 gunshots” were recorded a minute, or perhaps a half minute, too late to have been the real gunshots. The claim is that somehow these “sounds” were offset from their true position in time.

I think this is a false premise.  Where exactly do the HSCA or Thomas "admit" that the four implulses were recorded too late to have been the real gunshots?
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 10, 2020, 09:50:21 PM
Michael Griffith and John Iacoletti have tried to change the subject of this thread. For those who may have forgotten, this thread is about the following question:

On the Dictabelt recording, there are 4 N-waves (I have read there are a good deal more than that scattered over the recording, but they focused on these 4) which, though they don’t sound anything like a gunshot, are actual gunshots.

The supporters of the HSCA 1978 Acoustic study and of Dr. Thomas Acoustic study, admit that the 4 N-waves, the alleged “4 gunshots” are found on the recording near the phrase “Hold everything secure”. This would indicate that the alleged “4 gunshots” were recorded a minute, or perhaps a half minute, too late to have been the real gunshots. The claim is that somehow these “sounds” were offset from their true position in time.

Question:

Can anyone come up with another example of a sound, or a spoken phrase, anything, that got offset by 30 or more seconds?


They have not answered this one basic question, but instead go off on all kinds of tangents. Clearly, the answer is no, they can’t. So, it appears everything else appears in the proper order, all the spoken phrases, everything, was recorded in the proper order. Everything except the alleged 4 gunshots.

So, when they speak of the odds that the 1963 N-waves match so closely to the 1978 N-waves, to a chance, which they have at times said was 1 in 2, or 1 in 20, or 1 in 25, consider all the hundreds of spoken phrases, and all the other sounds, and the only sound that got offset in time, was the “4 gunshots”.

And as an aside, I might point out, let’s assume, for the moment, that they are right. The 4 sound impulses were displayed in time from where they actually occurred, we don’t know if they actually occurred right when they are supposed to have occurred. For all anyone knows, if they didn’t happen 1 minute too late, maybe they really happened 2 minutes too late, or maybe 1 minute too early. There is nothing to show that the cause of these 4 N-waves happened within the period of, let’s say, z133 through z400. Nothing.

I haven't tried to change the subject. I'm saying that your entire argument shows you don't know what you're talking about, and shows you have not read the required research. If you did "read" it, then you are either trying to throw up diversionary smoke or you did not understand what you read.

I notice that not once have you mentioned the three main factors that affect the alignment of the crosstalk episodes: recorder stoppage, stylus displacements, and warps in the playback speed of the recordings. This tells me that either you haven't read the required research, or you read it but did not understand it, or you read it and understood it but are dissembling.

https://web.archive.org/web/20091026111324/http://geocities.com/whiskey99a/dbt2002.html

People who are able to understand the acoustical evidence, and who are willing to acknowledge it, will realize how clueless your argument is and/or how dishonest you are being about the evidence. No part of your inquiry addresses the real issue of the sound-distance correlations, the sound fingerprint correlations, the windshield distortion correlations, and the N-wave correlations.

As Dr. Barger noted in his reply to the NAS-NRC-Ramsey arguments, "The NAS committee did not examine the several items of evidence that corroborated our original findings." You are doing the exact same thing. No crosstalk smokescreen is going to make this evidence disappear.

Your argument is like a Flat Earther who asks, "Can anyone come up with an explanation for why boats drop out of sight when you watch them sail away from the beach?" I mean, it's just about that silly.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 11, 2020, 07:18:07 PM

The 1978 HSCA Acoustic study that claims four shots were fired rests on 4 “N-waves” found on the recording, that don’t sound like gunshots, that don’t sound like anything, are actually gunshots. The difficulty, is that they occur about the same time Sheriff Decker is heard to say “Hold everything secure . . .”, which, on the surface, would indicate that these alleged 4 shots occurred about 90 seconds too late to have been the shots.

The claim is, that this doesn’t matter because sometimes sounds got recorded in the wrong order. This is a totally unsupported claim. It would have support if we had something like the following recording:

The motorcade has just reached Record Street (indicating the President is one block away from Dealey Plaza)
. . .
Shots have been fired at the motorcade
. . .
The motorcade has just reached Houston Street (indicating the President is just entering Dealey Plaza)

Clearly, if we had something like this recorded, then we would have some support, that at least once in a while, events were recorded out of order by the Dictabelt system. That wouldn’t mean the acoustic study has been proven valid. Even if there were rare examples that events could be recorded out of temporal order, the vast majority of the times they were not. But at least this “temporal disorder” hypothesis would have some support.



A laymen’s objection to the 1978 Acoustic study.

1.   The “gunshots” don’t sound like gunshots. Indeed, they don’t sound like anything. They are inaudible.

The breezy explanation is that the Dictabelt was designed to record voices, not gunshots. That doesn’t seem right to me. I never heard of a device designed to record voices not also being able to record loud gunshots. The Dictabelt was not designed to record Big Ben tolling the hours but I’m certain it would have. Now I can see how it might fail to record any sound if a gunshot was entirely in ultrasound, with all frequencies too high or too low for humans to hear. But fail to record sounds that human hears can plainly hear? That is a real stretch. I would at least have to see some evidence for this.

2.   The hypothesis that the Dictabelt would sometimes record sounds out of order in time, is something I would need to see an example of. It doesn’t sound likely to me.


I think I should also mention a glaring error in the 1978 Acoustic study. In 1978, the Dictabelt recorder was still used to keep a record of the police radio. So why didn’t they have the Dictabelt be used to record the sounds of their test firings of rifles at Dealey Plaza that day? This could have been easily done. So instead of just having the sounds recorded on their instruments, the sounds could also have been recorded on the Dictabelt. This isn’t a case that they could only have done one or the other. They could have easily have done both. Indeed, as usual the Dictabelt was being used by the police that day, and did record some of the test shots, which, not surprisingly, were quite audible on the 1978 Dictabelt recording. At least according to the memory of some police officers. But the Acoustic experts did not collect this Dictabelt recording at the end of the day and it, and like all routine recordings, is now gone.

Had they taken this elementary step; we would know:

1.   Does the Dictabelt record gunshots as audible sounds, that sound like gunshots, or at least audible sounds? Or as inaudible N-waves?

2.   Are events recorded out of temporal order? If so, how often does this occur? If it does, is this associated with crosstalk?

Because the 1978 Acoustic Experts did not take this elementary step, we don’t know. And, I believe the Dictabelt technology no longer exists and so unlike 1978, we can not test this, not in Dealey Plaza, or anywhere else.

This is an elemental error. At the end of the day, it doesn’t matter what their instruments recorded. It is what a Dictabelt records. That is what should have been studied. Despite their clear, elemental error, on their part, the HSCA Acoustic apologists say we should give them the benefit on the doubt. We should assume that the Dictabelt would not record gunshots as audible sounds, as if they proved this back in 1978. We should assume the Dictabelt would sometimes record sounds out of order, as if they proved this back in 1978. Because of their clear error in judgment, I am not inclined to give them the benefit of the doubt.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 11, 2020, 07:56:41 PM
The 1978 HSCA Acoustic study that claims four shots were fired rests on 4 “N-waves” found on the recording, that don’t sound like gunshots, that don’t sound like anything, are actually gunshots. The difficulty, is that they occur about the same time Sheriff Decker is heard to say “Hold everything secure . . .”, which, on the surface, would indicate that these alleged 4 shots occurred about 90 seconds too late to have been the shots.

The claim is, that this doesn’t matter because sometimes sounds got recorded in the wrong order. This is a totally unsupported claim. It would have support if we had something like the following recording:

[SNIP]. . . .

A laymen’s objection to the 1978 Acoustic study.

1.   The “gunshots” don’t sound like gunshots. Indeed, they don’t sound like anything. They are inaudible.

The breezy explanation is that the Dictabelt was designed to record voices, not gunshots. That doesn’t seem right to me. I never heard of a device designed to record voices not also being able to record loud gunshots. [SNIP]. . . .

2.   The hypothesis that the Dictabelt would sometimes record sounds out of order in time, is something I would need to see an example of. It doesn’t sound likely to me.

I think I should also mention a glaring error in the 1978 Acoustic study. In 1978, the Dictabelt recorder was still used to keep a record of the police radio. So why didn’t they have the Dictabelt be used to record the sounds of their test firings of rifles at Dealey Plaza that day? This could have been easily done. [SNIP]. . . .

Had they taken this elementary step; we would know:

1.   Does the Dictabelt record gunshots as audible sounds, that sound like gunshots, or at least audible sounds? Or as inaudible N-waves?
2.   Are events recorded out of temporal order? If so, how often does this occur? If it does, is this associated with crosstalk?

Because the 1978 Acoustic Experts did not take this elementary step, we don’t know. And, I believe the Dictabelt technology no longer exists and so unlike 1978, we can not test this, not in Dealey Plaza, or anywhere else.

This is an elemental error. At the end of the day, it doesn’t matter what their instruments recorded. It is what a Dictabelt records. That is what should have been studied. [SNIP]. . . .

It is unbelievable that you would post this drivel in response to the links and research that have been presented to you. You just keep repeating the same claims about the acoustical evidence and ignoring all the evidence that refutes your claims.

The crosstalk you keep harping on has been explained by many scholars; there are perfectly plausible, reasonable explanations for the crosstalk. If you reject those explanations, then you must label as coincidence all the intricate sound-distance correlations, the windshield-distortion correlations, the N-wave correlations, and the sound-fingerprint correlations between the dictabelt impulses and the Dealey Plaza test-firing impulses. You must also believe that the dictabelt impulses that match the Dealey Plaza test-firing impulses as described above are merely bursts of static that did not even occur during the assassination.

For the sake of others who read this thread, since I suspect discussion with you is a waste of time, here are some important facts about the HSCA acoustical evidence:

* First, some news: I have learned that Dr. Josiah Thompson will include an extensive defense of the acoustical evidence in his widely anticipated book Last Second in Dallas, which will be published this November.

* The BBN scientists did notice the presence of voices on the dictabelt, some clear and some faint, but they did not analyze them because they focused on the gunshot impulses and the N-waves on the dictabelt.

* It is important to realize that the NAS-NRC-Ramsey panel claimed that the gunshot impulses identified by the HSCA acoustical experts are nothing more than bursts of static about one minute after the shooting. Warren Commission (WC) apologists still repeat this claim. Keep that in mind as we continue.

* A total of eight scientists worked on the BBN dictabelt analysis: Dr. Barger and the three other authors of the BBN report plus four other BBN scientists who assisted with the research. Dr. Barger was one of the top acoustical scientists in the world at the time.

* The BBN scientists designed five screening tests to determine whether the characteristics of the four gunshot impulse patterns on the dictabelt corresponded with the characteristics of gunfire.

* The five BBN screening tests determined that the dictabelt’s impulse patterns occur during the same timeframe the shots were fired, that the impulse patterns are unique, that the shape of the impulse patterns resembles those generated by gunfire, and that the amplitude of the impulse patterns resembles the amplitude of the echo patterns of the shots fired during the Dealey Plaza test firings.

* Five of the dictabelt’s impulses passed the BBN screening tests for gunfire, but the HSCA's chief counsel, Robert Blakey, insisted on ruling out one of the four rear-shot impulses because it came impossibly close to another rear-shot impulse and thus suggested two gunmen firing from behind. Therefore, under pressure from Blakey, the impulse at the 140.3-second mark on the dictabelt was eventually labeled as a false alarm. However, several scholars, including Dr. Thomas, argue that there is no valid reason to label the 140.3-second impulse as a false alarm.

* The Dealey Plaza test-firing sounds were processed into echo patterns. Each sound's echo pattern represented the unique "fingerprint" of gunfire sounds as heard at one location when a weapon was fired from one place to one target. The echo patterns were compared to the dictabelt’s impulse patterns to see if any of the clear fingerprints obtained during the reconstruction matched any of the sound fingerprints on Channel 1. The matching process was a binary correlation detection, a simple but powerful signal-detection system. Several echo patterns from the Dealey Plaza test firing matched sufficiently well with the four impulse patterns that BBN was able to place the motorcycle from 120 to 160 feet behind JFK’s limo.

* More than five dictabelt-test-firing impulse correlations might have been found if HSCA chief counsel Blakey had not insisted that shots only be fired from two locations during the Dealey Plaza test firings, i.e., from the grassy knoll and the sixth-floor window of the Texas School Book Depository (TSBD). Some HSCA staffers and consultants argued strenuously against this restriction, but Blakey would not budge.

In limiting the test firings to two locations, Blakey ruled out the possibility that any of the unmatched sounds on the dictabelt could be matched with impulses of shots fired from other locations, such as from the nearby Dal-Tex Building or the County Records Building, both of which would have provided logical sniper positions. (Interestingly, Mafia man Eugene Brading was arrested in the Dal-Tex Building shortly after the assassination. Just a "coincidence", right?)

This explains why the second gunshot impulse does not really trace back to the sixth-floor window if you look at the raw data for the impulse. The acoustical trajectories and echo patterns of a shot from the roof of the Dal-Tex Building and a shot from the TSBD’s sixth-floor corner window would be very similar.

* The BBN scientists noted that the loudest sound impulses from gunfire are much louder than the loudness of the sound for which the radio was designed to operate, namely, human speech. These loud impulses overdrive the radio circuitry. Because of the radio transmitter’s restricting circuits, very loud sounds are recorded in distorted fashion and appear as much weaker signals than they really are.

* The discharge of a rifle creates two types of sound impulses: the sound of the muzzle blast and the sound of the shock wave produced by the bullet as it travels at a speed greater than the speed of sound. This shock wave is also called an N-wave.

All sound impulses arriving at the microphone that were loud enough to be heard over the environmental noise would be transmitted over the radio connected to the microphone.

The environmental noise consisted mainly of the loud noise made by the motorcycle’s engine. This noise was only about 10 decibels lower than the loudest recorded gunfire impulse. Therefore, and this is a key point, only the very loudest gunfire sound impulses would be detectable above the engine noise.

This means that a gunshot fired by a gunman standing a foot or two inside a window in one of the other buildings might not have produced a loud enough sound impulse to be detectable on the dictabelt.

* The BBN scientists realized that if impulse patterns similar to those that occurred during the shooting were to be found anywhere else during the 5-minute recording of stuck-mike transmission, this would clearly indicate that the impulse patterns were caused by something other than gunfire. Therefore, they examined processed waveforms for the entire segment of stuck-mike transmissions on the dictabelt, looking for impulse patterns similar to those already identified. Only one other pattern was found. It begins about 30 seconds after the four gunshot impulse patterns and consists mostly of impulses caused by radios keying in and attempting to transmit. This sequence lasts only about 4 seconds and does not resemble the four gunshot impulse patterns.

* The gunshot impulses on the dictabelt not only have the generic structure of gunshot echo patterns, but they have the echo patterns of the gunshot impulses from the Dealey Plaza test firings.

* If the dictabelt impulses are not gunfire, then their echo patterns would be expected to match the test-firing impulses in a random manner, if they matched at all. But, the dictabelt impulses match the test-firing impulses in the same topographic order; to put it another way, the matching test-firing impulses occur in the same chronological order in which the dictabelt impulses occur. 

* When you calculate the speed of the dictabelt motorcycle based on the echo correlations with the test-firing impulses, you get a speed that is almost identical to the average speed of JFK’s limo. The distance from the first matching microphone to the last was 143 feet. The time between the first and last gunshot impulse on the dictabelt is 8.3 seconds. In order for the motorcycle with the stuck mike to cover 143 feet in 8.3 seconds, it would have had to travel at a speed of right around 11.7 mph. This speed fits almost perfectly with the FBI's conclusion that Kennedy’s limo averaged 11.3 mph on Elm Street. If this is a “coincidence,” it is an amazing, stunning coincidence.

* Acoustical experts Weiss and Aschkenasy determined that the odds that the correlations between the dictabelt grassy knoll shot impulse and the test-firing grassy knoll impulse were a coincidence were “less than 1 in 20” (8 HSCA 32).

Incidentally, Weiss and Aschkenasy said that before they began their research, they did not believe there were any shots on the dictabelt, much less four or more.

* Weiss and Aschkenasy noted that the grassy knoll impulse on the dictabelt could not have been caused by a motorcycle backfire because it has a visible supersonic shockwave, or N-wave, preceding it. The N-wave comes just 24 milliseconds, or 2.4% of 1 second, before the sound impulse.

* Several scholars have noted that the grassy knoll impulse at the 145.1-second mark on the dictabelt aligns with the timing of the head shot in the Zapruder film. Blakey prevented any mention of this correlation during the hearings and in the HSCA report.

* Regarding the fact that the sound of a carillon bell is present on the dictabelt, Dr. Aschkenasy explained that this sound could have been recorded by a different patrolman’s microphone:

Quote
You are making an assumption that there was a source of a bell in Dealey Plaza, but that is your assumption. However, you have to look at the tape and the data on the tape a little more carefully, and one can see there an indication of a keying-on-transient which means that someone else tried to get onto the channel at that very time. He may have been in position to be close to a source of a carillon bell rather than anyone in Dealey Plaza, because there is associated with that carillon bell some indication of somebody else transmitting at the same time, which puts it just equally as well outside of Dealey Plaza. . . .

In fact, if you listen to the police tape recording during the entire period of the 5 minutes when the microphone on this motorcycle was accidentally on, you can in fact hear other transmitters coming on. Most of them failed insofar as all you hear is the microphone click and you hear a kind of a chirp as they try to capture the channel.

But there are a number of times where you do hear other voices coming on, other people communicating, sometimes very distorted sounds of the voices, sometimes quite clear and intelligible; and it is all during the time that this one transmitter has been on. In fact, as you go on in time past the point at which the shots occur, the ability of other transmitters to come into the channel becomes increasingly--it occurs more frequently. You hear more people coming in. You hear comments to the effect that somebody has his microphone button stuck, and it is all audible and understandable, so there are indeed several transmitters being received simultaneously during that period, and therefore it could very well have been that there was another motorcycle who happened to key on at just that point in time and picked up the sound of a bell somewhere.
(5 HSCA 591-592)
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 12, 2020, 01:36:03 AM

* The BBN scientists did notice the presence of voices on the dictabelt, some clear and some faint, but they did not analyze them because they focused on the gunshot impulses and the N-waves on the dictabelt.

An incredible oversight. It was of fundamental importance to determine of these 4 inaudible N-waves occur at the correct time to be the gunshots. Why wouldn’t they focus on the voices to determine this? How else could it be determined if the 4 inaudible N-waves occurred at the correct time or not?



* The BBN scientists noted that the loudest sound impulses from gunfire are much louder than the loudness of the sound for which the radio was designed to operate, namely, human speech. These loud impulses overdrive the radio circuitry. Because of the radio transmitter’s restricting circuits, very loud sounds are recorded in distorted fashion and appear as much weaker signals than they really are.

This hypothesis could have been proven, or refuted, by using the police radio transmitters to record on to a Dictabelt recording, the sounds of the 1978 firing tests.

Question:

Why was this not done?



It was reported that the Dictabelt recording which was made in 1978, as part of the regular police operations, did record the sounds of the test firings. So, while in theory, the Dictabelt could not have recorded these gunshots as audible sounds, it appears that in reality, they could. In any case, this question could have been answered definitively had the 1978 acoustic experts not been negligent and had saved the 1978 Dictabelt recording that the police made.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 12, 2020, 12:56:20 PM
The 1978 HSCA Acoustic study that claims four shots were fired rests on 4 “N-waves” found on the recording, that don’t sound like gunshots, that don’t sound like anything, are actually gunshots.

This comment shows that you have no business talking about the acoustical evidence, that you do not understand the most basic aspects of it. You haven't even read Weiss and Aschkenasy's HSCA testimony, have you? You haven't read the BBN and Weiss-Aschkenasy reports to the HSCA on the acoustical evidence either, have you?

If you have read any of these materials, I can't fathom why you would repeat the embarrassingly silly argument that the N-waves "don't sound like gunshots, don't sound like anything." That amateurish argument was answered during the HSCA hearings (and in the BBN and WA reports), and once it was answered, no one raised it again. Yet, here you are repeating it.

Furthermore, we're not talking only about the N-waves. We're also talking about the sound impulses from the muzzle blasts. You clearly do not understand that the N-waves and the muzzle-blast sound impulses are two different things. As I explained in my previous reply, when a gunshot is recorded, the N-wave is recorded a fraction of a second (about 24 milliseconds) before the sound impulse is recorded. By the way, that order of recording is exactly what the HSCA acoustical scientists found on the dictabelt. Gee, what a coincidence, hey?


Quote from: Michael T. Griffith on September 11, 2020, 07:56:41 PM
* The BBN scientists did notice the presence of voices on the dictabelt, some clear and some faint, but they did not analyze them because they focused on the gunshot impulses and the N-waves on the dictabelt.

An incredible oversight.

Actually, it is a meaningless oversight because the chronology of the crosstalk could be due to any number of factors and cannot cancel out the amazing and intricate correlations between the dictabelt gunshot impulses and the Dealey Plaza test-firing impulses.

It was of fundamental importance to determine of these 4 inaudible N-waves occur at the correct time to be the gunshots. Why wouldn’t they focus on the voices to determine this? How else could it be determined if the 4 inaudible N-waves occurred at the correct time or not?

Are you just pretending to be utterly clueless for the sake of entertainment or something? Did you only read every 10th word of my reply? I explained therein how they determined that the four "inaudible" N-waves occurred at the correct time. I explained this to you, in some detail, but you ignored the explanation--you chose not to quote it and made no effort to address it. This is not to mention the fact that the HSCA materials explain in great detail how they determined that the N-waves and the muzzle-blast sound impulses occur at the correct time on the dictabelt. Yet, you turn around and ask, "Gee, how did they determine if the four 'inaudible' N-waves occurred at the correct time?"

And, again, we're not just talking about the N-waves but also about the muzzle-blast sound impulses that come immediately after the N-waves. How can you hope to intelligently discuss the acoustical evidence when you don't understand such a basic, simple component of it?

You keep committing these blunders because you won't seriously, honestly study any research that you know contradicts what you want to believe.

Others who are reading this thread might be interested in the following excerpts from Dr. Weiss's HSCA testimony:


Quote
Well, the principles are basically the fundamental principles in acoustics, namely, that if someone makes a loud noise somewhere, like here [witness claps his hands], that sort of thing, everybody in this room can hear that noise, which means that sound moves out in all possible directions. A second principle is that that sound which they hear directly also will bounce off walls and be reflected. So they will hear not only the direct sound but also sounds called echoes bouncing from walls, corners, and other surfaces. The third principle, also very fundamental, is that the speed of sound is constant in whatever direction it may go. So that the farther you are from the source of the sound, the longer it will take for that sound to reach you, whether that source is, in fact, the original source of the sound or a reflecting surface which would cause an echo. I would like to illustrate basically what is meant by echoes at this point here. I think everybody is pretty much aware of what happens if you stand at a canyon and holler something like "Hello" and you get back a series of "Hello, hello, hello," that sort of thing. You can hear each of these echoes in such a circumstance because the reflecting surfaces are quite far apart from you and from each other. In a situation such as an echo generated in Dealey Plaza, you have reflecting surfaces, also the walls and corners of the buildings there. They, too, will generate echoes, but they will tend to come in very much more closely in sequence so that even if you have a very short, sharp sound such as a rifle firing, OK, or again a clap of the hands, you will get back what to an observer or many observers will sound like a single, loud bang type thing. . . .

As I indicated, each position in the plaza would have a unique set of echoes associated with it. If a sound heard on the police tape was, in fact, the sound of gunfire heard by a microphone-and a microphone, remember, is kind of an electronic ear--it hears the same as an ear will hear. If that indeed was the case, then I ought to be able to find a position for that microphone and a position for the gun such that I could predict a pattern of echoes that would match the sounds heard on the police tape to a high degree of accuracy. I could then say that this kind of match of a predicted pattern with the observed pattern is so close that the probability that what I am really looking at on the Dallas police tape is noise becomes very small. So we set out to be able to predict what the echo structures would be at various locations in Dealey Plaza. This was the whole art of it.

As I say, it was done by using the simple concept that sound would travel in all directions from a source and that it will reflect off surfaces and travel back. . . .

In fact, this brings up another point. If, in fact, after diligent searching we could not get a pattern of echoes, a predicted pattern of echoes, that would sufficiently closely match the impulses visible on the police tape recording, then we would have to conclude either that we did not have a shot recorded there, or that if we did have a shot recorded, then the motorcycle was not anywhere near the position we had assumed it to be, or the shooter was not anywhere near the position we assumed to be, or both conditions. . . .

So we started moving the microphone down the street at 11 miles an hour, and for this set of moved positions-now predicting what the echo pattern would be at every position as it comes on down, let's say, at what time it would receive each of these echoes.

This is a somewhat more complicated process. It is the same process; it just takes a lot longer because you have to do a lot more calculations.

As soon as we started doing that, it became immediately obvious we could quite easily find positions for the rifle and for the motorcycle, such that the match at both the early and the late echoes was getting increasingly close; and, in fact, once we were there, we were practically in the ballpark. It was a little more work, and we closed on a set of echoes that we could predict that matched the observed impulses on this pattern with an accuracy of approximately one-thousandth of a second. . . .

Mr. CORNWELL. Are you able to quantify in some fashion the probability that results from the ability to identify a large number of peaks, as you did, to that degree of precision?

Mr. WEISS. Yes, if you have a fit of some 22 points, you have a terrific fit to begin with. It really is hard to imagine this could be an accident, but you can't express it in those terms. You have to reduce it to some formal number that you can actually show is reasonable.

Now some of these echoes, and particularly the early ones coming from surfaces such as doorways over here and some corners over here, come in small. In fact, they come in below the noise level of impulse peaks in the general area of the recording where this is heard.

There is noise that is heard; there is the motorcycle noises; there is electrical noise; static is coming in. All of this is approximately at the level shown by these dashed lines on this exhibit. . . .

Now if the muzzle blast came in looking something like this, it goes up, it goes down, and then it sort of settles back, then from some of these surfaces you can quite accurately predict that it will do exactly the same sort of thing, let us say that the echo shape will be simply a mirror image replica of the muzzle blast.

Now if this is noise, then there is nothing which says that it has to start out going positive. It could equally, let us say, going upwards, the sound could equally, with equal probability, start out going this way and come back this way. But in every one of these instances where we identified an echo as coming back from a flat reflecting surface, it has precisely the correct replication quality when compared to the pattern of the muzzle blast. . . .

Well, the effect of that can be predicted. But to confirm our understanding of this, we arranged with the New York City Police Department to perform some experiments at their shooting range in the Bronx . We went out there, and they trotted out an old Harley-Davidson motorcycle and put a transmitter on it, vintage 1963 or 1964, and an old microphone pretty much the same kind as was used by the Dallas Police Department, and we performed some experiments with people firing rifles at various locations, sometimes with the motorcycle facing the shooter, sometimes with the motorcycle crosswise to the shooter. At the same time we made recordings using high fidelity equipment of the sounds of the shots.

Now there were two kinds of recordings made. The first, as I say, was high fidelity equipment, good microphone, good recorder on the spot. The second was through the microphone which was on the motorbike, which was a microphone of the type used in Dallas, through the transmitter, and recorded downtown at the police communications laboratory. And we compared the results of these two recordings, and what we found was exactly what we had thought we would find, that is, that in the case of the high fidelity recording, we got that kind of big, first spike upward and downward, and so on . In the case of the recording made through the police microphone, that first spike was greatly attenuated and it went negative and came back up and so on. This was true, however, only in the case where the motorcycle was facing the rifle.

When the motorcycle was crosswise to the rifle, the recording made by the police microphone fairly closely matched, looks, looked pretty much like, with some distortions, but looked pretty much like the recording made using the high fidelity equipment.

So it was essentially confirmed that the windshield really does have this effect on reducing the strength of that initial, very sharp spike received, and, of course, this is what we have over here. It is consistent with the assumption that this is a microphone behind the windshield facing a rifle. . . .

Chairman STOKES. Let me ask you this . This is 1978, this tape existed in 1963. Had this tape been given, let's say, to you or other scientists who specialized in this particular area, have you done anything new that could not have been done in 1963 with this tape?

Mr. WEISS. No, sir; the only thing that is new-this is an old technology that we are dealing with-the application is new, insofar as the use of the physics and science of acoustics for predicting the position of a microphone and/or a gun. I believe that the first application of it was only several years ago, and by Dr. Barger, in the case of the Kent State shootings. But other than that, there is nothing new in this at all. . . .

In the case of shot No. 3, since there is evidence of a shockwave preceding the muzzle blast, then it would have to be concluded that this was not a backfire, since backfires are not known to produce shockwave sounds.

We had no preconception as to what we were going to find. If anything, when we first heard the tape recording and first began to examine the data, our initial reaction was, somebody has got to be kidding; this can't be gunshots . But as we examined the data more carefully, subjected it to all the tests that we have described, the procedures that we have described, the results of the analyses themselves convinced us of where we were heading.

We can say that the bullet [of the grassy knoll shot] was not fired straight up in the air because had it been, you would not have received a shockwave impulse at that microphone position; and, indeed, if it had been fired in a direction reverse to that of the limousine, you also would not have received a shockwave impulse.

Mr. FITHIAN . Well, then, let me ask it another way. You were concerned about the alteration of the nature of the impulse by the windshield of the motorcycle?

Mr. WEISS. That is correct, only insofar as it is another means of observing a consistency between what is seen in the pattern and what is expected to be seen based upon both theory and experiment, that is, that the leading edge is much smaller than the cycle that immediately follows it. In reality, when a muzzle blast occurs, that leading edge is very much larger than the cycle that will follow it . There are two things that are reducing it as we observe it here. The first is the effect of the windshield, and the second is the effect of the compression caused by limiting action in the microphone and transmitter and almost certainly in the receiver and recorder as well.

Mr. FITHIAN. Does that in any way call into question the identification of the sound, itself, as that which reflects a gunshot from a rifle?

Mr. WEISS. Not seriously. Well, in effect, actually, rather than contradicting it, in a sense it supports it because all we see is all explainable and consistent with what we should expect to see if we take into account all the factors of the situation. (5 HSCA 557-560, 569, 581-582, 584, 588, 593, 597, 605)
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 12, 2020, 06:10:26 PM
It appears they never actually verified, in a controlled environment, that gunshots would record on a dicta-belt machine in any way recognizable. Correct?

No, that is not correct. They verified through numerous tests that the dictabelt contains gunshot impulses, and that those impulses were recorded in Dealey Plaza. They also had another test done in NYC by the NYPD to confirm that a patrolman's mike could record gunshot impulses even while the bike's engine was running. This is from Weiss's HSCA testimony, which I quoted in my previous reply:

Quote
Well, the effect of that can be predicted. But to confirm our understanding of this, we arranged with the New York City Police Department to perform some experiments at their shooting range in the Bronx. We went out there, and they trotted out an old Harley-Davidson motorcycle and put a transmitter on it, vintage 1963 or 1964, and an old microphone pretty much the same kind as was used by the Dallas Police Department, and we performed some experiments with people firing rifles at various locations, sometimes with the motorcycle facing the shooter, sometimes with the motorcycle crosswise to the shooter. At the same time we made recordings using high fidelity equipment of the sounds of the shots.

Now there were two kinds of recordings made. The first, as I say, was high fidelity equipment, good microphone, good recorder on the spot. The second was through the microphone which was on the motorbike, which was a microphone of the type used in Dallas, through the transmitter, and recorded downtown at the police communications laboratory. And we compared the results of these two recordings, and what we found was exactly what we had thought we would find, that is, that in the case of the high fidelity recording, we got that kind of big, first spike upward and downward, and so on . In the case of the recording made through the police microphone, that first spike was greatly attenuated and it went negative and came back up and so on. This was true, however, only in the case where the motorcycle was facing the rifle.

When the motorcycle was crosswise to the rifle, the recording made by the police microphone fairly closely matched, looks, looked pretty much like, with some distortions, but looked pretty much like the recording made using the high fidelity equipment.

So it was essentially confirmed that the windshield really does have this effect on reducing the strength of that initial, very sharp spike received, and, of course, this is what we have over here. It is consistent with the assumption that this is a microphone behind the windshield facing a rifle. . . .
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 12, 2020, 06:12:01 PM
For those who want to better understand the HSCA acoustical evidence, the following excerpts from the Weiss and Aschkenasy report to the HSCA should prove helpful:

Quote
During 1963, communications that were transmitted on channel 1 of the DPD radio dispatching system were recorded continuously on a Dictabelt recorder. On November 22,1963, a microphone on a mobile transmitter that was set to channel 1 apparently became stuck in the “on” position at about 12:28 p.m. and for about 5 minutes continuously transmitted sounds that it picked up.

When we first listened to this interval on the DPD recording, we found that it contained a nearly continuous noise, with occasional speech, whistles, and clicks. Also recorded on the Dictabelt in this interval were the sounds that BBN identified as probable gunshots. To the ear, these sounds resembled static much more than they did a gunshot. However, as Dr. Barger testified in September, and as we independently verified, the equipment that was used in the DPD radio dispatching system was not designed to handle sounds as intense as a gunshot, and it was therefore likely to have recorded such sounds with very poor fidelity.

Consequently, we recognized that these static-like sounds could be distorted gunshot sounds. On the other hand, such static-like sounds, theoretically could have been generated by a number of other sources, some acoustic, some related to electrical or mechanical disturbances in the DPD radio transmission, reception or recording equipment. Some test more discerning than the human ear was required to determine the probable cause of the sound impulses.

To answer the basic question, "Was the third group of recorded sounds generated by a gunshot from the grassy knoll?" with a high level of certainty, these sounds needed to be examined for some characteristic that they would have had if they had been generated by such a gunshot, and would not be likely to have had if they had not been. Of the several characteristics that can be used, the most effective and most reliable one is the sequence of delay times of the muzzle-blast echoes.

The firing of a gun generates a very loud, very brief explosive blast at the muzzle of the gun. This sound, which typically lasts about five one-thousandths of a second (0.005 seconds, or 5 milliseconds), spreads out in all directions from the gun. . . .

The time taken for the muzzle blast to be heard at some location depends solely on how fast the sound travels and how far the listener is from the gun. For example, at 65°F the speed of sound is 1123 ft/sec. A listener 112.3 feet away from a gun would hear its muzzle blast 0.1 second after the gun was fired. The time taken for the muzzle blast echoes to be heard also depends on the speed of sound and on the total distance each echo must travel, which is the total of the distance from the gun to the echo-producing object and then to the listener. Since the distance traveled by the muzzle blast to a listener must be less than the distance traveled by one of its echoes, the bang of the muzzle blast is always heard first. Then the echoes that are produced by the muzzle blast bouncing off the corners and surfaces of structures are heard. . . .

A listener cannot tell, from the sounds of a gunshot, when the gun was fired. He can determine only the times that elapse between the muzzle blast and each of its echoes. These elapsed times are called the echo-delay times. Because the echo travel times are uniquely related to the locations of the gun and the listener, the echo-delay times are unique to any given pair of those locations. Hence, if we know the temperature (and thus, the speed of sound) and the location of the echo-producing structures, echo-delay times can be used to characterize the sounds of a gunshot for any pair of shooter and listener locations. . . .

The "listener" that we have discussed, of course, could be either a human ear or a microphone. If a microphone receives the sounds and they are subsequently recorded, the recording becomes a picture of the event, not unlike a "fingerprint," that permanently characterizes the original gun and microphone locations.

Echo-delay times in such recordings can be measured easily and precisely by producing a graph of their waveforms on an oscillogram, or oscillograph. Such a graph is shown in figure 1. The narrow peaks represent individual sounds of brief duration (that is, impulse-sounds). The heights of the peaks correspond to the loudness of the impulse sounds; the spacing between peaks corresponds to the time that elapses between them. The largest of the impulse peaks is the muzzle blast. . . .

Using the fingerprint identification process as an analogy, if a latent fingerprint taken from a knife found protruding from a murder victim's body is given to the FBI for identification, it may be that no matching "known" print is on file at FBI headquarters and that the murderer cannot be immediately identified. Furthermore, the police may proceed to take fingerprint samples from all of the suspects in the case and find that none match the one found on the murder weapon. In the end, the latent fingerprint may not be identified. 

Applying the analogy to the graphs of sounds, our problem was to see if any of a number of assumed pairs of shooter and microphone locations would produce a pattern of sounds whose graph would match the graph of the sounds in question on the DPD tape.

After numerous comparisons between the echo-delay times for the sounds on the DPD recording and various predicted patterns for assumed motorcycle and shooter locations that did not match, a combination of motorcycle and shooter locations was found which mathematically produced a predicted pattern that showed strong similarities to the pattern of impulses on the DPD tape. However, to determine with a high level of certainty if these two sequences of echo delay times, which were derived from different data, represented the same source, it was not enough to show that the sequences looked alike.

They had to be shown to be alike in an objective sense, that is, by use of a method of comparison that disregarded potentially misleading appearances. Such a method was provided by a computation of the binary correlation coefficient of the two sequences. The binary correlation coefficient of two sequences is a number that is exactly 1.0 if the sequences are identical and that rapidly approaches zero as they grow more dissimilar. As used in this analysis, the binary correlation coefficient takes into account the number of echo-delay times in each of the sequences and the number of echoes that coincide. Echoes in the two sequences are said to coincide if their delay times differ by a small amount. The smaller this amount, or "coincidence window," can be made while maintaining a high binary correlation coefficient, the greater will be the probability that the DPD sequence represents a gunshot from the grassy knoll. . . .

Two different comparisons were made between the sequence of echo-delay times on the DPD tape and the most similar sequence of predicted echo-delay times. One of the comparisons was between those recorded sounds that were significantly louder than the average background noise and those predicted echoes that would have been recorded with comparable loudness. In the other comparison, the delay times of all of the recorded sounds and of all of the predicted echoes, up to a total delay of 50 milliseconds from the muzzle blast, were compared. The computed binary correlation coefficient was found to be 0.79 for the first comparison and 0.75 for the second.

In both of the comparisons described above, the coincidence window was set at ±1 millisecond. That is. a measured echo-delay time and a predicted one were said to coincide only if they were no more than 1 millisecond apart. For sequences that correlated at levels greater than 0.7 with a coincidence window of ±1 millisecond, the statistical probability was 95 percent or more that the sequences represented the same source-a sound as loud as a gunshot from the grassy knoll. Put alternatively, the probability that the sounds on the DPD recording were generated by sources other than a sound as loud as a gunshot originating from the grassy knoll is 5 percent or less. . . .

If a gun was fired from the grassy knoll during the assassination, the would-be assassin reasonably could have used either a rifle or a pistol, since the target would have been less than 150 feet away. Since rifles typically fire bullets that travel faster than the speed of sound, the firing of a rifle generates two intermixed echo sequences composed of the echoes of the muzzle blast and the echoes of the continuously generated shock wave that is created by a bullet in supersonic flight. On the other hand, most pistol bullets do not fly at supersonic speeds. . . .

The BBN analysis indicated that the gun was in the vicinity of the grassy knoll. During the acoustic reconstruction experiment that was conducted by BBN in Dealey Plaza on August 20, 1978, shots were fired from behind the wooden stockade fence on the grassy knoll. This location was consistent with available eyewitness and earwitness testimony. It was a reasonable one since it afforded good visibility of Elm Street while providing good cover for the shooter of a gun. At any other location on the grassy knoll either the visibility or the cover would have been substantially poorer. . . .

We expected to be able. to predict echo-delay times to within ±1 millisecond for specified locations of a gun and a microphone. However, it was essential to verify that this accuracy would be achieved in practice and that the identified echo-producing objects would generate significant echoes in the region of interest on Elm Street.  To test the procedure, we predicted the delay times of the echoes that would be received by a, microphone at the location of microphone 4 of array 3, as shown in figure 5, for a shot fired from the grassy knoll by the DPD shooter during the acoustic reconstruction experiment. We then compared the predicted echo-delay times to echo-delay times actually recorded on the BBN tape recording of the shot that was fired by the DPD shooter. At the time that the test shot was fired, the temperature in Dealey Plaza was approximately 90° Fahrenheit. Accordingly, the value used for the speed of sound was 1,150 feet per second. As discussed in section 4.1.5, the echo-delay time is computed by subtracting the muzzle blast travel time (185.2 msec.) from the echo travel time. The muzzle blast travel time is obtained by dividing the distance between the gun and the microphone in Dealey Plaza (213 feet) by the speed of sound. . . .

Using the methods described above, 26 echo paths were defined for 22 echo-producing objects. For some of these paths, the muzzle blast sound bounced off more than one echo-producing object. The echo-producing objects and echo paths are listed in tables 1 and 2. The travel times and the delay times for the predicted echoes are listed in table 3. Also listed are the echo-delay times determined by analysis of the time waveforms of the sounds received at microphone 4 of array 3 for the shot fired by the DPD shooter from the grassy knoll. These waveforms, which are shown in figure 6, were obtained by playing back the recording of the sounds that were picked up by the microphone, modifying the reproduced signal so as to approximate the effect that a microphone of the type used by the DPD in 1963 would have had on the signal, and then graphing the resulting signal. . . .

An analysis of the data listed in table 3 shows that the assumed locations were sufficiently accurate for the purpose of this test. The average absolute difference between the predicted and measured echo-delay times was 0.8 millisecond. The standard deviation of predicted 26 delay times about this average was 0.7 millisecond. These results are well within the accuracy required of the echo prediction procedure. . . .

The DPD radio dispatching system contained a circuit, that would have greatly affected the relative strengths of the recorded echoes of a muzzle blast. This circuit, the automatic gain control (AGC), limited the range of variations in the levels of signals by reducing the levels of received signals when they were too strong and increasing their levels when they were too weak. It responded very rapidly to a sudden increase in the level of a signal, but comparatively slowly to a sudden reduction in a signal level. Consequently, the response of the AGC to the sound of a muzzle blast would greatly reduce the recorded levels of echoes and background noise received shortly afterward. . . .

The high degree of correlation between the impulse and echo sequences does not preclude the possibility that the impulses were not the sounds of a gunshot. It is conceivable that a sequence of impulse sounds, derived from non-gunshot sources, was generated with time spacings that, by chance, corresponded within one one-thousandth of a second to those of echoes of a gunshot fired from the grassy knoll. However, the probability of such a chance occurrence is about 5 percent.

This calculation represents a highly conservative point of view, since it assumes that impulses can occur only in the two intervals in which echoes were observed to occur, these being the echo-delay range from 0 to 85 milliseconds and the range from 275 to 370 milliseconds. However, if the impulses in the DPD recording were not the echoes of a gunshot, they could also have occurred in the 190-millisecond timespan that separated these two intervals. Taking this timespan into account, the probability becomes considerably less than 5 percent that the match between the recorded impulses and the predicted echoes occurred by chance.

Thus, the probability is 95 percent or more that the impulses and echoes have the same source--a gunshot from the grassy knoll. Stated differently, the odds are less than 1 in 20 that the impulses and echoes were not caused by a gunshot from the grassy knoll, and at least 20 to 1 that they were. (8 HSCA 6-7, 9-10, 16, 22, 24-26, 30, 32)
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 12, 2020, 10:57:16 PM

I see no mention (in the quoted text) of a dictabelt recorder being part of the recording chain in the controlled setup (NYC/NYPD) or any other controlled setup to verify what the dictabelt is capable of, but I could have missed it.

I'm not interested what they think they heard or measured on the original recording.

No mention on the NYC/NYPD using a Dictabelt recorder. And no mention of the NYC/NYPC tests showing the recordings they did get were audible or inaudible.

Common sense says a recording of gunshots should be audible. In support of this, it was reported that the Dallas police noticed on their daily Dictabelt recording from 1978, audible, not inaudible, but audible sounds from the 1978 acoustic test firings. Very unlike the inaudible N-waves on the 1963 recording. But the acoustic experts had no interest in what a Dictabelt would record, only what their instruments would record. But their instruments weren’t there in 1963, so no direct comparison could be made, as could have been done had they made use of the Dictabelt system that was still there in 1978.

1.   The “gunshots” on the 1963 recording are inaudible, but it appears on the 1978 recording they were audible.

2.   The “gunshots” appear to occur at the wrong time, about when Sheriff Decker says “Hold everything secure”.

3.   The predicted location of where the motorcycle that recorded these shots occurred, does not have a motorcycle there, or anywhere within 100 feet of that location, the intersection of Houston and Elm.


The “gunshots” are made at the wrong time, recorded from the wrong location, are not audible, and are found on the 1963 Dictabelt recording more than 4 or 5 times (8 shots? 16 shots?), as the acoustic experts admitted back in 1979. Beside all of this, there doesn’t seem to be any real problem with their hypothesis.


As an aside, I have to admit that much of this acoustic information is way too technical for me. However, I think there is an easier way to tell it is wrong. Check out the topic I started today on:

Dictabelt Acoustic Question – Who Rode the Motorcycle

Where I think it is very clear that the conclusions reached by the acoustic experts in 1978 are false.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 13, 2020, 06:26:56 AM

Michael Griffith hits me with a blizzard of arguments which are too many for me to deal with. Not because each of these arguments are so irrefutable, but just from the sheer number of them. It gives me the impression that he is trying to make up for the lack of quality of these arguments with quantity.

Michael Griffith also cannot resist mentioning how ignorant I am about the case. There is some truth to this. I doubt I have spent a fraction of the time reading on this case as he has. I try to broaden my reading to cover a lot of subjects, science, particularly geology, plate tectonics, ancient life, evolution. And history, and mostly history not involving the Kennedy assassination. Yes, a strong interest in the past, and not speculating about the future. The past seems more real to me. Who knows what’s going to happen in the next thousand years?

And besides, I think it’s hard for a LNer to put as much passion into the case as a CTer who hopes to be the first to make the truth clear to all. Or maybe the 153rd. But what good is spending so much time researching the Kennedy assassination, when you already have your conclusions. What Pro Conspiracy argument does Mr. Griffith not believe in? I suspect only ones that contradict a more favored pro conspiracy theory.

But even here, not always. I saw he wrote an article back in 1996 about maybe Officer McLain could not have been the motorcycle officer who trailed behind the Presidential limousine by 120 to 160 feet. Maybe it was Officer Hargis who in the perfect position to record the sounds of the shots that match the 1978 testing. This is curious for three reasons. One the Zapruder film shows him right where he is supposed to be, about even with the rear bumper of the Presidential limousine. This can be explained away because the Zapruder film is faked, right? And maybe the Altgens photograph at z255 was faked as well, why not? But he also argues that Hargis was right behind the President when his head exploded from the headshot. How could Hargis be splattered with blood while 120 to 160 feet behind the President? So, it seems that Mr. Griffith is quite capable of believing in two different Pro conspiracy arguments that contradict each other. Officer Hargis was both right behind the President and 120 feet behind at the same time. It may have something to do with Quantum Physics. I’ll leave Mr. Griffith to explain it.

In any case, let’s deal with a few of the points Mr. Griffith made.


* When you calculate the speed of the dictabelt motorcycle based on the echo correlations with the test-firing impulses, you get a speed that is almost identical to the average speed of JFK’s limo. The distance from the first matching microphone to the last was 143 feet. The time between the first and last gunshot impulse on the dictabelt is 8.3 seconds. In order for the motorcycle with the stuck mike to cover 143 feet in 8.3 seconds, it would have had to travel at a speed of right around 11.7 mph. This speed fits almost perfectly with the FBI's conclusion that Kennedy’s limo averaged 11.3 mph on Elm Street. If this is a “coincidence,” it is an amazing, stunning coincidence.

No, I don’t see this as any sort of coincidence at all. The Warren Commission’s Report stated that the average speed of the motorcade was 11 mph. So, going into this, the acoustic experts were looking for results that are consistent with a motorcycle going 11 mph. They know a correlation consistent of a motorcycle going 2 mph, or 30 mph, or 10 mph backwards is not going to do them any good.

Seek and you shall find. If they found a correlation between one location and the first shot, where would they check for the second shot 1.6 seconds later? Elementary. It would have to be 16.1 feet (11 mph is about 16.1 feet per second) times 1.6 seconds or 25 feet down the road. And then go check the next appropriate spot.

As an aside, I think this point shows the big difference between Mr. Griffith and myself. Mr. Griffith values taking in as much information as possible. To read voraciously to amass as many new facts as possible, so long as they are facts that support the Pro conspiracy side, of course. I don’t do nearly as much as that. But I am critical to the hypotheses I consider adopting. I don’t see this in Mr. Griffith. A little reflection would have told them that whether the 1978 acoustic study was valid or not, either way, they were going to find a result consistent with a motorcycle driving alongside the motorcade.


* Acoustical experts Weiss and Aschkenasy determined that the odds that the correlations between the dictabelt grassy knoll shot impulse and the test-firing grassy knoll impulse were a coincidence were “less than 1 in 20” (8 HSCA 32).

Yes, but there are lots of places they might look for a correlation.

Maybe starting with the stretch of road starting at the corner of Main and Houston and the next 143 feet.
And the stretch starting from 20 feet from Houston for the next 143 feet (that stretch would have been a jackpot).
And the stretch starting from 40 feet from Houston for the next 143 feet.
And so on, ending with the stretch starting 180 feet down Elm for the next 143 feet.

Now, it may have been true, that they found a stretch of road, that the acoustic tests found matched the patterns found on the Dictabelt recording, and the odds of this happening are 20 to 1. But if they tested 20 stretches of road, that would really not be that amazing a coincidence.

And in any case, regardless of the odds, if a motorcycle is not where they predicted it must be, their odds go from 95% to zero.


Incidentally, Weiss and Aschkenasy said that before they began their research, they did not believe there were any shots on the dictabelt, much less four or more.

Yes, they said a lot of things. But I don’t believe everything I hear. Sometimes people tell themselves stories going into a case, like, it really doesn’t matter to them if they make the discovery of the century or not. It’s all the same to them. Yes, that all sounds perfectly plausible to me. :)


In limiting the test firings to two locations, Blakey ruled out the possibility that any of the unmatched sounds on the dictabelt could be matched with impulses of shots fired from other locations, such as from the nearby Dal-Tex Building or the County Records Building, both of which would have provided logical sniper positions. (Interestingly, Mafia man Eugene Brading was arrested in the Dal-Tex Building shortly after the assassination. Just a "coincidence", right?)

Again, I wonder if Mr. Griffith questions his beliefs.

The Dal-Tex Building. Yes, that gives some excellent angles for firing down Elm Street. The Court Records Building? Not so much. A shooter from this building will be dealing with a target on Elm Street moving at a high angular velocity. An unnecessary complication, when a location in the TSBD or the Dal-Tex Building gives a pretty much straight shot down Elm Street with the limousine moving almost directly away. But I don’t suppose Mr. Griffith thinks about this very much. Any location other than the TSBD makes a logical sniper position. Heck, even the Grassy Knoll, firing almost at right angles to the motion of the limousine is a logical firing position.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 13, 2020, 08:55:52 AM

I didn't think less than an expert's opinion counted...

If you stumble upon any real experts on this forum, like me know. Well, I think we can count Steve Barber was a real expert. His contributions are well known. His observations have become the eye of the HSCA 1978 Acoustic debate. And there may be some others. But far more common are posers.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 13, 2020, 01:47:12 PM
I see no mention (in the quoted text) of a dictabelt recorder being part of the recording chain in the controlled setup (NYC/NYPD) or any other controlled setup to verify what the dictabelt is capable of, but I could have missed it.

I'm not interested what they think they heard or measured on the original recording.

So you doubt that the dictabelt could have recorded gunfire? Why? It recorded a wide variety of other sounds. Why would it not have recorded gunfire? The acoustical experts explained why the gunshots showed up on the dictabelt in an aurally reduced form.

You don't care what the acoustical experts measured? Then you don't care about science. The measurements were based on long-established principles of physics and acoustics. A supersonic shockwave is not going to magically appear for no reason on a recording. The recording must contain the sound impulse of an object traveling faster than the speed of sound in order to record an N-wave milliseconds before the sound impulse appears. They explained this undisputed phenomenon in their reports and during their testimony.

No mention on the NYC/NYPD using a Dictabelt recorder. And no mention of the NYC/NYPC tests showing the recordings they did get were audible or inaudible.

Gosh, this again? This is explained in the HSCA materials. The materials explain how the DPD recording system's limiting circuitry would have affected how the gunshots were recorded. Again, the problem is that you simply refuse to honestly, sincerely read any research that you know disagrees with what you want to believe.

Common sense says a recording of gunshots should be audible.

Common sense says that at some point, in order to stop embarrassing yourself by making amateurish arguments that were answered decades ago, you should have the integrity and objectivity to read the HSCA research before you say another word on the subject.

In support of this, it was reported that the Dallas police noticed on their daily Dictabelt recording from 1978, audible, not inaudible, but audible sounds from the 1978 acoustic test firings. Very unlike the inaudible N-waves on the 1963 recording. But the acoustic experts had no interest in what a Dictabelt would record, only what their instruments would record. But their instruments weren’t there in 1963, so no direct comparison could be made, as could have been done had they made use of the Dictabelt system that was still there in 1978.

This is unbelievably silly, not to mention misleading. They knew "what a dictabelt would record" because, umm, they had the DPD dictabelt! And when they did the NYC test, they used vintage microphones very similar to the ones used by the DPD in 1963. The issue was not what the dictabelt could record, because the dictabelt could only record the sounds sent to it by the patrolmen's microphones; the issue was what the patrolmen's microphones could hear and transmit to the dictabelt. 

1.   The “gunshots” on the 1963 recording are inaudible, but it appears on the 1978 recording they were audible.

Sigh. . . .  Gosh. . . .  You complain that I call out your ignorance, and then you repeat this ignorant stuff because you still have not read the HSCA materials. I guess you know nothing about the episode during the hearings when one of the members of the committee declared that he could not hear the shots on the dictabelt, but it turned out he was listening to the Dealey Plaza test-firing recording.

Dr. Barger explained why one cannot hear the gunshots on the dictabelt by just listening to it with the unaided ear:


Quote
Now it was perfectly clear that these sounds were not clearly audible. There is in the field of detection theory a favorite approach called matched filtering. The matched filter is a device that is used to detect events that you have some understanding of, even though they are subaudible. Matched filters are used in radar sets commonly to detect the presence of impulsive signals in noise, even though they are not visible or audible in the raw data. There was reason to believe that applying these techniques we might be able to detect the impulsive sounds of gunfire.

The most serious problem was the motorcycle noise. There is a way to help reduce that. It is a technique called adaptive filtering. It considers that the motorcycle is a repetitive device . As the cylinders fire, they do so periodically. The adaptive filter can learn to understand the event and project what will happen the next time the piston fires and subtract that noise out from the tape.

We thought once the adaptive filtering was conducted, the tape might then be noise-free enough to attempt a detection of the sounds of gunfire. . . . .

Initially we listened to the whole tape and we found at one point on the tape a 5 1/2-minute segment in which the sound of a motorcycle engine and other noises were heard continuously. This particular 5 1/2-minute segment was the period of the stuck microphone button that Professor Blakey described earlier.

The sound in that 5 1/2-minutes was mostly motorcycle noise. . . .

Now, as I said, we realized from the outset that we were seeking to detect sub-audible events, or at least not audibly recognizable events, and this is helped by looking at the electrical waveform that represents the sounds in a form called a waveform chart. So the first thing we did was to digitize the sounds in this 5 1/2-minute tape recording to form a computer file of the information contained by that digitalization, and then plot out a chart showing the waveform on the tape. (2 H 18, 27)

2.   The “gunshots” appear to occur at the wrong time, about when Sheriff Decker says “Hold everything secure”.

Only if you accept the Decker crosstalk as determinative, but to do that you must ignore all the correlations between the dictabelt shots and the test-firing shots, and you must ignore the other cases of crosstalk on the recording.

Why do you suppose that the NRC-Ramsey panel offered no alternative explanation for the sound impulse and N-wave of the grassy knoll shot? They strenuously objected to the grassy knoll shot, but they offered no explanation for the echo-pattern correlations and the presence of the N-wave for that shot. Why not?


3.   The predicted location of where the motorcycle that recorded these shots occurred, does not have a motorcycle there, or anywhere within 100 feet of that location, the intersection of Houston and Elm.

We both know that you don't know this, and that you are just repeating what some other WC apologist has said. I know you have not done any study of the evidence relating to the location of the motorcycle. Let's try this getting you to answer some simple questions about relating to the motorcycle's presence in Dealey Plaza:

* How could the dictabelt contain sound impulses that match the acoustical fingerprints and echo patterns of at least four shots fired during the Dealey Plaza test-firing, if those impulses were not recorded in Dealey Plaza? How did they get on the dictabelt if they were not recorded when a microphone in Dealey Plaza transmitted them to the dictabelt?

* How did supersonic shockwaves get on the dictabelt, and why do those shockwaves always come, as they should, milliseconds before the sound impulses that match the acoustical fingerprints and echo patterns of shots from the Dealey Plaza test firing, if the dictabelt does not contain gunfire from Dealey Plaza?

N-waves are distinct. Their acoustical fingerprints are different from those of any of the other measured sounds on the dictabelt and on the test-firing recording. So once you detect an N-wave on a recording, your next task is to determine the echo pattern, and that pattern will depend on where the rifle was pointing and whence it was fired. Dr. Barger:


Quote
As I have explained, the pattern of the N-wave shed from the bullet is distinct, so the echo pattern at any one point depends upon the direction in which the rifle is pointing, as well as the place where it is fired from. (2 H 48)

* How could it be that the windshield distortions of gunfire detected during the Dealey Plaza test firing show up when they should and when they should not on the dictabelt, if the dictabelt does not contain gunfire from Dealey Plaza? Can you even fathom how this kind of specific correlation could be a coincidence?

* Does the photographic record of the assassination provide a sufficiently comprehensive record to allow us to identify where every motorcycle, witness, car, and object was at any given time during the shooting? No, it does not.

Also, if you ever get around to reading the HSCA materials, you will learn that when BBN did their analysis, they made on assumptions about the location of the motorcycle that had the stuck mike. Dr. Barger:


Quote
We presumed nothing about the location of the motorcycle or its speed or even direction of motion. The matches were made without any presumption whatsoever about the position of the motorcycle, in fact, of course, without any knowledge that the motorcycle was even there.

After having made the matches, however, the position, I should say, the location of the microphones through which we found matches did in fact progress down the motorcade route at the times that the four subsequent periods on the tape showed matches. And as I indicated previously, the locations of the microphones where the matches were found at the four different times were moving down the motorcade route at approximately 11 miles an hour. (2 H 70)

Your bottom line, like it or not, is that all of the echo correlations, sound fingerprint correlations, windshield-distortion correlations, and N-wave correlations documented by the HSCA acoustical experts are all just one big whopping coincidence, and that the identified gunshot impulses are all just random bursts of static that did not even occur during the shooting. You and other WC true believers base this on the NAS-NRC-Ramsey panel's claims, even though that panel did not include a single acoustics experts, and even though one of its members was an ardent WC apologist who was caught rigging his ballistics tests and misrepresenting his test data, even though the NAS-NRC-Ramsey panel failed to address any of the evidence that corroborated the initial BBN findings.

Here is what Dr. Barger, speaking on behalf of all the HSCA acoustics experts, said about the NAS-NRC-Ramsey panel's claims:

Quote
Upon reading the NAS report, we did a brief analysis of the Audograph dub that was made by the NAS Committee and loaned to us by them. We found some enigmatic features of this recording that occur at about the time that individuals react to the assassination. Therefore, we have doubt about the time synchronization of events on that recording, and so we doubt that the Barber hypothesis is proven. The NAS Committee did not examine the several items of evidence that corroborated our original findings, so that we still agree with the House Select Committee on Assassinations conclusion that our findings were corroborated. (Letter from Barger to Robert Blakey, February 18, 1983)

Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 13, 2020, 03:51:35 PM
No. When did I say that?

I don't doubt it, I question why the "experts" didn't establish a baseline for what the Dicta-belt would record in case of a gunshot under various conditions.
 
That you can't hear?

Correct. You can't hear most of the sounds because of the way that the dictabelt system's circuitry processed incoming sounds. The HSCA acoustical experts explained this several times. I've quoted from three of those times.

How would I know. Have you seen the wave forms KNOWN to be from gunshots on a Dicta-belt?

Sound waves follow the laws of physics, and we know the factors that affect how sound waves travel. We also know how dictabelts recorded sound, just as we know how sound was recorded onto vinyl records. We also know how to obtain acoustic fingerprints of sound waves, how to measure the travel of sound waves, how to measure the echoes of sound waves, etc. We also know how the DPD's recording system affected how incoming sounds from the microphones were recorded onto the dictabelt, such as how they changed the amplitude of some sounds. We also know what causes N-waves and how to measure them and how to graph their characteristics.

If anyone is saying otherwise, then they need to explain all the intricate correlations between the identified gunshot waveforms on the dictabelt and the waveforms of gunshots from the Dealey Plaza test firing, plus the correlations between the dictabelt and test-firing N-waves. If the gunshot impulses on the dictabelt are not gunshots, then someone needs to explain all the correlations with the impulses from the Dealey Plaza test-firing shots. The NAS-NRC-Ramsey panel did not address a single one of the lines of evidence relating to those correlations. 

What they assumed to be gunshots.

No, they determined they were gunshots after running numerous screening tests and then comparing the impulses that passed the screening tests with the impulses from the test-firing. Again, if those impulses are not gunshots, then all the specific, scientifically established correlations between them and the test-firing impulses need to be explained.

Correct, unless they had a Dicta-belt reference. I certainly do, that's why I'm pointing out their method was unsound. yadayada

How was their method unsound? It was based on standard, long-known principles of physics and acoustics. Somehow those impulses got on the dictabelt. If they were not recorded by a patrolman's mike during the shooting, then someone needs to explain why they match impulses from the Dealey Plaza test firing in their echo patterns, windshield distortions, N-wave patterns, and speed-of-microphone pattern.

They supplied no experimental evidence said impulses would record on a Dicta-belt in a way they assumed.

I don't understand your argument. They already knew how dictabelts recorded sound, just as they knew how vinyl records recorded sound. There was no mystery or debate about this. The sounds were already on the dictabelt, so, obviously, they knew the dictabelt had recorded them. I'm not being flip: I'm just saying that there was no mystery or issue about how the dictabelt recorded sounds. So I don't understand your argument that they had no "experimental evidence" that the impulses would record onto a dictabelt in the way they "assumed." They didn't "assume" anything. The dictabelt's recording properties were long-known, undisputed science.

There was no issue about how the dictabelt recorded sound, but there was a question about how the DPD patrol bike microphones transmitted sound back to the dictabelt, and the HSCA acoustical scientists determined this by testing very similar microphones in the NYPD test.

The scientists did the Dealey Plaza test firing to establish a control, a baseline, against which the sounds on the dictabelt could be analyzed, since they knew shots were fired in Dealey Plaza during the time in question. If the gunshot impulses on the dictabelt had not been recorded in Dealey Plaza, then they would not have matched four or more of the Dealey Plaza test-firing impulses in their N-wave sound-distance properties, their muzzle-blast sound-distance properties, their windshield-distortion properties, and their waveform properties. Dr. Aschkenasy put it this way regarding the grassy knoll shot during his testimony:

"If someone were to tell me that the microphone that picked up that impulse was not at Dealey Plaza, and that in fact it was transmitting from another location, then I would go there and expect to find a replica of Dealey Plaza at that location. That is the only way it can come out.”
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 13, 2020, 09:27:36 PM
The gain control (AGC) discussed is not that of the Dicta-belt machine. If you believe it is be specific in you quote.

Okay, let's see if we can clear this up. We need to understand that the dictabelt machine was the medium on which the sounds were recorded; the dictabelt itself did not control how the sounds were processed before they arrived, before they were recorded. The dictabelt received sounds from the DPD dispatch system. The DPD dispatch system included an AGC circuit, among other circuits. The AGC circuit greatly affected how sounds were processed before they arrived at the dictabelt. I quote from the Weiss and Aschkenasy report to the HSCA:

Quote
The DPD radio dispatching system contained a circuit, that would have greatly affected the relative strengths of the recorded echoes of a muzzle blast. This circuit, the automatic gain control (AGC), limited the range of variations in the levels of signals by reducing the levels of received signals when they were too strong and increasing their levels when they were too weak. It responded very rapidly to a sudden increase in the level of a signal, but comparatively slowly to a sudden reduction in a signal level. Consequently, the response of the AGC to the sound of a muzzle blast would greatly reduce the recorded levels of echoes and background noise received shortly afterward. Progressively during the next 100 milliseconds, the AGC would allow the recorded levels of received signals to increase until full amplification was finally restored. The effect on the predicted echoes would be to make the recorded levels of late-arriving echoes verv nearly the same as those of the early ones. (8 HSCA 30)

No, we don't know how sound in the case of gunshots were recorded since no baseline recording of gunshots involving a Dicta-belt machine was conducted.

We'll have to agree to disagree. I see this as a baseless and irrelevant argument. The sound impulses were heard by the microphones, processed through the DPD dispatch system's circuits, and recorded on the dictabelt. They were recorded on the dictabelt the same way  all the other sounds were recorded.
 
http://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/odell/

Oh, yes, O'Dell's article. I just re-read it because I had not read it in quite some time. O'Dell's article will probably convince newcomers, but it won't convince anyone who has read the HSCA materials and the defenses of those materials.

O'Dell proposes the same basic explanation that the NAS-NRC-Ramsey panel offered; he simply identifies a different voice transmission as the alleged source of the grassy knoll shot.

If you've read the HSCA materials and their defenses, and if you then read O'Dell's article, one of the first things you notice is that O'Dell never specifically explains the sound-distance-waveform correlations between the dictabelt and the Dealey Plaza test-firing impulses, and he does not even mention the windshield-distortion correlations.

O'Dell even suggests that the HSCA acoustics scientists mistook the waveform of the "hold everything" crosstalk for an N-wave because the waveform of the crosstalk has one feature that looks like that of an N-wave. Leaving aside the problem of the precise timing between the N-wave and the sound impulse that follows it (O'Dell never addresses this point), and leaving aside the problems with the timing and properties of the crosstalk, what about the other N-waves? What crosstalk episodes can O'Dell, or anyone else, nominate to explain the other N-waves? What about the windshield distortions and the fact that they occur and don't occur exactly as they should for a recording made from a patrolman's microphone in Dealey Plaza?

Dr. Thomas deals with O'Dell's arguments at some length in his chapter that responds to attacks on the acoustical evidence in his book Hear No Evil, pp. 632-644. We can say the same thing about O'Dell's article that Dr. Thomas notes about the two NAS-NRC attacks on the acoustical evidence:


Quote
Neither this nor the original NRC study attempted to refute the core evidence at the heart of the HSCA conclusion: the fact that the suspect sounds on the police recording matched the test shots fired in Dealey Plaza, and that the matching data was ordered in a way that would not have happened if the matches were spurious. (p. 613)

Incidentally, Dr. Thomas also tackles the assertion that McClain was not in the right location to have recorded the gunfire sounds. Dr. Thomas shows that when you look at the totality of the photographic evidence, that evidence suggests that McClain was in the correct position and that his microphone did record the gunfire impulses (pp. 667-689). Says Dr. Thomas,

Quote
Although no films show the specified locations at the requisite times, a motorcycle ridden by a patrolman named H. B. McClain was in a position both before and after the shooting such that with a reasonable trajectory he could have been in the specified locations. (p. 687)

No control for all this stuff was established on a dicta-belt. Deal with it.

Nobody saw a need for such a "control" because the science involved with how a dictabelt records sounds was already well known and undisputed. 

Fine, then show me the specs for the Dicta-belt recording gunshots and inaudible pulses.

What "specs"? What are you talking about? Again, there's never been any dispute or mystery about the process by which sounds of any kind are recorded on a dictabelt. Similarly, the science behind the phenomenon of sub-audible sounds being recorded on sound-recording media was already well known back in the 1970s. This is basic stuff that was explained by the HSCA acoustical scientists. Have you read the BBN and W&A reports?

Straw man arguments doesn't work. Not my claim.

But it does involve your claim. Your claim, as far as I can tell, is that there are no gunshot impulses on the dictabelt but only random bursts of static and crosstalk from other microphones, and that the HSCA acoustical scientists mistook this static and crosstalk for gunshot impulses and their associated N-waves.

Herb Blenner, an electronics engineer, has written some excellent articles on the acoustical evidence. Here are excerpts from some of his articles that address the NAS-NRC-Ramsey claims:


Quote
No matter what the critics say they cannot make the pulse patterns attributed to gunfire vanish from the acoustic records. These patterns contain very special pulses that distinguish themselves from all the other snaps, crackles or pops. I call these special signals limiting pulses.

Playing a wave file of these limiting pulses at progressively slower speeds provides audible evidence of the special nature of these pulses.

Reducing playing speed dramatically lowers the pitch of the voice and has a similar effect upon a brief heterodyne and the background noise. However, the pitches of the limiting pulses initially resist lowering and change slightly at greatly reduced playing speeds. This demonstration shows that the high frequency contents of the limiting pulses are widely dispersed and extremely rich. These uncommon characteristics are further evidence that these special pulses are the responses of the radio system to impulses generated by the limiting circuit in the audio stage of the transmitter.

BBN documented a level of 100 db re 2 X 10-5 Newton per square meter at the microphone as the threshold for activation of the limiting circuit. This means that ears near that microphone would have heard sounds reminiscent of moderately distant gunfire.

Two choices arise. One may assert that the Dictaphone recorded gunshots on the Dictabelt or a studio added the limiting pulses and made an untrue acoustic record. . . .

The fundamental problem with this conclusion [that the crosstalk was recorded through a receiver with AGC] is the presented evidence does not show that the cross talk recordings were made through a radio receiver. Although the Committee on Ballistic Acoustics [the formal name of the NAS-NRC-Ramsey panel] should have tested heterodynes for frequency modulation as conclusive evidence of the by-radio nature of the cross talk, they pursued fallacious arguments. In fact, a quantitative detail provided by the committee showed AGC acted on audio. Even worse, they concentrated on attack characteristics that are ambiguous evidence of AGC action and misinterpreted the decay characteristics, which showed AGC acted at two or more places within the system. Not surprising the Committee on Ballistic Acoustics began by confusing the subject that provided a technically correct method of showing by-radio nature of the cross talk. . . .

In a communications system, frequencies below one thousand hertz contain most of the audio power. Now a gain control circuit requires many and perhaps tens of milliseconds to sample a few cycles. Without doubt, the sluggish decrease in cross talk intensity conclusively demonstrates the by-audio nature of the change.

The Committee on Ballistic Acoustics mistakenly attributed every decrease in cross talk volumes to AGC actions in response to heterodynes. . . .

Contrary to the declaration of the Watson Research Center, the frequency response of Channel-I was adequate to respond to the Channel-II brieftone. In fact, spectrographs of Bellah's broadcast and its crosstalk show the narrower frequency response of Channel-I attenuated the brieftone by less than four decibels relative to the voice.

Similarly a brieftone mars Decker's Channel-II hold everything secure broadcast. In both cases the brieftones are excessively loud signals and only their narrowband characters prevent them from obscuring the broadcasts.

Unlike the Bellah crosstalk where the loudness of the brieftone is comparable with the voice, the alleged Decker crosstalk contains no audible nor measurable brieftone.

The missing brieftone is the first clue that the alleged Decker crosstalk does not match the corresponding portion of the Decker broadcast while the badly garbled voice of the alleged Decker crosstalk that contrasts sharply with the clarity of the Bellah crosstalk is the second hint. (https://jfk.boards.net/thread/201/problems-acoustic-evidence)
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 14, 2020, 05:58:09 PM
Quote
Quote from: Joe Elliott on September 09, 2020, 01:44:14 AM
Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis

The “Hold Everything Secure” phrase, which was said about a minute after the assassination, and the “four impulse patterns” occur at about the same time on the Dictabelt recording. Dr. Donald Thomas explained this away by saying the two channels could drift apart from each other by a minute.

Would you have a source for this "offset" being explained (away)?

He doesn't understand what he's reading, or he's repeating some other person's mischaracterization of this issue.

There is no doubt there are offsets. Nobody denies this. Rush and O'Dell acknowledge there are offsets. The NRC panel acknowledged there are offsets and cited the AGC effect on the heterodynes (high-pitched feedback squeaks) and posited recorder stoppage to explain them. The question is, Was the offset in question imposed on Channel 1 or on Channel 2? NRC defenders claim that the offset was imposed on Channel 2 (or caused by impositions on Channel 2) via recorder stoppage. HSCA defenders assert that the offset was imposed on Channel 1 (or caused by impositions on Channel 1), and they note that this explanation agrees with the dispatcher's time notations. For a full discussion on the offset issue, see Thomas, Hear No Evil, pp. 638-643.

As Dr. Thomas observes, any discussion on the offset issue must consider the multiple intricate correlations between dictabelt gunshot impulses and the Dealey Plaza test-firing impulses.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 14, 2020, 08:48:04 PM
Mr. Elliott certainly got one thing right: your arguments always result in a copy-paste circus and now it's Herbert Blenner's turn.

So you object that I often include quotes in my replies. Well, sorry about that. Some people like to back up their points with direct quotes instead of always paraphrasing.

I doubt you actually understand what he's saying, he just happens to support your case.

I can tell by your arguments that I understand a whole lot more about this issue than you do.

I know of Blenner and consider him one of the worst technical writers I've encountered. It's a mystery to me what he's driving at and what he's trying to confirm or debunk.

You don't get his point? If so, that's because you don't know enough about the acoustical evidence to grasp his point. Let me simplify his point for you: Blenner was refuting the claim that the dictabelt's grassy knoll shot identified by the HSCA experts is just random noise, and he was explaining some of the reasons that the crosstalk cannot explain away the evidence of gunfire on the dictabelt. I thought that was already plainly obvious from Blenner's first sentence:

"No matter what the critics say they cannot make the pulse patterns attributed to gunfire vanish from the acoustic records. These patterns contain very special pulses that distinguish themselves from all the other snaps, crackles or pops."

And then he went on to point out some of the errors made by the NAS-NRC-Ramsey panel. But you still did not grasp his point. Well, now, hopefully, you do.


I'm not saying he doesn't know his stuff, I just don't have the patience to deal with him.

If you had done your homework, you would have no problem understanding Blenner's research. Blenner is not the greatest writer, but if you've done the necessary homework, you should be able to readily understand his articles. I might add that his writing is not as bad as that of some WC apologists who frequent online discussion forums.

BTW, being unfamiliar with the term specs tells me you haven't got a clue about audio equipment

Huh? Where do you get the ignorant claim that I don't know the term "specs"? I asked you to explain what specs you were talking about in the context of how the dictabelt would have recorded gunfire, since you seem to have the mistaken idea that it recorded gunfire differently than it recorded all other sounds.

You keep repeating this drivel about the "failure" to establish how the dictabelt recorded gunfire. As I've told you several times now, it recorded gunfire the same way it recorded every other sound.


and I'll bet you have no clue whatsoever how the circuitry of the dictabelt machine would affect the input signal to be recorded.

This is mighty bold talk, not to mention rude talk, from somebody who couldn't understand Blenner's point.

Anyway, first of all, Mr. I Can't Understand Blenner, the dictabelt machine had no "circuitry" that had anything to do with signal processing. The circuitry that affected how sounds were processed and transmitted to the dictabelt was external to the machine. The dictabelt itself had nothing, nothing, nothing to do with this--it was just the recording medium on which the sounds that were sent to it by the DPD dispatch system were recorded. You seem unable to grasp this basic point.

As for how the DPD dispatch system's circuitry affected the sounds that were transmitted to the dictabelt, I discussed this very issue in my last reply to you, and I've addressed this issue at least twice in other replies. In my previous reply, I quoted a detailed explanation from the W&A report about how the AGC circuit affected the processing of the sounds before they were transmitted to the dictabelt. Did you somehow miss all that?


Reading just the first few pages of the HSCA report Vol. III explains a lot. It's unclear in the Foreword what "authorized" means, but if they (BBN) were commissioned I hope they were handsomely paid. It's evident from section 1.2 they were provided three tapes containing Hi-Fi recorded stuff and they seemed to have blind faith in those tapes. Moving on to section 1.7 (p11) it's clear that the quality of the dictabelt recording was so bad that they had to speculate that what they termed "continuous noise" was believed to be the sound of a motorcycle engine. This is repeated on page 12. It immediately raises the question why the noise on the Hi-Fi recording could not be identified as engine noise from a bike and that didn't bother them? Especially in view of this found on a wiki page (I know, it's wiki and the source is Bugliosi) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_F._Kennedy_assassination_Dictabelt_recording): 

There's nothing to disagree about, I'm stating the facts.

Oh, boy. . . .  These arguments are laughable. They are ignorant jibberish.

As for Bugliosi, he was a total idiot on the acoustical evidence. He knew next to nothing about the acoustical evidence, didn't understand the HSCA research, grossly misrepresented the HSCA research, grossly misrepresented Dr. Scheim's and Dr. Thomas's research, and ignored all responses to his ignorant babbling on the subject after his book was published.

When you are ready to discuss the intricate correlations between the dictabelt gunshot impulses and the impulses from the Dealey Plaza test firing, let me know. But let me save you some time: If your plan is to once again go running to pro-WC sites or to read the NAS-NRC-Ramsey report, be advised that none of these sources ever gets around to dealing with those correlations.

I suspect you are another Joe Elliott in that you won't seriously read anything that you know contradicts what you want to believe. However, on the off chance that you ever decide you really want to study the other side, you might start with chapters 16-19 of Dr. Thomas's book Hear No Evil.

And, Dr. Josiah Thompson will include a detailed defense of the acoustical evidence in his highly anticipated book Last Second in Dallas, which will be published in November. Dr. Thomas and other scholars have been working with Thompson on the acoustics section.


Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 15, 2020, 08:07:42 AM

Okay, let's see if we can clear this up. We need to understand that the dictabelt machine was the medium on which the sounds were recorded; the dictabelt itself did not control how the sounds were processed before they arrived, before they were recorded. The dictabelt received sounds from the DPD dispatch system. The DPD dispatch system included an AGC circuit, among other circuits. The AGC circuit greatly affected how sounds were processed before they arrived at the dictabelt. I quote from the Weiss and Aschkenasy report to the HSCA:
 

The bottom line, despite all the claims you make, despite all the claims the Acoustic experts from the 1978 HSCA study make, despite all the claims Dr. Thomas make, we don’t know what gunshots on a Dictabelt would sound like. We have all sorts of unanswered questions.

•   Would Dictabelt record the sounds of gunshots as N-waves we see on the 1963 Dictabelt recording?
•   Would the Dictabelt record the sounds of gunshots as sounding something like the sound of gunshots, or at least as audible noises, or would it be like the 1963 recording?
•   Can the recording of Channel 1 be offset in time from Channel 2, so that crosstalk could make it appear that events happened a minute apart, even thought they really happened at about the same time?

We don’t know the answer to these questions, and we will never know the answer to these questions because the 1978 Acoustic experts failed to test this out.

So, all we have, is the assurance of these Acoustic experts is that:

•   Yes, the Dictabelt would record the sounds of gunshots, just like the N-waves recorded on the 1963 recording.
•   No, the sound of the gunshots won’t sound like gunshots, or even as loud noises, on a Dictabelt recording.
•   Yes, the sounds recorded can be offset, so the “sound of the gunshots” could appear to happen at the same time as a recorded phrase like “Hold everything secure”, even if they really happened a minute or more apart.

In an ideal world, we would not only have the opinion of these experts, but we would have proof of their claims, in a 1978 Dictabelt recording. Real competent scientists, don’t just give us their expert opinions. They also provide proof when possible. And the test which would have proven, or refuted, some or all of these claims were not run in 1978, even though they could easily have been run. And this failure was caused by these same acoustic experts you ask us to trust.

Question:

How much stronger would the acoustic expert’s claims be if we had:

•   A 1978 Dictabelt recording which recorded gunshots as N-waves quite similar to the 1963 recording.
•   A 1978 Dictabelt recording which recorded gunshots as inaudible sounds, just like the 1963 recording.
•   That demonstrated, the sounds recorded, via crosstalk, could appear to happen at about the same time, but really have occurred about a minute apart.

Answer:

Immensely stronger. Immensely stronger. And disproven If the 1978 Dictabelt recording did not demonstrate this.


Does anyone disagree with my answer?



The bottom line is you and others can claim all day about, what a Dictabelt recording would show, what it would not show, but no one really knows. Because this was not tested out in the real world. And we know how to blame. The acoustic experts who screwed this up back in 1978.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 15, 2020, 08:50:56 AM

I doubt you actually understand what he's saying, he just happens to support your case. I know of Blenner and consider him one of the worst technical writers I've encountered. It's a mystery to me what he's driving at and what he's trying to confirm or debunk. I'm not saying he doesn't know his stuff, I just don't have the patience to deal with him.

I am going to get a little off topic here. I can assure you that Mr. Blenner does not know his stuff.

He once objected to the following testimony of Larry SPersonivan

Quote
Mr. SPersonIVAN.
Now, the next line labeled momentum lost, all I have done is taken the product of the mass-this is 162 grains divided by 7,000 - which gives us the mass of the bullet in pounds. Multiply that mass of bullet in pounds times 800 - feet per second, the velocity lost, and we have a quantity, an unusual quantity, 18.4 pound feet per second of momentum which has been deposited by the bullet.

What was Mr. Blenner’s objection. That 18.4 pound feet per second is not the correct answer, and that it is not even an expression of momentum.

I asked, “What to you mean “pound per second” are not units of momentum. Momentum is expressed as “mass * velocity” or “mass * distance / time”. He responded with a quote from a government report showing momentum being expressed in “pound seconds”, not “pound feet per second”. So “pound feet per second” are not units of momentum. So, Larry SPersonivan did not know basic physics.

Now I confess, I was a little confused about this at first. I only took Physics in high school. And a quarter in college. I had never heard of momentum being expressed in “pound seconds”. But, when I thought about it for a bit, I realized that both made sense. If the “pound” in “pound feet per second” is a unit of mass, then this is a valid unit of momentum. And if “pound” in “pound seconds” is a unit of force, then this is also a valid unit of momentum. But I never presented myself as anything other than a former good high school physics student. Herbert Blenner gives the impression that he is much more than that. But he failed to see how “pound feet per second” is a valid unit for momentum. Like he didn’t understand that momentum is mass times velocity. I don’t think that Herbert Blenner knows as much about physics as I do.

By the way, why was Larry SPersonivan not using the metric system, as any good scientist should do? Because he was giving testimony to laymen and was told to use English units, not Metric units, so they would not be confused.


This conversation was recorded on this forum, but it all disappeared a few years ago when the forum went down due to a hacker attack.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 15, 2020, 01:38:47 PM
Joe and Otto, if you want to educate yourselves on the basics of the acoustical evidence, I suggest you watch the following video made by Dr. Thomas in 2014. He covers a lot of the evidence that the dictabelt contains gunfire--not all of it, but a lot of it. He also addresses the crosstalk issue and the Sonalysts study. You'll want to watch the Q&A segment as well, which includes questions from Dr. Mantik and from one of the HSCA staffers who worked with the HSCA acoustical experts. The video is only 40 minutes long and includes lots of graphics.

https://aarclibrary.org/dr-donald-b-thomas-jfk-acoustical-evidence-challenge-and-corroboration/
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joffrey van de Wiel on September 15, 2020, 04:54:51 PM
Gentlemen,

I have a question about the acoustical evidence that I hope can be answered.

On the one hand, we have video evidence like the Zapruder film but they contain no audio. They are all mute.

On the other hand we have the dictabelt recording of 4 to 6 shots fired at the President at Dealey Plaza.

Can both video and audio files be combined, or overlayed, or compared? If frame 313 of the Zapruder film is taken as a starting point for any one impulse on the dictabelt recording, then presumably we could shift the graph of those impulses to match with the frame. By determining which impulse is linked to frame 313, a shooting scenario could be established, but if any one impulse on the recording can not be matched to any reactions by the President or the Governor then the dictabelt recording interpretation is flawed?

This is very hard for me to explain or even phrase properly in a foreign language. Please forgive any errors. I hope however that you understand the basics of my question. Dr. Thomas's presentation is very compelling, as are the HSCA's, but since I am not an expert on the matter I am perhaps easily impressed.

@ Michael Griffith
Thanks for your extensive responses in this thread. I don't understand it all, but I am learning because of your contributions. Please keep up the good work!
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 15, 2020, 05:45:41 PM
Gentlemen,

I have a question about the acoustical evidence that I hope can be answered.

On the one hand, we have video evidence like the Zapruder film but they contain no audio. They are all mute.

On the other hand we have the dictabelt recording of 4 to 6 shots fired at the President at Dealey Plaza.

Can both video and audio files be combined, or overlayed, or compared? If frame 313 of the Zapruder film is taken as a starting point for any one impulse on the dictabelt recording, then presumably we could shift the graph of those impulses to match with the frame. By determining which impulse is linked to frame 313, a shooting scenario could be established, but if any one impulse on the recording can not be matched to any reactions by the President or the Governor then the dictabelt recording interpretation is flawed?

This is very hard for me to explain or even phrase properly in a foreign language. Please forgive any errors. I hope however that you understand the basics of my question. Dr. Thomas's presentation is very compelling, as are the HSCA's, but since I am not an expert on the matter I am perhaps easily impressed.

@ Michael Griffith
Thanks for your extensive responses in this thread. I don't understand it all, but I am learning because of your contributions. Please keep up the good work!

There is a surprising--surprising to me, at least--degree of correlation between the timing of the gunshot impulse patterns on the dictabelt and the timing of the reactions to gunfire in the Zapruder film. Many scholars have discussed this subject.

Personally, I have never bothered much with this issue because I think there is convincing evidence that the current Zapruder film has been altered and is shorter than the original. Yet, there are correlations in timing between the dictabelt gunshots and the gunfire reactions in the Zapruder film.

Interestingly, the HSCA acoustical experts made one math error that exaggerated the chances that the correlations between the dictabelt shots and the Dealey Plaza test-firing shots could be a coincidence. Based on this math error, they calculated that the odds that the correlations are a coincidence are less than 1 in 20, or less than 5%. Those are still long odds, to be sure. But, in actuality, the odds that the correlations are a coincidence are 1 in 100,000 (Thomas, Hear No Evil, pp. 628-632).
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 15, 2020, 07:15:56 PM

There is a surprising--surprising to me, at least--degree of correlation between the timing of the gunshot impulse patterns on the dictabelt and the timing of the reactions to gunfire in the Zapruder film. Many scholars have discussed this subject.

Personally, I have never bothered much with this issue because I think there is convincing evidence that the current Zapruder film has been altered and is shorter than the original. Yet, there are correlations in timing between the dictabelt gunshots and the gunfire reactions in the Zapruder film.

Interestingly, the HSCA acoustical experts made one math error that exaggerated the chances that the correlations between the dictabelt shots and the Dealey Plaza test-firing shots could be a coincidence. Based on this math error, they calculated that the odds that the correlations are a coincidence are less than 1 in 20, or less than 5%. Those are still long odds, to be sure. But, in actuality, the odds that the correlations are a coincidence are 1 in 100,000 (Thomas, Hear No Evil, pp. 628-632).

Now that’s what I call experts. :)

What kind of an expert would make calculations that are off by more than 3 orders of magnitude? They calculated the odds as 1 and 20, but with the correct calculations the odds are 1 in 100,000. I don’t believe in Dr. Thomas’s one in 100,000 odds any more than I believe in the 1978 HSCA acoustic experts 1 in 20 odds. Not when the positions of the motorcycles make the odds zero.

See:

Dictabelt Acoustic Question – Who Rode the Motorcycle

https://www.jfkassassinationforum.com/index.php/topic,2710.0.html (https://www.jfkassassinationforum.com/index.php/topic,2710.0.html)
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 15, 2020, 08:01:26 PM

Gentlemen,

I have a question about the acoustical evidence that I hope can be answered.

On the one hand, we have video evidence like the Zapruder film but they contain no audio. They are all mute.

On the other hand we have the dictabelt recording of 4 to 6 shots fired at the President at Dealey Plaza.

Can both video and audio files be combined, or overlayed, or compared? If frame 313 of the Zapruder film is taken as a starting point for any one impulse on the dictabelt recording, then presumably we could shift the graph of those impulses to match with the frame. By determining which impulse is linked to frame 313, a shooting scenario could be established, but if any one impulse on the recording can not be matched to any reactions by the President or the Governor then the dictabelt recording interpretation is flawed?

This is very hard for me to explain or even phrase properly in a foreign language. Please forgive any errors. I hope however that you understand the basics of my question. Dr. Thomas's presentation is very compelling, as are the HSCA's, but since I am not an expert on the matter I am perhaps easily impressed.

@ Michael Griffith
Thanks for your extensive responses in this thread. I don't understand it all, but I am learning because of your contributions. Please keep up the good work!

This is a very good question. And you may hope that it will be answered. But I fear your hopes may be in vain. Why? Because CTers don’t like to answer this question.

The best I can figure, the original HSCA acoustic experts back in 1979 reported that the timing of the shots are:

First shot, Time 0.0 seconds, from sixth floor or the TSBD. Motorcycle is approaching Elm Street, must be within about 12 feet of Elm Street (my estimate), if going 5 MPH around the sharp corner.
Second shot, Time 1.6 seconds, from sixth floor of the TSBD. Motorcycle was at the corner of Houston and Elm.
Third shot, Time 7.6 seconds, from Grassy Knoll. Motorcycle was 80 feet west of Houston and Elm.
Fourth shot, Time 8.2 seconds, from sixth floor of the TSBD. Motorcycle was about 90 feet west of Houston and Elm.

To see how I got these numbers, you can see my initial post at:

Dictabelt Acoustic Question – Who Rode the Motorcycle

https://www.jfkassassinationforum.com/index.php/topic,2710.0.html (https://www.jfkassassinationforum.com/index.php/topic,2710.0.html)

You say you have trouble interpreting written information because English is your second language? Believe me, even for someone like myself who only knows English, interpreting the HSCA Acoustic expert statements on when the fourth shot was fired is not easy. But as near as I can tell, they claim the fourth shot was fired 8.2 seconds after the first.

I don’t know, but I suspect, the Acoustic expects made this language confusing on purpose, to make it less clear as to what frames of the Zapruder film each shot corresponded to. Because they knew there was no good correspondence between the Zapruder film and their conclusions as to when the “shots” were fired.

*** Change ***
From the following chart:
https://books.google.com/books?id=lCDVdv11Q1MC&pg=PA63&lpg=PA63&dq=%22beginning+time+of+first+impulse+on+tape+segment%22&source=bl&ots=3uXAAkZjGt&sig=ACfU3U1rzIrEAgyIU-rPg5-9KT6bi82XtQ&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwj2x6_G6-vrAhXMs54KHbSxCYIQ6AEwAHoECAEQAQ#v=onepage&q=%22beginning%20time%20of%20first%20impulse%20on%20tape%20segment%22&f=false (https://books.google.com/books?id=lCDVdv11Q1MC&pg=PA63&lpg=PA63&dq=%22beginning+time+of+first+impulse+on+tape+segment%22&source=bl&ots=3uXAAkZjGt&sig=ACfU3U1rzIrEAgyIU-rPg5-9KT6bi82XtQ&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwj2x6_G6-vrAhXMs54KHbSxCYIQ6AEwAHoECAEQAQ#v=onepage&q=%22beginning%20time%20of%20first%20impulse%20on%20tape%20segment%22&f=false)

I got, what I assume, are more accurate numbers than listed in the January 1979 Acoustic Report. The numbers are hard to make out, but I get:

First shot, Time 0.00, from the TSBD.
Second shot, Time 1.57, from the TSBD.
Third shot, Time 7.45, from the Grassy Knoll.
Fourth shot, Time 7.91, from the TSBD.

So I have modified my post slightly to go with these numbers.

*** ***


So, if the third shot corresponds to Frame 313, the timing is:

First shot, Zapruder frame 177, from the TSBD.
Second shot, Zapruder frame 205, from the TSBD.
Third shot, Zapruder frame 313, from the Grassy Knoll.
Fourth shot, Zapruder frame 321, from the TSBD.

This doesn’t make any sense. When were Kennedy and Connally wounded? At 177? At 205? At both? I guess the Acoustic experts have no problem with both shots from the TSBD at frame 177 and 205 having to pass through the leaves of a tree. Why not? The HSCA had no problem with one bullet doing so, so why not two?



Let’s try the fourth shot corresponds to Frame 313. If so, the timing is:

First shot, Zapruder frame 168, from the TSBD.
Second shot, Zapruder frame 197, from the TSBD.
Third shot, Zapruder frame 305, from the Grassy Knoll.
Fourth shot, Zapruder frame 313, from the TSBD.

This doesn’t make any sense either. When were Kennedy and Connally wounded? At 168? At 197? At both? Again we have two bullet from the TSBD going through a true. Also, if this scenario is accepted, forget about “Back and to the Left”. Because this means the fatal shot at Zapruder frame 313 did come from behind, from the TSBD, just as the Warren Commission supporters have said all along.


And, of course, it makes even less sense for the first or second shot to be at frame 313.


There is a surprising--surprising to me, at least--degree of correlation between the timing of the gunshot impulse patterns on the dictabelt and the timing of the reactions to gunfire in the Zapruder film. Many scholars have discussed this subject.

The correlation between the timing of the “gunshots” on the Dictabelt recording matches up well with the Zapruder film, does it? Well let’s see you demonstrate this to Joffrey.


Questions:

1.   How many gunshots were fired all together? The Acoustic experts and their supporters, like yourself, seem vague on this basic question. Was it 4, 5 6, or more than 6? What is the answer?

2.   What is the timing of the shots? First shot at Time 0.0 seconds, Second shot at Time 1.6 seconds, etc.

3.   Where was each of these shots fired from? First shot from the TSBD? Second shot from the TSBD, etc.

4.   Which frames do each of these shots correspond to on the Zapruder film? If it’s hard to answer definitively, because you don’t know if it was the third fourth or fifth shot that corresponded to frame 313, list out the possibilities, like I have done.



Joffrey can correct me if I am wrong, but I think he would like to see these questions answered as well as I. And not get some sort of evasion.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 15, 2020, 08:27:58 PM
This is a very good question. And you may hope that it will be answered. But I fear your hopes may be in vain. Why? Because CTers don’t like to answer this question. [SNIP]

Oh my goodness, this is just ignorant. Partner, if you don't like being called out for ignorance, then you really need to stop posting until you know what in the world you're talking about.

Now, FYI, conspiracy theorists have written hundreds of pages on correlating the dictabelt gunshots with gunfire reactions in the Zapruder film. The HSCA discussed this very subject in its final report. Both of the expert consultant reports to the HSCA--the BBN report and the W&A report--discussed this issue; in fact, correlation with the Zapruder film was one of the criteria for identifying gunshot impulse patterns on the dictabelt, for crying out loud. How on earth can you not know this and yet pretend to credibly discuss the acoustical evidence?

Quote
Quote from Otto Beck:
Any believer in a faked Z-film should be greatly concerned if the acoustical evidence lines up with the Z-film as we know it.

Well, keep in mind that the alteration probably only removed 1-2 seconds' worth of frames from the shooting sequence in the Zapruder film. This would explain why the dictabelt gunshots do line up pretty well with the Zapruder film.

Quote
Quote from: Joffrey van de Wiel on Today at 04:54:51 PM
I have a question about the acoustical evidence that I hope can be answered. On the one hand, we have video evidence like the Zapruder film but they contain no audio. They are all mute. On the other hand we have the dictabelt recording of 4 to 6 shots fired at the President at Dealey Plaza. Can both video and audio files be combined, or overlayed, or compared?

Joffrey, I recommend you get Dr. Thomas's book Hear No Evil. It includes four chapters on the acoustical evidence, totaling 131 pages, including an extensive discussion on the correlation between the dictabelt gunshot impulse patterns and the gunfire reactions in the Zapruder film. Dr. Thomas provides a very condensed version of this discussion in the following article:

https://www.maryferrell.org/pages/Essay_-_Acoustics_Overview_and_History_-_part_2.html

Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 15, 2020, 09:36:35 PM

Oh my goodness, this is just ignorant. Partner, if you don't like being called out for ignorance, then you really need to stop posting until you know what in the world you're talking about.

Now, FYI, conspiracy theorists have written hundreds of pages on correlating the dictabelt gunshots with gunfire reactions in the Zapruder film. The HSCA discussed this very subject in its final report. Both of the expert consultant reports to the HSCA--the BBN report and the W&A report--discussed this issue; in fact, correlation with the Zapruder film was one of the criteria for identifying gunshot impulse patterns on the dictabelt, for crying out loud. How on earth can you not know this and yet pretend to credibly discuss the acoustical evidence?

Well, keep in mind that the alteration probably only removed 1-2 seconds' worth of frames from the shooting sequence in the Zapruder film. This would explain why the dictabelt gunshots do line up pretty well with the Zapruder film.

Joffrey, I recommend you get Dr. Thomas's book Hear No Evil. It includes four chapters on the acoustical evidence, totaling 131 pages, including an extensive discussion on the correlation between the dictabelt gunshot impulse patterns and the gunfire reactions in the Zapruder film. Dr. Thomas provides a very condensed version of this discussion in the following article:

https://www.maryferrell.org/pages/Essay_-_Acoustics_Overview_and_History_-_part_2.html

Why no, I don’t mind being called ignorant from someone who has been as evasive as you.


Question for Joffrey van de Wiel

Has Mr. Griffith answered your questions about the number of the “shots” on the Dictabelt recording?
And the timing of these “shots”?
And the source of each “shot” (TSBD, Grassy Knoll, etc.)?
And which Zapruder frame each “shot” corresponds to?

Have you found that there is the excellent correlation between the answers that Mr. Griffith has given you and the Zapruder film as he claims we can find?

Or have you found that Mr. Griffith has been evasive, as I predicted.

And if you haven’t found Mr. Griffith to be evasive, how many “gunshots” are to be found on the Dictabelt recording?



And Joffrey, if you have found Mr. Griffith to be evasive, don’t waste your time and money on Dr. Thomas’s “Hear No Evil”. You will find that Dr. Thomas does not answer these questions either, and is just as evasive as Mr. Griffith.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 15, 2020, 09:41:19 PM

Well, keep in mind that the alteration probably only removed 1-2 seconds' worth of frames from the shooting sequence in the Zapruder film. This would explain why the dictabelt gunshots do line up pretty well with the Zapruder film.

Question:

Are you claiming that 1 to 2 seconds, or 18 to 36 frames, were removed from the Zapruder film?

Is so, what did they replace these missing frames with?

Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 16, 2020, 06:38:13 AM

The failure of the acoustic analysis, is best shown by the failure to specify when the shots occurred relative to each other.

Back in January 1979, the acoustic experts published the intervals.

First shot at time 0.00 seconds, from the TSBD.
Second shot at time 1.57 seconds, from the TSBD.
Third shot at time 7.45 seconds, from the Grassy Knoll.
Fourth shot at time 7.91 seconds, from the TSBD.

These times are relative to the first shot. So, the 4 shots were over an interval of 7.91 seconds.

They have not published such a table since. Why?

Because the times don’t correlate to the Zapruder, Hughes and Nix films.

The Zapruder and Hughes film, while they don’t show when Officer McLain is at frame z223, they show him too far away to reach within 15 feet of Elm Street, where they need him to be where the acoustic data says he must be. Even if they choose the latest possible time, z223, it doesn’t work. A second difficulty is that if the first shot is at z223, the second shot is at z 252, too soon for the head shot, and the third shot is at z359, way too late to be the head shot.

Pushing the first shot back to z177 solves this problem, but it makes the McClain problem even more absurd, requiring him to travel 200 feet in one second. Impossible. And also, impossible, I might add, in 3.4 seconds.

The Nix film is a problem because it shows all four of the officers who are supposed to be right behind, the Presidential limousine at the time of the head shot, when one of them is supposed to be 120 to 160 feet behind. And the Hughes film shows Officers McLain and Baker right where they are supposed to be, 350 feet behind the Presidential limousine, between vehicles 10 and 11 (the Presidential limousine is vehicle 2) as late as Zapruder frame 160, still going at a slow steady speed. Both the Zapruder film and the Hughes film show the Vice-Presidential car just starting to turn onto Elm, establishing where Officer’s McLain and Baker are at Zapruder frame 160.

That’s it. They are all out of motorcycle officers who could be at Houston and Elm in time. No one is close to where the acoustic evidence says one motorcycle should be, 120 to 160 feet behind the President. Far from making an excellent prediction, the acoustic experts made about the worst prediction they could have made. Not 0 to 40 feet behind the President. Not 330 to 370 feet behind the President. But right in the black hole. Right where there are no police motorcycles with a radio transmitter.


Hence, for the last 40 years, no published list of the time intervals of the Dictabelt shots. An assurance that the time intervals match what is shown on the Zapruder film to an amazing degree, which is an amazing claim, considering that Mr. Griffith does not seem to know what these time intervals are. At least he is not telling us.

Dr. Thomas has since discovered a “fifth shot” somehow missed by the acoustic experts. I think the main value, is that maybe this fifth shot could partly fix the problem. Maybe it will allow a late first shot while still allowing a shot to occur at frame 313. But I don’t think so, because if it did, Dr. Thomas would publish the time intervals of the five shots and not keep them a secret.

Hence, the need to keep these time intervals between the shots a big mystery.

If this is not enough to convince people that the acoustic claims are bogus, I don’t know what is.


Now, expect Mr. Griffith to explain how ignorant I am and to post a link to a bunch of other materials, and to recommend a book or two for people to purchase, and to recommend of us to check it out. None of which will provide these time intervals between the acoustic “shots”.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 16, 2020, 03:16:13 PM
Quote
Table 1.- Synchronization of Putative Shots to Zapruder Frames
(https://sites.google.com/site/jfkforum/misc/newsgroup/spacers/dot_clear.gif)
Acoustic
Event
(https://sites.google.com/site/jfkforum/misc/newsgroup/spacers/dot_clear.gif)
      Tape
Time
      Tape-Time
Interval
      Real
Time
      Z-Frame
Equivalent
      Shot
Origin
A  136.2  - 8.7  9.1  Z-147  No Match
B  137.7  - 7.2  7.5  Z-175  TSBD
C  139.2  - 5.6  5.8  Z-204  Rogue Shot
D  140.3  - 4.6  4.8  Z-224  TSBD
E  (145.1) 144.9       0     0  Z-312  KNOLL
F  145.6  + 0.7  0.7  Z-326  TSBD

Regarding the 136.2/Z147 shot, keep in mind that the current version of the Zapruder film begins later than Zapruder said it began and later than Dan Rather said it began. There is a long gap between the first appearance of motorcycles on Elm Street and the limo's first appearance on the street. Researchers naturally suspect that a shot and reactions to that shot occurred in that interval, shortly after the limo turned onto Elm Street, and that that's why the segment was removed.

Before Zapruder knew what he was supposed to say, he told CBS News that he began filming as soon as the limousine turned onto Elm Street from Houston Street, as one would logically expect he would have done. But the current Zapruder film shows no turn onto Elm Street and skips from the motorcycles' first appearance on Elm Street to the limousine already on the street at Z133.

And before Dan Rather knew what he was supposed to say, he reported that the version of the Zapruder film that he watched the day after the assassination showed the limousine turning from Houston onto Elm: he said that in the film the limo "made a turn, a left turn, off Houston Street onto Elm Street."

Also, as Dr. Thomas documents, there is no acoustical or trajectory reason to label the 139.2 shot as a rogue shot. Blakey insisted on rejecting that shot because it meant two gunman were firing from behind.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 16, 2020, 10:45:35 PM

Joe, it would be easier to follow your argument by using the actual material published by Dr. Thomas and object to what you believe is wrong. One source of "Hear No Evil" is here: http://www.whokilledjfk.net/hear_no_evil.htm

If you go to section FILMED EVIDENCE OF THE MOTORCYCLE you have a table of shots and Z-frames (Table 1). It says that "Tape Times from BBN Report Table 2.", which I haven't checked, but the times you're asking for should be there.

Edit: unfortunately the figures don't display in the url I listed above.

Thank you Otto. This information is most helpful. I’ll start another thread on it in a day or two. At a glance, I can see why Mr. Griffith was not giving us this information directly, even though, the initial impression, is that it matches up with the Zapruder film. But I will show that this is bogus.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joffrey van de Wiel on September 17, 2020, 12:12:39 AM
This is the  dictabelt recording combined with the Zapruder film. In the first half, gunshot sounds have been inserted in those places where the dictabelt shows impulses that the experts said were gunshots. In the second half we can only hear the actual dictabelt recording. This video shows four shots, with the third one the headshot at frame 313. Is it accurate? 


(http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_Z2tn0IHzcKg/TSnYqAztkBI/AAAAAAAAAFM/edxURnw82rg/s1600/Acoustics3.jpg)
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 17, 2020, 07:33:29 AM

Joe and Otto, if you want to educate yourselves on the basics of the acoustical evidence, I suggest you watch the following video made by Dr. Thomas in 2014. He covers a lot of the evidence that the dictabelt contains gunfire--not all of it, but a lot of it. He also addresses the crosstalk issue and the Sonalysts study. You'll want to watch the Q&A segment as well, which includes questions from Dr. Mantik and from one of the HSCA staffers who worked with the HSCA acoustical experts. The video is only 40 minutes long and includes lots of graphics.

https://aarclibrary.org/dr-donald-b-thomas-jfk-acoustical-evidence-challenge-and-corroboration/

A few observations:

1.   The Question and Answer period. Every single one of those people were fans of Dr. Thomas. Nobody asked any tough questions, which I would like asked.

2.   My favorite questioner?

The guy at 36:30 informed them that he saw proof that Gerald Ford moved up the bullet in the back of JFK nine inches. Nine inches! Yes, it had to be moved up 9 inches because it turned out that the actual shot came from a blimp firing from the front, but firing down at an angle of 50 degrees (arctan(7/6) = 50 degrees), resulting in a back wound that was 7 inches lower than the throat wound. But, by moving the wound up 9 inches, instead of the back wound being 7 inches below the throat wound, it was now two inches higher, allowing them to say the bullet came from the back coming down at an angle of 18 degrees (arctan(2/6) = 18 degrees) from the sixth floor window.

3.   But what stood out the most was him playing a snippet of the recording from the motorcycle with the stuck microphone. And there was a motorcycle with a stuck microphone. At 7:40, Dr. Thomas plays the recording starting at 12:32 CST on November 1963. He plays it for about 8 seconds. You can hear loud sirens, clearly nearby, during the 8 seconds. This clearly gives the impression that the motorcycle with the stuck microphone was travelling with the Presidential limousine, with sirens blaring, on the way the Parkland hospital. Indeed, even the Police Dispatcher thought so and tried to get someone to find that officer so the key could be unstuck and free up Channel 1 for emergency communication. However, the Police Dispatcher forgot that in addition to having motorcycles accompanying the Presidential limousine, he also had motorcycles waiting at the Trade Mart, where the President was scheduled to give a speech. And that same freeway passes by the Trade Mart Center. Well, if you play the entire 5-minute segment, during the time the limousine was driven at high speed to the hospital, you don’t hear continuous sirens for 5 minutes. Instead, things are quiet, then one can hear the sound of approaching sirens. The sirens are quite loud for a few seconds, and then the sound of the sirens gradually fade away. The you hear sirens approaching again, get loud and fade away. And then a third time the sirens get loud and fade away. This is the sort of noise one would hear from a motorcycle waiting at the Trade Mart Center, not with a motorcycle travelling with limousine to the hospital.

Now, Dr. Thomas isn’t exactly lying here. He did play the authentic recording. But he was being quite deceitful. He only played 8 seconds of sirens. It was only the section where the sirens were loud. Had he played the whole thing, and it would only have taken 5 minutes, his case would have collapsed.

So, yes, I did learn a thing or two about the good Dr. Thomas.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 17, 2020, 12:42:52 PM
Quote
Quote from: Otto Beck on September 16, 2020, 09:48:35 AM
Joe, it would be easier to follow your argument by using the actual material published by Dr. Thomas and object to what you believe is wrong. One source of "Hear No Evil" is here: http://www.whokilledjfk.net/hear_no_evil.htm

If you go to section FILMED EVIDENCE OF THE MOTORCYCLE you have a table of shots and Z-frames (Table 1). It says that "Tape Times from BBN Report Table 2.", which I haven't checked, but the times you're asking for should be there.

Edit: unfortunately the figures don't display in the url I listed above.

Thank you Otto. This information is most helpful. I’ll start another thread on it in a day or two. At a glance, I can see why Mr. Griffith was not giving us this information directly, even though, . . .

What a bunch of lying nonsense. I have provided links to Dr. Thomas's articles in several of my replies. I've also provided citations from his book in some of my replies. I've also provided a link to one of Dr. Thomas's videos on the acoustical evidence. Just a few replies ago, I provided a link to one of Dr. Thomas's discussions on correlating the dictabelt and the Zapruder film. I also cited the pages in his book where he discusses this issue.

First you whine and complain because I have provided long quotes from Dr. Thomas's articles in some of my replies, but then you turn around and claim that I have not been "giving us this information directly."

the initial impression, is that it matches up with the Zapruder film. But I will show that this is bogus.

Yeah, uh-huh. You will do no such thing. You don't even know the basics about the acoustical evidence. You have committed one embarrassing gaffe after another. Just a few replies ago, you made the jaw-dropping claim that conspiracy theorists "don't like" to talk about whether the dictabelt shots correlate with the Zapruder film shots, which proves you have not read the HSCA materials and have not read Dr. Thomas's research. You've devoted several replies to utterly batty claims about offsets, proving you have not even read the NRC panel's report, much less Dr. Thomas's research on the subject.

Question for Joffrey van de Wiel

Has Mr. Griffith answered your questions about the number of the “shots” on the Dictabelt recording?
And the timing of these “shots”?
And the source of each “shot” (TSBD, Grassy Knoll, etc.)?
And which Zapruder frame each “shot” corresponds to?

Have you found that there is the excellent correlation between the answers that Mr. Griffith has given you and the Zapruder film as he claims we can find?

Or have you found that Mr. Griffith has been evasive, as I predicted.

And if you haven’t found Mr. Griffith to be evasive, how many “gunshots” are to be found on the Dictabelt recording?

What a bald-faced liar you are. Well, you're either a bald-faced liar or you have not read most of my replies. I've discussed and provided links on every single one of the issues you mention. Are you just hoping that people who read this thread won't go back and check my previous replies or something? Because if they do, they're gonna wonder how you could make such demonstrably false statements.

Quote
Otto Beck
If the Decker/Fisher pair result from cross talk (coming from Channel-2) and Channel-1 records uninterrupted in real time there is no way the Decker/Fisher pair on Channel-2 can be spaced further apart in time that on Channel-1.

If synchronized using the Fischer broadcast the Decker arrives too late on CH-2, if synchronized using the Decker broadcast the Fischer broadcast on CH-1 evidently can't be simulcast.

Since CH-2 is voice activated, simulcasts must be equally or closer spaced on CH-2, something is not right here.

LOL! This is downright funny. Now, I know you copied this from some pro-WC website, and you clearly do not understand what you said. It's obvious you still have not read Dr. Thomas's research, because Dr. Thomas addresses these and other issues regarding the timing of the Decker, Bellah, Curry, and Fisher crosstalk episodes in great detail.

The Decker crosstalk is the most problematic and out-of-sync of all the crosstalk episodes. But you guys pick it as your time anchor because that's the only way you can claim that the gunshots on the dictabelt occur after the assassination. Let me repeat what I've written elsewhere:

* According to the DPD dispatcher’s “12:30” time notation on Channel 2, the gunshots were recorded during the assassination. Yes, the dispatcher on each channel periodically gave time notations, and on the dictabelt the Channel 2 dispatcher voices the time notation “12:30” at virtually the same time the gunshots occur on the dictabelt on Channel 1.

* The first gunshot on the dictabelt occurs just 2 seconds after the Fisher “I’ll check it” crosstalk, and the Fisher transmission occurs just before the dispatcher notes “12:30” on Channel 2.

* The first gunshot on the dictabelt occurs just after Curry’s “triple underpass” transmission. This transmission comes right after Fisher’s “I’ll check it” transmission and just before the dispatcher’s “12:30” time notation. Curry’s “triple underpass” transmission was made to note that the motorcade was on Elm Street and that his car was approaching the triple underpass (his car was ahead of the presidential limo).

* The final gunshot on the dictabelt, which comes 8.3 seconds after the first one, occurs about 10 seconds before Curry’s “to the hospital” transmission, and we know Curry’s “to the hospital” transmission was made 18 seconds after his “triple underpass” transmission.

* Thus, it is very clear that the gunshots on the dictabelt were recorded during the 18 seconds between Fisher’s “I’ll check it” transmission and Curry’s “to the hospital” transmission. Curry yelled “go to the hospital” after he saw that JFK had been wounded, after Curry’s car slowed down to let the limo catch up with it and pass it, and we know when this happened because the event is captured on the Zapruder film.







Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joffrey van de Wiel on September 17, 2020, 04:47:05 PM
Why no, I don’t mind being called ignorant from someone who has been as evasive as you.


Question for Joffrey van de Wiel

Has Mr. Griffith answered your questions about the number of the “shots” on the Dictabelt recording?
And the timing of these “shots”?
And the source of each “shot” (TSBD, Grassy Knoll, etc.)?
And which Zapruder frame each “shot” corresponds to?

Have you found that there is the excellent correlation between the answers that Mr. Griffith has given you and the Zapruder film as he claims we can find?

Or have you found that Mr. Griffith has been evasive, as I predicted.

And if you haven’t found Mr. Griffith to be evasive, how many “gunshots” are to be found on the Dictabelt recording?



And Joffrey, if you have found Mr. Griffith to be evasive, don’t waste your time and money on Dr. Thomas’s “Hear No Evil”. You will find that Dr. Thomas does not answer these questions either, and is just as evasive as Mr. Griffith.

Sir,

I just noticed your questions for me because my internet connection broke down. I apologize for not responding sooner.

Let me first state then, that I think Mr. Griffith is a very astute researcher and author. I don't think he is being evasive, or is just copying and pasting as a quick way to respond to questions or prove his point. The problem for me is trying to comprehend his (and yours, for that matter) reasoning as I lack sufficient knowledge of physics in general and acoustics in particular. On top of that, I don't understand how a dictabelt recording device works. It is apparently capable of recording human voices, church bells and sirenes, but unable to record the loud bang associated with a gun shot. Then there appear on the recording these high-pitched tones which are unexplained.

I have viewed a presentation of Dr. Thomas on YouTube. Much of it went over my head but as I understand it the following is true:

1) On the day of the assassination, the Dallas Police radio channel 1 was reserved for regular police communications;
2) On the day of the assassination, the Dallas Police radio channel 2 was reserved for the Presidential motorcade;
3) Channel 2 radio traffic was recorded on a Dicta-belt;
4) At a certain time, the microphone of one of the escorting motorcycle officers in the Presidential parade got stuck on the 'transmit' position.

The points of contention are:

1) There was no microphone stuck on the 'transmit' position in the motorcade, and if there was, it was nowhere near Dealey Plaza at 12:30 p.m.;
2) The open microphone did not record any gunshots;
3) The impulses shown on the audiograph are not gunshots but random impulses created by ambient noise;
4) The dictabelt recording can not be matched to the Zapruder film because it has been altered;
5) The four to six shots recorded by the dictabelt contradict the Warren Commission's findings therefore it can not possibly be true;
6) Some gunshot impulses on the recording can not be matched to any test shots, therefore the acoustic evidence is invalid.

I'm missing a few perhaps. I joined this Forum in order to learn something. It is dedicated to a debate about the JFK assassination. A debate is worthless when one is not willing or able to consider the points of view put forward by its participants. I am weighing the evidence put forward by both sides of the equation and hope to come to some sort of conclusion in the near future. 

Meanwhile I remain respectfully yours,

Joffrey

(edited for grammar and translation errors.)


Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 17, 2020, 06:39:55 PM
For the sake of those who might be new to the HSCA’s acoustical evidence of four gunshots, or for those who have read one or two articles on the subject and who want to learn more, below are some helpful excerpts from the section on the acoustical evidence in the HSCA’s final report. This report was aimed at the average reader, so the authors made every effort to explain the acoustical evidence in plain English as much as possible. If you are trying to make heads or tails of this thread, these excerpts should be helpful.

Quote
To the human ear, the tapes and Dictabelts contain no discernible sounds of gunfire. The dispatcher's voice notations of the time of day indicate that channel 2 apparently was not in use during the period when the shots were fired. Channel 1 transmissions, however, were inadvertently being recorded from a motorcycle or other police vehicle whose radio transmission switch was stuck in the "on" position.(10) BBN was asked to examine the channel 1 Dictabelts and the tape that was made of them to see if it could determine: (1) if they were, in fact, recorded transmissions from a motorcycle with a microphone stuck in the "on" position in Dealey Plaza; (2) if the sounds of shots had been, in fact, recorded; (3) the number of shots; (4) the time interval between the shots; (5) the location of the weapon or weapons used to fire the shots; and (6) the type of weapon or weapons used.

BBN converted the sounds on the tape into digitized waveforms and produced a visual representation of the waveforms.(11) By employing sophisticated electronic filters, BBN filtered out "repetitive noise," such as repeated firings of the pistons of the motorcycle engine.(12) It then examined the tape for "sequences of impulses" that might be significant. (A "sequence of impulses" might be caused by a loud noise--such as gunfire--followed by the echoes from that loud noise.) Six sequences of impulses that could have been caused by a noise such as gunfire were initially identified as having been transmitted over channel 1.(13) Thus, they warranted further analysis.

These six sequences of impulses, or impulse patterns, were subjected to preliminary screening tests to determine if any could be conclusively determined not to have been caused by gunfire during the assassination. The screening tests were designed to answer the following questions:(14)

-- Do the impulse patterns, in fact, occur during the period of the assassination?
-- Are the impulse patterns unique to the period of the assassination?
-- Does the span of time of the impulse patterns approximate the duration of the assassination as indicated by a preliminary analysis of the Zapruder film? (Are there at least 5.6 seconds between the first and last impulse? 4)
-- Does the shape of the impulse patterns resemble the shape of impulse patterns produced when the sound of gunfire is recorded through a radio transmission system comparable to the one used the Dallas police dispatch network?
-- Are the amplitudes of the impulse patterns similar to those produced when the sound of gunfire is recorded through a transmission system comparable to the one used for the Dallas police dispatch network?

All six impulse patterns passed the preliminary screening tests.(15)

BBN next recommended that the committee conduct an acoustical reconstruction of the assassination in Dealey Plaza to determine if any of the six impulse patterns on the dispatch tape were caused by shots and, if so, if the shots were fired from the Texas School Book Depository or the grassy knoll.(16) The reconstruction would entail firing from two locations in Dealey Plaza--the depository and the knoll--at particular target locations and recording the sounds through numerous microphones. The purpose was to determine if the sequences of impulses recorded during the reconstruction would match any of those on the dispatch tape. If so, it would be possible to determine if the impulse patterns on the dispatch tape were caused by shots fired during the assassination from shooter locations in the depository and on the knoll.(17). . . .

. . . it was deemed judicious to seek an independent review of Barger's analysis before proceeding with the acoustical reconstruction. So, in July 1978, the committee contacted the Acoustical Society of America to solicit recommendations for persons qualified to review the BBN analysis and the proposed Dallas reconstruction. The society recommended a number of individuals, and the committee selected Prof. Mark Weiss of Queens College of the City University of New York and his research associate, Ernest Aschkenasy. Professor Weiss had worked on numerous acoustical projects. He had served, for example, on the panel of technical experts appointed by Judge John J. Sirica to examine the White House tape recordings in conjunction with the Watergate grand jury investigation. Aschkenasy had specialized in developing computer programs for analyzing large volumes of acoustical data. . . .

A recording was made of the sounds received at each microphone location during each test shot, making a total of 432 recordings of impulse sequences (36 microphone locations times 12 shots), or "acoustical fingerprints," for various target-shooter-microphone combinations. Each recorded acoustical fingerprint was then compared with each of the six impulse patterns on the channel 1 dispatch tape to see if and how well the significant points in each impulse pattern matched up. The process required a total of 2,592 comparisons (432 recordings of impulse sequences times six impulse patterns), an extensive effort that was not completed until 4 days before Barger was to testify at a committee public hearing on September 11, 1978.(26)

The time of the arrival of the impulses, or echoes, in each sequence of impulses was the characteristic being compared, not the shape, amplitude or any other characteristic of the impulses or sequence.(27) If a point (representing time of arrival of an echo) in a sequence of the 1963 dispatch tape could be correlated within plus or minus 6/1,000 of a second to a point in a sequence of the reconstruction, it was considered a match.(28)

A plus or minus 6/1,000 of a second "window" was chosen, because the exact location of the motorcycle was not known. Since the microphones were placed 18 feet apart in the 1978 reconstruction, no microphone was expected to be in the exact location of the motorcycle microphone during the assassination in 1963. Since the location was not apt to be exactly the same, and the time of arrival of the echo is unique at each spot, the +-6/1,000 of a second "window" would allow for the contingency that the motorcycle was near, but not exactly at, one of the microphone locations selected for the reconstruction.(29)

Those sequences of impulses that had a sufficiently high number of points that matched (a "score" or correlation coefficient of .6 or higher) were considered significant.(30) The "score" or correlation coefficient was set at this level to insure finding all sequences that might represent a true indication that the 1963 dispatch tape contained gunfire. Setting it at this level, however, also allowed a sequence of impulses on the dispatch tape that might have been caused by random noise or other factors to be considered a match and therefore significant.(31) Such a match, since it did not in fact represent a true indication of gunfire on the 1963 dispatch tape, would be considered an "invalid match."(32)

Of the 2,592 comparisons between the six sequences of impulses on the 1963 police dispatch tape and the sequences obtained during the acoustical reconstruction in August 1978, 15 had a sufficient number of matching points (a correlation coefficient of .6 or higher) to be considered significant.(33) The first and sixth sequence of impulses on the dispatch tape had no matches with a correlation coefficient over .5. The second sequence of impulses on the dispatch tape had four significant matches, the third sequence had five, the fourth sequence had three, and the fifth sequence had three.(34) Accordingly, impulses one and six on the dispatch tape did not pass the most rigorous acoustical test and were deemed not to have been caused by gunfire from the Texas School Book Depository or grassy knoll.(35) Additional analysis of the remaining four impulse sequences was still necessary before any of them could be considered as probably representing gunfire from the Texas School Book Depository or the grassy knoll.

The locations of the microphones that recorded the matches in the 1978 reconstruction were plotted on a graph that depicted time and distance. It was observed that the location of the microphones at which matches were recorded tended to cluster around a line on the graph that was, in fact, consistent with the approximate speed of the motorcade (11 mph), as estimated from the Zapruder film.(36) For example, of the 36 microphones placed along the motorcade route, the one that recorded the sequence of impulses that matched the third impulse on the 1963 dispatch tape was farther along the route than the one that recorded the impulses that matched the second impulse on the dispatch tape. The location of the microphones was such, it was further observed, that a motorcycle traveling at approximately 11 miles per hour would cover the distance between two microphones in the elapsed time between impulses on the dispatch tape. This relationship between the location of the microphones and the time between impulses was consistent for the four impulses on the dispatch tape, a very strong indication, the committee found, that the impulses on the 1963 dispatch tape were picked up by a transmitter on a motorcycle or other vehicle as it proceeded along the motorcade route. Applying a statistical formula, Barger estimated that since the microphones clustered around a line representing the speed of the motorcade, there was a 99 percent probability that the Dallas police dispatch tape did, in fact, contain impulses transmitted by a microphone in the motorcade in Dealey Plaza during the assassination.(37). . . .

In mid-September 1978, the committee asked Weiss and Aschkenasy, the acoustical analysts who had reviewed Barger's work, if they could go beyond what Barger had done to determine with greater certainty if there had been a shot from the grassy knoll. Weiss and Aschkenasy conceived an analytical extension of Barger's work that might enable them to refine the probability estimate.(45) They studied Dealey Plaza to determine which structures were most got to have caused the echoes received by the microphone in the 1978 acoustical reconstruction that had recorded the match to the shot from the grassy knoll. They verified and refined their identifications of echo-generating structures by examining the results of the reconstruction. And like BBN, since they were analyzing the arrival time of echoes, they made allowances for the temperature differential, because air temperature affects the speed of sound.(46) Barger then reviewed and verified the identification of echo-generating sources by Weiss and Aschkenasy.(47)

Once they had identified the echo-generating sources for a shot from the vicinity of the grassy knoll and a microphone located near the point indicated by Barger's tests, it was possible for Weiss and Aschkenasy to predict precisely what impulse sequences (sound fingerprints) would have been created by various specific shooter and microphone locations in 1963.(48) (The major structures in Dealey Plaza in 1978 were located as they had been in 1963.) Weiss and Aschkenasy determined the time of sound travel for a series of sound triangles whose three points were shooter location, microphone location and echo-generating structure location. While the location of the structures would remain constant, the different combinations of shooter and microphone locations would each produce a unique sound travel pattern, or sound fingerprint.(49) Using this procedure, Weiss and Aschkenasy could compare acoustical fingerprints for numerous precise points in the grassy knoll area with the segment identified by Barger on the dispatch tape as possibly reflecting a shot fired from the knoll.(50) 10

Because Weiss and Aschkenasy could analytically construct what the impulse sequences would be at numerous specific shooter and microphone locations, they decided to look for a match to the 1963 police dispatch tape that correlated to within ±1/1.000 of a second, as opposed to +-6/1.000) of a second, as Barger had done.(51) By looking for a match with such precision, they considerably reduced the possibility that any match they found could have been caused by random or other noise,(52) thus substantially reducing the percentage probability of an invalid match. . . .

Approximately 10 feet from the point on the grassy knoll that was picked as the shooter location in the 1978 reconstruction and four feet from a microphone location which, Barger found, recorded a shot that matched the dispatch tape within +-6/1,000 of a second, Weiss and Aschkenasy found a combination of shooter and microphone locations they needed to solve the problem. It represented the initial position of a microphone that would have received a series of impulses matching those on the dispatch tape to within +-1/1.000 of a second. The microphone would have been mounted on a vehicle that was moving along the motorcade route at 11 miles per hour.

Weiss and Aschkenasy also considered the distortion that a windshield might cause to the sound impulses received by a motorcycle microphone. They reasoned that the noise from the initial muzzle blast of a shot would be somewhat muted on the tape if it traveled through the windshield to the microphone. Test firings conducted under the auspices of the New York City Police Department confirmed this hypothesis. Further, an examination of the dispatch tape reflected similar distortions on shots one, two, and three, when the indicated positions of the motorcycle would have placed the windshield between the shooter and the microphone.11 On shot four, Weiss and Aschkenasy found no such distortion.(55) The analysts' ability to predict the effect of the windshield on the impulses found on the dispatch tape, and having their predictions confirmed by the tape, indicated further that the microphone was mounted on a motorcycle in Dealey Plaza and that it had transmitted the sounds of the shots fired during the assassination.

Since Weiss and Aschkenasy were able to obtain a match to within +-1/1,000 of a second, the probability that such a match could occur by random chance was slight. Specifically, they mathematically computed that, with a certainty factor of 95 percent or better, there was a shot fired at the Presidential limousine from the grassy knoll.(56)

Barger independently reviewed the analysis performed by Weiss and Aschkenasy and concluded that their analytical procedures were correct.(57) Barger and the staff at BBN also confirmed that there was a 95 percent chance that at the time of the assassination a noise as loud as a rifle shot was produced at the grassy knoll. When questioned about what could cause such a noise if it were not a shot, Barger noted it had to be something capable of causing a very loud noise--greater than a single firecracker.(58) Further, given the echo patterns obtained, the noise had to have originated at the very spot behind the picket fence on the grassy knoll that had been identified,(59) indicating that it could not have been a backfire from a motorcycle in the motorcade.(60)

In addition, Barger emphasized, the first part of the sequence of impulses identified as a shot from the grassy knoll was marked by an N-wave, a characteristic impulse caused by a supersonic bullet.(61) The N-wave, also referred to as a supersonic shock wave, travels faster than the noise of the muzzle blast of a gun and therefore arrives at a listening device such as a microphone ahead of the noise of a muzzle blast. The presence of the N-wave was, therefore, a significant additional indication that the third impulse on the police dispatch tape represented gunfire, and, in particular, a supersonic bullet.(62) The weapon may well have been a rifle, since most pistols except for some such as a .44 magnum--fire subsonic bullets. The N-wave was further substantiation for a finding that the third impulse represented a shot fired in the direction of the President. Had the gun been discharged when aimed straight up or down, or away from the motorcade, no N-wave would have appeared.(63) Of the impulse patterns on the dispatch tape that indicated shots from the book depository, those that would be expected to contain an N-wave, given the location of the vehicle's microphone, did so, further corroborating the conclusion that these impulses did represent supersonic bullets.(64) (HSCA report, pp. 68-75)
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Gerry Down on September 17, 2020, 09:25:01 PM
2) The open microphone did not record any gunshots;
3) The impulses shown on the audiograph are not gunshots but random impulses created by ambient noise;

This is what gets me. Shouldn't a person be able to hear shots on the dictabelt recording?
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 17, 2020, 11:02:56 PM
The points of contention are:

1) There was no microphone stuck on the 'transmit' position in the motorcade, and if there was, it was nowhere near Dealey Plaza at 12:30 p.m.;
2) The open microphone did not record any gunshots;
3) The impulses shown on the audiograph are not gunshots but random impulses created by ambient noise;
4) The dictabelt recording can not be matched to the Zapruder film because it has been altered;
5) The four to six shots recorded by the dictabelt contradict the Warren Commission's findings therefore it can not possibly be true;
6) Some gunshot impulses on the recording can not be matched to any test shots, therefore the acoustic evidence is invalid.

Let me answer these by their number.

1. We know this is wrong because the Channel 2 dispatcher told all the patrolmen that a patrolman "up on Stemmons" had his mike stuck on, and he asked them to try to find him and get him to shut off his mike. The "up on Stemmons" comment is evidence that McClain was the one with the stuck mike.

2. This is a summary claim that I think is totally refuted by the evidence. For example, there are N-waves from supersonic rifle fire on the dictabelt on the shots that were recorded when the microphone was in a position to record N-waves, and the grassy knoll shot's N-wave comes 24 milliseconds before its trailing muzzle blast, just as it should. N-waves from rifle fire typically come 10-30 milliseconds before the muzzle blast behind them. 

3. This is another summary claim that I think is also totally refuted by the evidence. The correlations between the dictabelt gunfire impulse patterns and the test-firing impulse patterns are powerful, compelling evidence that the dictabelt contains recorded assassination gunfire.

4. Yet, there are definite correlations between the dictabelt gunshots and gunfire reactions in the Zapruder film, somewhat to my surprise. It is entirely possible that the Zapruder film was not altered enough to prevent it from correlating with the dictabelt. Much of the alteration involved adding, removing, and doctoring images on the film, which would not affect correlation with the dictabelt. Also, since the dictabelt might not have recorded one of the shots fired at JFK, because of how the shot was fired and because of the DPD dispatch system's AGC circuitry, it just might be that this unrecorded shot is part of the reason that the dictabelt does correlate rather well with the Zapruder film.

5. Yes, believe it or not, some people make that argument.

Speaking of the WC, we now know that the commission had an analysis done on a KBOX radio station recording that was made in Dealey Plaza during the assassination. The analysis was done by acoustical expert Larry Kersta at the Bell Telephone Lab in New Jersey. Kersta only had the equipment to do a spectrographic analysis of the tape, but he found that it contained six "non-voiced" noises! Moreover, the KBOX "non-voiced" noises follow the same sequence and pattern as do the six dictabelt impulses that passed the first BBN screening for gunfire: the first one is different from the others, followed by three impulses close together, followed by a slight pause, followed by two more impulses similar to the previous three. My, my, my, what an amazing coincidence.

6. I don't know who said that, but they must not have read any of the HSCA materials. Only five of the impulse patterns met all of the BBN screening criteria for gunfire, and all five of those impulse patterns match shots from the Dealey Plaza test firing. I might add that no other impulse pattern anywhere on the 5.5-minute dictabelt segment met all the BBN criteria for gunfire.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: John Iacoletti on September 17, 2020, 11:54:15 PM
Speaking of the WC, we now know that the commission had an analysis done on a KBOX radio station recording that was made in Dealey Plaza during the assassination.

Which, by the way, is one of the many original pieces of evidence that "can't be located".  The common recording we've all heard ("it appears something has happened in the motorcade route") is a re-creation.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 18, 2020, 12:22:13 AM

Joe, it would be easier to follow your argument by using the actual material published by Dr. Thomas and object to what you believe is wrong. One source of "Hear No Evil" is here: http://www.whokilledjfk.net/hear_no_evil.htm

If you go to section FILMED EVIDENCE OF THE MOTORCYCLE you have a table of shots and Z-frames (Table 1). It says that "Tape Times from BBN Report Table 2.", which I haven't checked, but the times you're asking for should be there.

Edit: unfortunately the figures don't display in the url I listed above.

Thank you Otto. This information is most helpful. I’ll start another thread on it in a day or two. At a glance, I can see why Mr. Griffith was not giving us this information directly, even though, the initial impression, is that it matches up with the Zapruder film. But I will show that this is bogus.

What a bunch of lying nonsense. I have provided links to Dr. Thomas's articles in several of my replies. I've also provided citations from his book in some of my replies. I've also provided a link to one of Dr. Thomas's videos on the acoustical evidence. Just a few replies ago, I provided a link to one of Dr. Thomas's discussions on correlating the dictabelt and the Zapruder film. I also cited the pages in his book where he discusses this issue.

No. You provided a bunch of links without saying which link has the information I requested. Otto, in contrast, gave me just one link, that was just a few pages long, that provided the information.

You provided no link to (until after Otto did):

http://www.whokilledjfk.net/hear_no_evil.htm (http://www.whokilledjfk.net/hear_no_evil.htm)

Or any other similar website where the information is right there.


You don’t have to find such a website. It would have been as simple just type out:

The BBN found shots at z175 (TSBD), z204 (TSBD), z312 (Knoll) and z326 (TSBD). And Dr. Thomas found a fifth at z224 (TSBD).


I think that you wanted to keep it a secret, at least from the casual views, of a first shot at z175, which really make it difficult for Officer McLain to be there for the first shot.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 18, 2020, 01:32:50 AM

The points of contention are:

Actually, I’m am certain we have only seen a portion of the tip of the iceberg so far.


1) There was no microphone stuck on the 'transmit' position in the motorcade, and if there was, it was nowhere near Dealey Plaza at 12:30 p.m.;

1. We know this is wrong because the Channel 2 dispatcher told all the patrolmen that a patrolman "up on Stemmons" had his mike stuck on, and he asked them to try to find him and get him to shut off his mike. The "up on Stemmons" comment is evidence that McClain was the one with the stuck mike.

Joffrey. There was a motorcycle with a stuck ‘transmit’ button, but it was not with the motorcade. It was at the Trade Mart.

I see you watched the 40-minute video by Dr. Thomas. In it, he seems to make an overwhelming case that the motorcycle with the stuck microphone was with the motorcade, because he played an 8-second clip of the sounds of loud sirens, exactly the sort of thing that would be recorded by a motorcycle going with the President to the hospital.

However, if one does not “cherry pick”, as Dr. Thomas did, which section of the tape to play, but played the whole thing for the 5 minute trip to the hospital, you would have heard:

Very little
Sirens approaching from the distance, then getting louder, then quite loud for a few seconds, then get less loud and receding the distance.
And again, the same patter with the sirens, getting loud and receding.
And again, the same patter with the sirens for the third time, getting loud and receding.

This is not consistent with a motorcycle travelling with its sirens on to the hospital for the full 5 minutes. This is consistent with a motorcycle waiting at the Trade Mart Center for the President, and hearing the sirens as they passed right by on the freeway. The Trade Mart center was very close to where the limousine was as it rushed to the hospital.

I claim, it was dishonest for Dr. Thomas to play just a short clip. I am very confident that Mr. Griffith will not make available to you a recording of this entire 5-minute span, no more than Dr. Thomas did.




2) The open microphone did not record any gunshots;

Since the motorcycle appears not to have been with the motorcade, it could not have recorded the gunshots.

But one thing that is beyond dispute, is that many of these “sound impulses” were not gunshots.

Below is a quote from Dr. Barger with the BBN, who gave testimony to the HSCA in 1978 in support of the acoustic data.

Quote
Dr. BARGER - Yes. We examined the full 234 linear feet of the waveform representing the output of the channel 1 recording when the button was stuck to see if there were any other impulsive patterns that occurred that were similar to these that we are looking at on channel 1. We found that there was one other sequence of impulsive events. It was dissimilar from the one we have looked at principally in that its timespan was less than 5 seconds. It occurred about a minute later than the period of impulses in question. We found no other impulsive patterns on the tape.

So, about a minute after the alleged gunshots, there was another of multiple sound impulses. No one is saying there was several seconds of gunshots, followed by a minute of quiet, followed by another flurry of gunshots.

Also, of the 7 sound impulses that were recorded at the time of the alleged gunshots, 4 sound impulses were accepted as gunshots, 3 were rejected by the BBN. Years later, Dr. Thomas said one of these was a real gunshot. And it just happens to corresponds to z224 so I suspect Dr. Thomas wanted at least two of the gunshots at z224 and z313, to match the Zapruder film better.

Now, who knows, I don’t know the absolute truth. But one thing I can say for certain. Most of the sound impulses on that tape were not caused by gunshots. And likely none of them were.



3) The impulses shown on the audiograph are not gunshots but random impulses created by ambient noise;

I don’t know the technical reason. I heard the vibration of the engine could caused these sound impulses, these “N-waves”. I don’t think anyone knows for certain. But there are too many of them and too much spread over time for them to all have been gunshots.


4) The dictabelt recording can not be matched to the Zapruder film because it has been altered;

Actually, if one accepts that Dr. Thomas shot at ‘140.32 seconds”, that matches up well with the BBN shot at ‘145.15 seconds” A gap of 4.83 seconds which is within a tenth of a second of the gap between z224 and z312, when many people, including me, say two shots did occur. Well, that’s pretty amazing, isn’t it. I mean the odds of that are something like one in a hundred of that happening, correct?

No. Remember there were 7 sound impulses within a few seconds of each other. Mathematics says that there are 7*6/2 or 21 possible unique pairs. “Shots 1 and 2”, “Shots 1 and 3”, etc. So, the real odds are not 1 in 100 but more like 1 in 5.

And maybe somewhat less, because there was another cluster of “shots” a minute afterwards that the BBN could have focused on. They made have focused on the one they chose because they knew about this 4.83 second gap between two of the sound impulses in the first cluster.

This is similar to the problem where a teacher, year after year, finds that often, two of his students in his class have the same birthday. With 22 students, there are 22*21/2 or 231 unique pairs. More than half of 365. So, it is not a vast coincidence for him to discover such pairing in many years.



5) The four to six shots recorded by the dictabelt contradict the Warren Commission's findings therefore it can not possibly be true;

Yes, it would.

5. Yes, believe it or not, some people make that argument.

Speaking of the WC, we now know that the commission had an analysis done on a KBOX radio station recording that was made in Dealey Plaza during the assassination. The analysis was done by acoustical expert Larry Kersta at the Bell Telephone Lab in New Jersey. Kersta only had the equipment to do a spectrographic analysis of the tape, but he found that it contained six "non-voiced" noises! Moreover, the KBOX "non-voiced" noises follow the same sequence and pattern as do the six dictabelt impulses that passed the first BBN screening for gunfire: the first one is different from the others, followed by three impulses close together, followed by a slight pause, followed by two more impulses similar to the previous three. My, my, my, what an amazing coincidence.

Joffrey, the KBOX recording was a recreation. They did NOT record the assassination as it happened.

It was similar to the 1938 Orson Wells broadcast of the “War of the Worlds”, where they didn’t record a real invasion of the Earth from Mars, but a fake one.

At the end of the day, I admit, it is conceivable that the Dictabelt did have a recording of the assassination, despite all the evidence against it. But there is no way this KBOX recreation from a latter day recorded the gunshots at Dealey Plaza.



6) Some gunshot impulses on the recording can not be matched to any test shots, therefore the acoustic evidence is invalid.

No. If most did not match at all, but a few matched very very well, that would be of much interest. Now before we go on, I should say that I am very good at mathematics. At algebra, calculus, trigonometry, at least when I have been practicing. But not so good at statistics. So, take what I say with a grain of salt.

Correlations between two data sets can be measured, like between the data from 1963 and the data from a 1978 test, to get something called a “Correlation Coefficient”. This coefficient must always be between -1 and +1. If outside that range, an error in calculation has occurred. A correlation of +1 is very good. A perfect match of data. A correlation of -1 is very bad, because you always get the opposite results. Actually, this might be good because if a bad model predicted one result, you would know the opposite would always actually happen. And a correlation of 0, means the comparisons are random. Occasionally a match is found, but this is just by luck.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pearson_correlation_coefficient (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pearson_correlation_coefficient)

Quote
A correlation of 0.8 may be very low if one is verifying a physical law using high-quality instruments, but may be regarded as very high in the social sciences, where there may be a greater contribution from complicating factors.


The BBN tested, believe it or not, over 2,600 hundred tests. 78 gunshots, recorded at 36 microphones. I make it out to be 2,808 tests. Of these 15 had a correlation coefficient of 0.6 or greater. And 4 were found with a correlation coefficient of 0.8, which caused the BBN to conclude that these were shots. I should think one should find some correlations with 2,808 possibilities.

Now, to a layman like me, this seems questionable, since 0.8 provides a low degree of confidence. Although it could be asked “Is the Dictabelt recording a “high-quality” instrument?” I would guess not.

Still checking 2,808 results and finding 4 somewhat weak correlations, of only 0.8, does not sound impressive to me. But when it comes to statistics, I am well out of my depth.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 22, 2020, 12:08:14 PM
Now that’s what I call experts. :)

What kind of an expert would make calculations that are off by more than 3 orders of magnitude? They calculated the odds as 1 and 20, but with the correct calculations the odds are 1 in 100,000. I don’t believe in Dr. Thomas’s one in 100,000 odds any more than I believe in the 1978 HSCA acoustic experts 1 in 20 odds.

Oh! Okay! So I take it you say the same thing about the numerous egregious errors in the NRC panel's report, right? Right? Right? Yeah, uh-huh. No, you won't, because you don't deal with the evidence honestly or objectively.

The HSCA experts used the wrong value for one of the values that went into their calculations of the odds. The calculations themselves were done correctly, but they were off because of the errant value that was used. And, as mentioned, if they had used not used the incorrect value, they would have discovered that the odds that the correlations were coincidence were far more remote than they calculated. With the errant value, they calculated the odds of the correlations being coincidence as less than 1 in 20, or less than 5%, when in actuality the odds are 1 in 100,000.

Not when the positions of the motorcycles make the odds zero.

More of your amateurish jibberish. Are you ever, ever, ever going to deal with Dr. Thomas's section on the position of McClain's motorcycle in his book Hear No Evil?

Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 22, 2020, 09:17:51 PM

There are compelling arguments for the stuck open mic being at the Trade Mart, not at the Plaza, like

Worth a read: https://www.jfk-online.com/bowles7.html#N_74_

Otto has a good point. I wish Mr. Griffith would drop everything else and deal with this issue:

https://www.jfk-online.com/bowles7.html#N_74_ (https://www.jfk-online.com/bowles7.html#N_74_)

Let’s go over the timeline of the 5.5-minute period when the microphone was stuck:

12:31:13 Impulse from what BBN claimed was made by the last shot in Dealey Plaza.
12:31:56 Someone whistling a tune in the background
12:32:42 Someone whistling again.
12:33:01 Sound of sirens can be heard, faintly, but increasing in loudness.
12:33:03 Sire sounds continue.
12:33:18 Sire sounds continue.
12:33:26 Sire sounds continue.
12:33:34 Sire sounds continue.
12:33:55 Someone whistling again.
12:33:38 DSO? Attention all units, all units . . .
12:34:19 Microphone closed.

So, this is recorded either by a motorcycle, initially escorting the motorcade, then escorting the limousine to Parkland hospital. The Trade Mart Center was two miles from Dealey Plaza, but just 200 yards from Harry Hines Blvd. along which the limousine with escorting motorcycles with sirens blaring passed by.

There are several things that clearly indicate that the motorcycle with the stuck microphone was at the Trade Mart Center and not with the motorcade in Dealey Plaza during the shooting.

1.   The sound of the sirens does not come on suddenly and loud and stay loud for five minutes. Instead, there is the sound of no sirens. Then distance sirens. Then the sirens gradually get louder, stay loud for several seconds, then gradually fade away.
2.   After the shooting, while, supposedly being recorded by a motorcycle speeding on the freeway to Parkland, we often hear no sirens but the sound of whistling.
3.   The crosstalk “Attention all units, all units . . .”, the sound of a Dispatcher alerting all units. But this could not have been the Dallas Police Dispatcher, since nothing like this was recorded on Channel 2. It could only have been a dispatcher with another organization, like the County Sheriff Department. And none of there vehicles were escorting the motorcade but some of them where at the Trade Mart Center.

Question for Michael Griffith:

On each of these three points, can you, just using what is recorded on the Dictabelt, explain how this fits a motorcycle escorting the limousine to Parkland Hospital better than a motorcycle waiting at the Trade Mart Center?


Just stick to what’s on the tape and just address these points. Yes, I know when the evidence goes against them, CTers cherry pick some witness. Like the Police Dispatcher who broadcast:

“Unknown motorcycle - up on Stemmons with his mike stuck open on Channel 1. Could you send someone up there to tell him to shut it off?

which is ambiguous anyway because the Trade Mart Center is right by the Stemmons freeway.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Michael T. Griffith on September 23, 2020, 12:58:09 AM
Otto has a good point. I wish Mr. Griffith would drop everything else and deal with this issue:

https://www.jfk-online.com/bowles7.html#N_74_ (https://www.jfk-online.com/bowles7.html#N_74_)

Let’s go over the timeline of the 5.5-minute period when the microphone was stuck:

12:31:13 Impulse from what BBN claimed was made by the last shot in Dealey Plaza.
12:31:56 Someone whistling a tune in the background
12:32:42 Someone whistling again.
12:33:01 Sound of sirens can be heard, faintly, but increasing in loudness.
12:33:03 Sire sounds continue.
12:33:18 Sire sounds continue.
12:33:26 Sire sounds continue.
12:33:34 Sire sounds continue.
12:33:55 Someone whistling again.
12:33:38 DSO? Attention all units, all units . . .
12:34:19 Microphone closed.

So, this is recorded either by a motorcycle, initially escorting the motorcade, then escorting the limousine to Parkland hospital. The Trade Mart Center was two miles from Dealey Plaza, but just 200 yards from Harry Hines Blvd. along which the limousine with escorting motorcycles with sirens blaring passed by.

There are several things that clearly indicate that the motorcycle with the stuck microphone was at the Trade Mart Center and not with the motorcade in Dealey Plaza during the shooting.

1.   The sound of the sirens does not come on suddenly and loud and stay loud for five minutes. Instead, there is the sound of no sirens. Then distance sirens. Then the sirens gradually get louder, stay loud for several seconds, then gradually fade away.
2.   After the shooting, while, supposedly being recorded by a motorcycle speeding on the freeway to Parkland, we often hear no sirens but the sound of whistling.
3.   The crosstalk “Attention all units, all units . . .”, the sound of a Dispatcher alerting all units. But this could not have been the Dallas Police Dispatcher, since nothing like this was recorded on Channel 2. It could only have been a dispatcher with another organization, like the County Sheriff Department. And none of there vehicles were escorting the motorcade but some of them where at the Trade Mart Center.

Question for Michael Griffith:

On each of these three points, can you, just using what is recorded on the Dictabelt, explain how this fits a motorcycle escorting the limousine to Parkland Hospital better than a motorcycle waiting at the Trade Mart Center?


Just stick to what’s on the tape and just address these points. Yes, I know when the evidence goes against them, CTers cherry pick some witness. Like the Police Dispatcher who broadcast:

“Unknown motorcycle - up on Stemmons with his mike stuck open on Channel 1. Could you send someone up there to tell him to shut it off?

which is ambiguous anyway because the Trade Mart Center is right by the Stemmons freeway.

This stuff is just so dumb, so clueless. I see that you and Otto "I Can't Understand Herb Blenner" are using Bowles' bogus transcript for your latest round silliness. Of course, you are clueless about the fact that Bowles falsely shifted the timing of the transmissions in his transcript. Dr. Thomas destroys Bowles' transcript and his other errors in Hear No Evil.

The sirens are a problem?! The motorcycle was at the Trade Mart?! Seriously? Yes, I know that's what the pro-WC websites you rely on tell you, but the sirens and the Trade Mart claims were debunked years ago. If the gunfire impulse patterns were not recorded in Dealey Plaza, then, Laurel and Hardy, you two finally, finally, finally need to get around to explaining how echo patterns unique to Dealey Plaza are contained in the dictabelt's gunshot impulse patterns, and how the N-waves, muzzle blasts, and muzzle-blast echoes of those gunshot impulse patterns were recorded in the correct order and interval on the dictabelt.

If you two clowns could ever gather up the courage, or the integrity, to seriously and honestly study the other side, you would learn this stuff before you embarrassed yourselves over and over again on a public message board.

And, by the way, 12:31:13 is not when BBN claimed the last shot was fired. You two goofballs would know this if you had bothered to read the BBN report. BBN said that the first shot occurred at 12:30:47, and that the last shot occurred at 12:30:55 (2 HSCA 49-50). You guys can't even get basic, simple stuff like this right.



Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: John Iacoletti on September 23, 2020, 09:24:51 PM
Joffrey. There was a motorcycle with a stuck ‘transmit’ button, but it was not with the motorcade. It was at the Trade Mart.

There you go again, stating an assumption as a fact.


Quote
Joffrey, the KBOX recording was a recreation. They did NOT record the assassination as it happened.

That's false.  They were live broadcasting during the motorcade and turned their original recordings over to the WC.  They were "unavailable" when it came time to do the "The Four Days that Shocked the World" record album, so they had Sam Pate record the re-creation.  The original tapes were still "missing" in 1978 when the HSCA tried to find them.

Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 23, 2020, 09:39:38 PM

The sirens are a problem?! The motorcycle was at the Trade Mart?! Seriously? Yes, I know that's what the pro-WC websites you rely on tell you, but the sirens and the Trade Mart claims were debunked years ago. If the gunfire impulse patterns were not recorded in Dealey Plaza, then, Laurel and Hardy, you two finally, finally, finally need to get around to explaining how echo patterns unique to Dealey Plaza are contained in the dictabelt's gunshot impulse patterns, and how the N-waves, muzzle blasts, and muzzle-blast echoes of those gunshot impulse patterns were recorded in the correct order and interval on the dictabelt.

Put your money where your mouth is. Debunk the “siren argument” one more time.

Show us a link to an audio recording for the entire 5.5-minute span of the stuck microphone. And let the members here judge for themselves if the sirens sound like they are constantly blaring during the second half of the recording, or if it does sound like sirens that approach from the distance, get close, then receded away.

I know Dr. Thomas has this recording, because he played 8 seconds of it to make his “blaring sirens” claim. I do not doubt that the sirens “blared” for a few seconds, but I don’t think they did so over the second half of the recording.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 23, 2020, 09:43:11 PM
There you go again, stating an assumption as a fact.


That's false.  They were live broadcasting during the motorcade and turned their original recordings over to the WC.  They were "unavailable" when it came time to do the "The Four Days that Shocked the World" record album, so they had Sam Pate record the re-creation.  The original tapes were still "missing" in 1978 when the HSCA tried to find them.

Where are the links to the articles that show:

1.   KBOX – was making a broadcast from the motorcade at the time of the shooting.

2.   A recording (not a recreation) was made of this broadcast.


3.   And that this recording (again, not a recreation) was turned over to the Warren Commission.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: John Iacoletti on September 23, 2020, 10:21:04 PM
Show us a link to an audio recording for the entire 5.5-minute span of the stuck microphone. And let the members here judge for themselves if the sirens sound like they are constantly blaring during the second half of the recording, or if it does sound like sirens that approach from the distance, get close, then receded away.

Wait a minute.  You are the one who described this "sirens that approach from the distance, get close, then receded away".  You haven't actually heard the recording?
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: John Iacoletti on September 23, 2020, 10:22:55 PM
Where are the links to the articles that show:

1.   KBOX – was making a broadcast from the motorcade at the time of the shooting.

2.   A recording (not a recreation) was made of this broadcast.


3.   And that this recording (again, not a recreation) was turned over to the Warren Commission.

Both Sam Pate and Karl King acknowledged this in comments made here:

http://www.reelradio.com/comment/comment.cgi?kbox112263~KBOX+Dallas,+November+22,+1963~../se/index.html (http://www.reelradio.com/comment/comment.cgi?kbox112263~KBOX+Dallas,+November+22,+1963~../se/index.html)
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 24, 2020, 01:41:40 AM
Where are the links to the articles that show:

1.   KBOX – was making a broadcast from the motorcade at the time of the shooting.

2.   A recording (not a recreation) was made of this broadcast.


3.   And that this recording (again, not a recreation) was turned over to the Warren Commission.

Both Sam Pate and Karl King acknowledged this in comments made here:

http://www.reelradio.com/comment/comment.cgi?kbox112263~KBOX+Dallas,+November+22,+1963~../se/index.html (http://www.reelradio.com/comment/comment.cgi?kbox112263~KBOX+Dallas,+November+22,+1963~../se/index.html)

No, they didn’t. I never said that KBOX was broadcasting nothing during that time. I said they were not with the motorcade, broadcasting live, when the assassination happened. So, their “broadcast of the assassination” was just relaying to their listeners the news as it came into them, the same as it was for all the other radio stations. So, it is difficult to see what relevance the original broadcast would be, since they were not broadcasting from Dealey Plaza.

Your own link shows that:

From: KARL KING kingalamo@aol.com Sunday, November 26, 2000 at 08:57:47

Quote
I was on the news desk at KBOX and at the half hour, I read a 30 second news break, and returned the air to the disk jocky. Sam came on the two way and very excitedly hollared "Karl, put me on, the police parade frequency is sayiing shots have been fired at the motorcade."

I signlaed the dj to kill the record he was playing and got on the air to introduce Sam with his report of shots being fired at the Presidents motorcade. I started the newsroom tape.

So, Sam Pate was not on the air, did not witness the shooting, but heard over the police frequency (I assume Channel 2) that shots had been fired at the motorcade. That is why he asked to be put on the air immediately. But he was not with the motorcade, it appears he saw nothing, it appears he first learned of the shooting from the police radio and then arranged for him to speak over the commercial radio.

Now Karl King does relate that the 24-hour tape containing the recordings disappeared. I don’t know why the Warren Commission or anyone else would destroy these recordings, since, not containing a live broadcast from Dealey Plaza, what relevance could they be?

I am speculating here, but suppose someone was supposed to start a fresh 24-hour tape every 24-hours. But forgot to do so. If that happened, would they confess their error? Or instead report that the tape had disappeared.


I didn’t find a first-hand report from Sam Pate about what was happening the first few seconds of hearing the news. But I did find this the following.

Another account, from a KBOX reporter who, I take it, was in a separate news van but near Sam Pate was Ron Jenkins. His account is shown below:

https://www.dallasnews.com/news/2013/11/22/rowlett-resident-covered-kennedy-assassination-for-kbox-am-radio/

Quote
Jenkins says he was in another mobile unit waiting for the motorcade to go through Dealey Plaza when a police buddy in front of him pulled back and yelled at him through the window.

“‘They got a problem up there somewhere,’” Jenkins said the police officer told him. “Shots had been fired. I said ‘What do you mean?’ [The officer] said someone had fired shots at the motorcade.”

So, again, reinforcing what Karl King said, the mobile units of KBOX were not broadcasting live as the assassination happened while observing from the freeway. Instead it appears the KBOX reporters first learned of the shooting from either the police radio or a policeman directly.


Wait, I see an email from Sam Pate himself:

Quote
I was on Stemmons Fwy when the radio and Sheriff Bill Decker said to get some men up into those railroad yards and find out where those shots came from. I immediately radioed Karl King that shots have been fired, put a bulletin on immediately. Karl did and then called UPI and according to UPI, we had beaten their own guy Merriman Smith to the story. There were no cell phones back then, tv cameramen didn't have audios. I was in the Northbound Lane faceing the southbound lanes and I was talking to a guy names Josh Dowdell who had pulled up behind me to see if I had car trouble. I told Josh, a friend of mine , to get in and wait for the motorcade..that was when Deckers report came on. After I radioed King, I peeled rubber toward the motorcade and when we met all of us were going about 80 miles per hour and I was heading right for them. I was afraid to veer oneway or another because they might also veer from their lane. Kennedy's car went right by my drivers side, the dark blue cadillac convertible went to my right and Johnson's light blue lincoln went far to my left and almost went off the freeway.

This confirms what I have heard before. No live broadcast from the motorcade, or Dealey Plaza, or even from the Stemmons Freeway. Sam Pate was not on the air, but was instead monitoring the police airways.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 24, 2020, 02:02:54 AM
Wait a minute.  You are the one who described this "sirens that approach from the distance, get close, then receded away".  You haven't actually heard the recording?

Yes. I have heard the recording. John McAdams provides it, along with the transcript.

The sirens start softly and build up in volume. And then become went down in volume and could not be heard. The sirens were audible to me for only 36 seconds. And they are clearly loudest near the middle section. And then for the last 45 seconds, the sirens are no longer audible.

This fits with a recording being by a stationary motorcycle, with the motorcade passing by with the sirens blaring. Not with a motorcycle travelling with the motorcade.
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: John Iacoletti on September 24, 2020, 04:56:07 PM
Yes. I have heard the recording. John McAdams provides it, along with the transcript.

Where?

[never mind - just saw your comment in the "HSCA 1978 Acoustic Study by BBN – Figure 367" thread]
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: John Iacoletti on September 24, 2020, 05:17:45 PM
Reading through the reelradio comments again, there seems to be some dispute about exactly where Ron Jenkins was and whether he was broadcasting prior to when Pate came on. 
Title: Re: Question about Dr. Donald Thomas’s Dictabelt Offset Hypothesis
Post by: Joe Elliott on September 24, 2020, 07:33:49 PM

The sirens are a problem?! The motorcycle was at the Trade Mart?! Seriously? Yes, I know that's what the pro-WC websites you rely on tell you, but the sirens and the Trade Mart claims were debunked years ago. If the gunfire impulse patterns were not recorded in Dealey Plaza, then, Laurel and Hardy, you two finally, finally, finally need to get around to explaining how echo patterns unique to Dealey Plaza are contained in the dictabelt's gunshot impulse patterns, and how the N-waves, muzzle blasts, and muzzle-blast echoes of those gunshot impulse patterns were recorded in the correct order and interval on the dictabelt.

Again, using BBN’s Exhibit F-367, yes, the blast echo matches for shot 139.27 matches perfectly for a shot:

•   from the TSBD, recorded at microphone 2 ( 6 )
•   from the TSBD, recorded at microphone 2 ( 10 )
•   from the Grassy Knoll, recorded at microphone 3 ( 5 )

Yes, the blast echoes on the Dictabelt match perfectly with a shot fired in Dealey Plaza, regardless whether it was fired from the TSBD or the Grassy Knoll. Come on, the BBN’s own correlations contradict themselves.


No, what you need to explain is why the sirens on the Dictabelt recording only last 36 seconds. Did Officer McLain and the other escorting officers make the 3.4-mile trip to Parkland Hospital in 36 seconds? Or did it take 36 seconds for the for the limousine with the escorting motorcycles 36 seconds pass close by to the Trade Mart Center.

Question 1:

Why are the sirens on the Dictabelt recording only clearly audible for 36 seconds (my estimate)?



The person who continuously dodge simple questions is not the one with the truth on their side.


If you dispute this, others should check out the audio of the Dictabelt and decide for themselves:

https://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/dpdtapes/capture24.ram (https://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/dpdtapes/capture24.ram)

I think people notice that you were not too keen to present the audio when asked to do so.