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Author Topic: First shot reactions  (Read 51765 times)

Online Charles Collins

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Re: First shot reactions
« Reply #64 on: July 31, 2019, 01:10:16 PM »
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Willis on the shots
"with the first shot I really just thought firecrackers just, you know, in celebration but as soon as the, you know, second and third and maybe SUBSEQUENT SHOTS, you know I have no idea how many, I know there were at least three MAYBE MORE"

Willis on what she saw
"I never looked at the school book depository because I was totally entranced by the President"

Well then, just who was that girl that was obviously looking back over her right shoulder as the President passed her by in the limousine?

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Re: First shot reactions
« Reply #64 on: July 31, 2019, 01:10:16 PM »


Offline Royell Storing

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Re: First shot reactions
« Reply #65 on: July 31, 2019, 03:32:00 PM »
What "smoke cloud"? Holland saw what he took to be  a "puff of smoke" and, get this, it lingered. Me thinks Holland and you are telling a few porkies.

    You have viewed the still frame. You have also Seen and Heard Holland. Stop besmirching the man. Anyone can simply be mistaken as to what they See. Accusing Holland of "telling a few porkies" makes you look like a "Johnny Come Lately" that is well beyond his depth. You are better than this. I have Witnessed it.
« Last Edit: July 31, 2019, 03:32:57 PM by Royell Storing »

Offline Andrew Mason

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Re: First shot reactions
« Reply #66 on: July 31, 2019, 06:52:01 PM »
You lawyers sure are dishonest.

Who ever claimed a three-shot witness who initially thought the first shot was a firecracker went on to believe that permanently?

As far as I know, any three-shot witness who said the first-shot was like a firecracker or backfire has always described it as a first impression and that he subsequently realized all three loud reports were gunfire.

Where have I "insisted" all the 2-shot witnesses "forgot" about the first shot or failed to hear it?
You have such poor memory. A legal education might help with fact retention and would also help you understand professional ethics.

You have consistently maintained that Betzner "forgot" about the first loud noise because he thought it was a firecracker and was a "two shot" witness recalling only the two subsequent shots, which is why he thought the shots occurred after his z186 photo.  I can't go back very far because of the lost archives on this board but how about this gem from you in January 2018:

"Betzner thinks he heard more than two shots, but could only recall two shots because they related to things he was doing (winding his camera) or witnessing (the head shot). Some "Bunched" shot advocates claim Betzner missed hearing a shot that occurred between his "winding the camera" shot and the head shot. The "early miss" advocates claim the first shot was more likely to be overlooked or not as distinctively recalled as most thought the first shot was anything but a shot ("firecracker" or "backfire") and were concentrating on seeing the motorcade."

You are certainly an "early miss" advocate.  One has to ignore Betzner's statement to conclude that he recalled only two shots.  He said: "I started to wind my film again and I heard a loud noise." (that's the first shot).  Then he said he heard two more shots when he was looking down Elm around the time of the head shot: When I saw the following I heard at least two shots fired and I saw what looked like a firecracker going off in the President's car. My assumption for this was because I saw fragments going up in the air. "  He is recalling the last two shots after hearing the first.

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I may have said something remotely like that in a few posts long ago, but I know for the last few years, I have always said (or "insisted"):
  • two-shot witnesses might have understandably lost track of a shot in
    their memory (ie: trauma, shock, the last two shots were more vivid
    as a memory because they struck and men reacted);
  • some of the two-shot witnesses acknowledge there were one-or-more
    shots but can only reliably describe two because they have something they
    recall in conjunction with the shots.
That does not explain why Betzner would think that the shots occurred after his z186 photo or why Willis said his z202 photo was taken an instant after the first shot before the President had time to react. It does not explain why Hughes who stopped filming at very close to z187 (based on the motorcade car positions and frame timings) stated that he stopped filming before the first shot.
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You think two-shot witness must lose track of the middle shot because it was near-simultaneous with the head shot.
No. I have never said that.  I have never ever suggested there was another shot that was nearly simultaneous with the head shot. I have always maintained that the second shot occurred just after z271 and before JFK's hair flies up beginning at z273. That is not to say that the reverberation of the second shot could not have overlapped with the sound of the third shot.  Mary Woodward recalled that the sound of the second shot had not died out before the third shot sounded.

I have just suggested witnesses who did not recall three shots weren't counting shots. There were not many witnesses who said there were ONLY two shots. A number who said they could recall only two but allowed that there could have been another shot e.g. Altgens 7 H 517 who said "I cannot tell you how many shots were in between" the first and last shots; or the Chisms; or Ewell Cowsert; or SA Clint Hill; or SA Paul Landis etc.

Hugh Brennan is considered to be a 2 shot witness but recalled one shot in particular and "definitely heard more than one noise" (FBI report 11/22/63 -Comm. Doc. 5).  SA Glen Bennett is also considered a two shot witness based on his incomplete hand notes.  But in his 11/23/63 written statement Bennett recalled three loud noises. Doris Burns recalled only one shot (she was inside in a hallway on the 3rd floor of the TSBD) but said (6 H 399)  "It must have been the last one because I didn’t hear any more."
« Last Edit: July 31, 2019, 06:52:37 PM by Andrew Mason »

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Re: First shot reactions
« Reply #66 on: July 31, 2019, 06:52:01 PM »


Offline Peter Kleinschmidt

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Re: First shot reactions
« Reply #67 on: July 31, 2019, 08:36:17 PM »
Well then, just who was that girl that was obviously looking back over her right shoulder as the President passed her by in the limousine?


She obviously turns that direction but that does not mean that she looked at the TSBD. If she heard something to cause her to turn that is only part of it. She says many things and is consistent and specific plus she talks about the family's film being tampered with

Offline Andrew Mason

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Re: First shot reactions
« Reply #68 on: July 31, 2019, 08:51:50 PM »

I have no idea what you are talking about.
Your comment was in reply to my original comment in post #69, which has nothing to do with Jackie's expression.

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JBC is turned around as far as he can in z268. To suggest that he is in any way trying to see the President when his head is not even turned rearward is a stretching it an awful lot. Most people can turn their head on their neck.

By the time of Z268 JBC had already been shot. And apparently, as a result of the pain, has also turned his torso to his right and is beginning to fall back towards Nellie. He is apparently looking at the President, however if I remember correctly, he said he never saw the President after he himself had been hit. Perhaps he was in too much pain for it to register in his brain, or he mentally blocked it out.
If you have already concluded that he is turned that way because he was shot, you are doing so solely on the basis of the zfilm which is equivocal on that point.

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The normal accepted range of motion of the neck rotation is 60 to 80 degrees.
I can easily turn my neck 90 degrees to my shoulder and I can turn my shoulders about another 60 degrees, so while sitting down I can turn my head  about 150 degrees (just as we see JBC doing at z268)

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In Z148 JBC's torso is roughly facing the camera and his face is in profile showing the left side.  And  In Z161 JBC's torso is still in roughly facing the camera and his face is in profile showing the right side. Then by Z179 JBC has turned his head back around to his right and his torso is still roughly facing the camera. I am pretty sure that JBC's eyes could independently move left and right, and that he also had some peripheral vision. It is quite obvious to me that in that short 1.69 seconds he is looking around for either the source of the sound or the President, then checking on Nellie, then looking back to his right for the President.
JFK is more than 90 degrees to where JBC is facing.  JBC is looking forward and to the right, not back.  There is no way that he could be trying to see JFK and not be turning his neck.

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You have to reject both all three bodies of evidence simply to cling to the notion of a first shot that missed. There is simply no rational basis for doing that.

Let me ask you if anyone has ever agreed with your idea that all three of the shots from the TSBD sniper's nest hit someone in the limo? I have seen you arguing this for years here in this forum and not seen anyone agree with you. Where is the statistical corroboration from other investigators and researchers for your idea? The first shot missed theory appears to be a rational idea to plenty of people.
Factual accuracy is not a popularity contest. The Connallys certainly believed that all three shots hit in the car and they were arguably in a better position to observe that than anyone on this board.

Many people on this board are, like you, unwilling to consider that the SBT is not required for the LN conclusion. So naturally, you think the evidence must be wrong.  I am just pointing out the evidence is inconsistent with the SBT.   3 of the 7 members of the Warren Commission did not agree with the SBT but agreed with the LN conclusion (as did the Connallys).   The FBI originally thought that all three shots struck in the car and that view continued until March or April 1964.  It was thought that the second shot struck JBC around z275, which is just before Greer makes his first rearward turn (which Greer said he did immediately upon hearing the second shot).  All I am saying is that there is abundant consistent and independent bodies of evidence that support such a conclusion.  You don't have to agree with it.  But your lack of agreement does not make the evidence disappear.

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Re: First shot reactions
« Reply #68 on: July 31, 2019, 08:51:50 PM »


Online Charles Collins

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Re: First shot reactions
« Reply #69 on: July 31, 2019, 11:43:34 PM »

She obviously turns that direction but that does not mean that she looked at the TSBD. If she heard something to cause her to turn that is only part of it. She says many things and is consistent and specific plus she talks about the family's film being tampered with

Well, something broke her total entrancement on the President. I believe that the sound of a rifle shot in her direction would be very likely to do just that.

Offline Royell Storing

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Re: First shot reactions
« Reply #70 on: July 31, 2019, 11:52:48 PM »


You mean this picture?

The Sam Holland I know of started out with ...

    "puff of smoke ... from behind the arcade through the trees"; "I don’t know
     whether it was a shot. I can’t say that"; "a firecracker, or something";
     "could have been the third or fourth [shot]"

By 1966, this had become: "I saw a puff of smoke still lingering among the trees in front of the wooden fence. The report sounded like it came from behind the wooden fence."

LOL! I honor his original truthful account.

By 1966 he was being misled by WC critics into saying things that made no sense. A "puff of smoke" that lingers would be from a cannon. And your "Smoke Cloud" demonstrates how critics have exaggerated Holland's account.

    For starters, that is a Still Frame. In the future, when you "quote" someone such as Holland please supply your source. Again, You previously have been much better than this when discussing this case.

Online Charles Collins

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Re: First shot reactions
« Reply #71 on: August 01, 2019, 12:57:06 AM »
Your comment was in reply to my original comment in post #69, which has nothing to do with Jackie's expression.
If you have already concluded that he is turned that way because he was shot, you are doing so solely on the basis of the zfilm which is equivocal on that point.
I can easily turn my neck 90 degrees to my shoulder and I can turn my shoulders about another 60 degrees, so while sitting down I can turn my head  about 150 degrees (just as we see JBC doing at z268)
JFK is more than 90 degrees to where JBC is facing.  JBC is looking forward and to the right, not back.  There is no way that he could be trying to see JFK and not be turning his neck.
Factual accuracy is not a popularity contest. The Connallys certainly believed that all three shots hit in the car and they were arguably in a better position to observe that than anyone on this board.

Many people on this board are, like you, unwilling to consider that the SBT is not required for the LN conclusion. So naturally, you think the evidence must be wrong.  I am just pointing out the evidence is inconsistent with the SBT.   3 of the 7 members of the Warren Commission did not agree with the SBT but agreed with the LN conclusion (as did the Connallys).   The FBI originally thought that all three shots struck in the car and that view continued until March or April 1964.  It was thought that the second shot struck JBC around z275, which is just before Greer makes his first rearward turn (which Greer said he did immediately upon hearing the second shot).  All I am saying is that there is abundant consistent and independent bodies of evidence that support such a conclusion.  You don't have to agree with it.   But your lack of agreement does not make the evidence disappear.

If you have already concluded that he is turned that way because he was shot, you are doing so solely on the basis of the zfilm which is equivocal on that point.

Not at all.

can easily turn my neck 90 degrees to my shoulder and I can turn my shoulders about another 60 degrees, so while sitting down I can turn my head  about 150 degrees (just as we see JBC doing at z268)

Yes, and I have seen contortionists who can kiss their own asses, but not everyone has that kind of flexibility. JBC was sitting in the jump seat which is inclined backwards a bit. The seat was close to the floorboard and to the back of the front seat so his knees were elevated. This position for the entire motorcade route, the probable subsequent stiffness of his body, and the force of gravity makes it more difficult to turn the torso. Yes, it could be done, however since just turning the neck was quicker and served the same purpose, it apparently wasn't necessary or desirable to also turn his torso.

JBC is looking forward and to the right, not back.

At Z148 Zapruder's camera position is at approximately 28 degrees to the right from the direction the limo is traveling. I would consider this as forward and 28 degrees to the right of JBC. If JBC were looking forward and to the right, the camera would have seen the front of his face. Instead we see JBC's left ear, and the left earpiece of his glasses (in other words his left profile, as I said earlier). Therefore it is reasonable to say that his head is facing approximately 90 degrees to the left of Zapruder's camera line of sight. Add the 28 degrees of Zapruder's position to the 90 degrees of his head position and this puts JBC's head pointed at approximately 118 degrees from the front of the limo. This is definitely looking backwards, not forward and to the right.

Factual accuracy is not a popularity contest.

So, nobody else agrees with you? Shouldn't that tell you something?

The Connallys certainly believed that all three shots hit in the car and they were arguably in a better position to observe that than anyone on this board.

No umpire or referee ever missed a call either  ::). And they are trained to observe activities that they expect to happen and in good positions to observe them. The Connallys were taken by surprise, not trained for observing assassinations, had their backs to JFK and the TSBD, and so on, and so on. We have the advantage of 55 plus years of research and investigations, more photos and films than they had access to at the time, digital technology to enhance images, create 3D models, etc. So I expect that you would be hard pressed to find anyone that would agree with you on that opinion also.

I am just pointing out the evidence is inconsistent with the SBT.

Some of the eyewitness accounts are. You appear to have built your case on that?

But your lack of agreement does not make the evidence disappear.

Neither does your lack of agreement with the photographic evidence make it disappear.
« Last Edit: August 01, 2019, 01:00:11 AM by Charles Collins »

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Re: First shot reactions
« Reply #71 on: August 01, 2019, 12:57:06 AM »