Users Currently Browsing This Topic:
0 Members

Author Topic: Trump supporters and conspiracy theory - Part 2  (Read 469182 times)

Offline Colin Crow

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1860
Re: Trump supporters and conspiracy theory - Part 2
« Reply #1992 on: October 14, 2020, 12:05:55 PM »
Advertisement
Mr Crow: don't sell us short. In the last seven days, Florida alone has 700 deaths. So the figure is closer to 4,000, at the least. (CDC lists deaths by state, but, not total. I'm too tired to do the exact math.) I think you were trying to be very conservative in your estimate, which I do respect.
As to Regeneron, only one study has been released. It's on Regeneron's website, among other places. Only 275 patients, and done on a 1:1:1 basis, i.e. placebo, low dose, high dose, showing marked improvement in symptoms and viral load, most in high dose, a bit less in low dose, as opposed to placebo. Since 275 ÷ 3 = 91.67, basically we're talking about a relatively small sample size, of non hospitalized patients. I was confused by some of the data, but - it seemed? - that they focused on sick patients with non responsive immune system ( no antibodies) and high viral load. All this is good news, with other studies ongoing. However, the focus on non hospitalized patients doesn't tell us anything about, obviously, severely ill/hospitalized patients.
As a non scientist, but avid reader, I would think it's going to be several months, if not longer, before this treatment is approved, and its "cure all" ability is very much in doubt.
Your thoughts?

John, there is a very basic formula for pathogens that all of us in the study of microbial disease recognise. The balance between health and disease of an individual depends on three essential variables. The virulence of the pathogen (its pathogenicity), the dose of the pathogen the individual is exposed to. Obviously the larger the number of exposure the greater chance of disease. Countering these two is the resistance of the host. This can obviously include immunity (innate and acquired) and things that assist in overcoming exposure, therapeutics, passive antibodies (eg regeneron) antibiotics or antivirals. Vaccines play a role prior to exposure.

I am hopeful a vaccine will arrive, likely some time next year and it confers good immunity, is widely distributed and the populations of the world derive much needed relief.

Unfortunately there is much we do not know, scientists generally appreciate this and modifying existing dogma is generally the norm. Most involved in science appreciate this but it can be hard for the general public to appreciate that "experts" are frequently wrong but hopefully provide evidence based advice. There is a balance between the general public trust in science with the realisation that we don’t know everything. Add to that the "spin" invariably applied by the media to gain a greater audience.

JFK Assassination Forum

Re: Trump supporters and conspiracy theory - Part 2
« Reply #1992 on: October 14, 2020, 12:05:55 PM »


Offline John Tonkovich

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 732
Re: Trump supporters and conspiracy theory - Part 2
« Reply #1993 on: October 14, 2020, 03:11:02 PM »
John, there is a very basic formula for pathogens that all of us in the study of microbial disease recognise. The balance between health and disease of an individual depends on three essential variables. The virulence of the pathogen (its pathogenicity), the dose of the pathogen the individual is exposed to. Obviously the larger the number of exposure the greater chance of disease. Countering these two is the resistance of the host. This can obviously include immunity (innate and acquired) and things that assist in overcoming exposure, therapeutics, passive antibodies (eg regeneron) antibiotics or antivirals. Vaccines play a role prior to exposure.

I am hopeful a vaccine will arrive, likely some time next year and it confers good immunity, is widely distributed and the populations of the world derive much needed relief.

Unfortunately there is much we do not know, scientists generally appreciate this and modifying existing dogma is generally the norm. Most involved in science appreciate this but it can be hard for the general public to appreciate that "experts" are frequently wrong but hopefully provide evidence based advice. There is a balance between the general public trust in science with the realisation that we don’t know everything. Add to that the "spin" invariably applied by the media to gain a greater audience.
Mr Crow: thanks for the response.
While I was aware that you are a real "man of science ", as opposed to our President,, did not know that this is your specific field of study. ( Unlike the political hack Dr Atlas, whose specialty is...radiology. Ha!)

If I understand correctly, you seem to be suggesting that therapeutics are helpful, but merely a ( minor ) stopgap when looking " big picture". Until an effective - and safe vaccine is developed, the U.S., especially, and the world, in general, are in a very bad place.

Offline Martin Weidmann

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 7444
Re: Trump supporters and conspiracy theory - Part 2
« Reply #1994 on: October 14, 2020, 04:08:16 PM »
What a magnificent day for Trump.  He overcomes the virus, returns to the campaign, restores calm in the face of panic, his Supreme Court nominee performs perfectly.  Meanwhile Old Joe announced he is running for the senate.  LOL.  He also could not remember Mitt Romney's name.  Called him the "Mormon."  Wow.   And "Crazy" Nancy went wild on CNN almost inducing a seizure when asked about her efforts to deny virus relief to Americans before the election.  I haven't seen anyone shake like that since Katherine Hepburn near the end of her life.

LOL... Trump loses in the courts time after time. First with his taxreturns and now his latest loss is the wall, which he has to stop building because he has been using defense funds for the wrong purpose. He knows he's going down.... begging for suburban women to love him and alienating senior citizens by doctoring Joe Biden's picture and placing him in a wheel chair. The guy is losing it completely.

And it's getting better and better. Durham can not produce any kind of a report prior to the election (which probably means there's nothing of significance there) and Bill Barr has just been forced to admit that under Obama no illegal unmasking has taken place.... The explosion you possibly hear in the background is Trump imploding....

No plan for the future, no strategy and no record of any significance to stand on.....When all you have to run on is complaints about the age of your opponent and fearmongering, you've really lost already!
« Last Edit: October 14, 2020, 10:26:13 PM by Martin Weidmann »

JFK Assassination Forum

Re: Trump supporters and conspiracy theory - Part 2
« Reply #1994 on: October 14, 2020, 04:08:16 PM »


Offline Colin Crow

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1860
Re: Trump supporters and conspiracy theory - Part 2
« Reply #1995 on: October 14, 2020, 04:24:43 PM »
Mr Crow: thanks for the response.
While I was aware that you are a real "man of science ", as opposed to our President,, did not know that this is your specific field of study. ( Unlike the political hack Dr Atlas, whose specialty is...radiology. Ha!)

If I understand correctly, you seem to be suggesting that therapeutics are helpful, but merely a ( minor ) stopgap when looking " big picture". Until an effective - and safe vaccine is developed, the U.S., especially, and the world, in general, are in a very bad place.

I have PhD in Microbiology and was Assoc Professor at a sandstone University here until earlier this year when I retired after 40 years.

Therapeutics are useful but the goal is to prevent disease causing infection in the first place. Therefore effective inexpensive vaccines will always be ideal.

Offline John Iacoletti

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10882
Re: Trump supporters and conspiracy theory - Part 2
« Reply #1996 on: October 14, 2020, 10:59:15 PM »
To summarize federal law enforcement under President Trump conducted the investigation and made the arrest safeguarding a political foe.  But Trump is somehow responsible!  LOL.


JFK Assassination Forum

Re: Trump supporters and conspiracy theory - Part 2
« Reply #1996 on: October 14, 2020, 10:59:15 PM »


Offline John Iacoletti

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10882
Re: Trump supporters and conspiracy theory - Part 2
« Reply #1997 on: October 14, 2020, 11:02:29 PM »
Keep spinning.  You made a silly comparison.  When it was pointed out that Kantala has suggested that Old Joe was a racist and molester of women, you posted videos of a bunch of republicans criticizing Trump.

Wow.  First you said she "claimed" it.  Now it's "suggested".  Same game you play here when you misquote somebody.  You sure are a piece of work, "Richard".

Offline John Iacoletti

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10882
Re: Trump supporters and conspiracy theory - Part 2
« Reply #1998 on: October 14, 2020, 11:05:15 PM »
John, from what we "know", Trump arrived late for the debate and too late to be tested. They relied on the honour system.

Trump has no honour.  Everybody should know that by now.

Offline John Iacoletti

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10882
Re: Trump supporters and conspiracy theory - Part 2
« Reply #1999 on: October 14, 2020, 11:09:27 PM »
LOL.  That sounds very "scientific."  What medication does your friend attribute to Old Joe's confusion that he is running for senate and his inability to remember Mitt Romney's name?  Instead referring to him as the "Mormon."

"California is going to have to ration water. You know why? Because they send millions of gallons of water out to sea, out to the Pacific, because they want to take care of certain little tiny fish that aren't doing very well without water."

JFK Assassination Forum

Re: Trump supporters and conspiracy theory - Part 2
« Reply #1999 on: October 14, 2020, 11:09:27 PM »