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Author Topic: The First Shot  (Read 167078 times)

Offline Andrew Mason

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Re: The First Shot
« Reply #896 on: May 04, 2022, 04:28:49 PM »
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So Harold Norman , the witness right beneath the gunman is a liar? He really just heard 2 shots?

Was Norman forced to state a sequence where he heard a shot , saw the president slump and then heard 2 more shots?

Why did Norman appear in several videos and even a mock trial to replicate consistently how he heard all 3 shots fired in approx  4 secs. You can verify this by timing his “boom clack clack” phrase  repetition.

To me the only reason the WC imtroduced the idea of an early 1st shot at z170 approx was that they knew it wasn’t plausible that 3 shots could have been fired in a 4.8 sec interval of time as indicated by reactions of JFK and Connally at  Z223  and the obvious hit at Z313 .

Obviously  the WC knew they couldn’t get away with suggesting that only 2 shots were fired, otherwise they WOULD have. They would have  gleefully avoided a 3 shot scenario in favor of a 2 shot in 4.8 sec. The overwhelming majority of witness hearing 3 shots forced the WC to their absurd 1st shot missed at Z170 theory so they could get an 8.3 sec spread to convince the public that  the use of an MC bolt action rifle by a lone gunman was   plausible.
The WC did not conclude that the first shot missed. The majority was of the view that it did not miss.

The majority appeared to conclude that one of the shots missed (see: The Shot That Missed section in the WR) but could not decide which missed since there was evidence indicating that each shot did not miss. Three of the 7 members privately disagreed with the SBT (Boggs, Russell and Cooper) and at least one member, McCloy, was of the view that the first shot struck both JFK and JBC. So that means at least 4 members, a majority, privately held the view that the first shot did not miss.

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Re: The First Shot
« Reply #896 on: May 04, 2022, 04:28:49 PM »


Offline Steve Barber

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Re: The First Shot
« Reply #897 on: May 04, 2022, 08:04:51 PM »
So Harold Norman , the witness right beneath the gunman is a liar? He really just heard 2 shots?

Was Norman forced to state a sequence where he heard a shot , saw the president slump and then heard 2 more shots?

Why did Norman appear in several videos and even a mock trial to replicate consistently how he heard all 3 shots fired in approx  4 secs. You can verify this by timing his “boom clack clack” phrase  repetition.

To me the only reason the WC imtroduced the idea of an early 1st shot at z170 approx was that they knew it wasn’t plausible that 3 shots could have been fired in a 4.8 sec interval of time as indicated by reactions of JFK and Connally at  Z223  and the obvious hit at Z313 .

Obviously  the WC knew they couldn’t get away with suggesting that only 2 shots were fired, otherwise they WOULD have. They would have  gleefully avoided a 3 shot scenario in favor of a 2 shot in 4.8 sec. The overwhelming majority of witness hearing 3 shots forced the WC to their absurd 1st shot missed at Z170 theory so they could get an 8.3 sec spread to convince the public that  the use of an MC bolt action rifle by a lone gunman was   plausible.

 You're confusing the WC with the HSCA.  The HSCA said the first shot missed and named the Z frame Z 170 as the first shot.  The WC said the shots were fired in 5.8 seconds, not 8.3. 

Offline Jack Nessan

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Re: The First Shot
« Reply #898 on: May 05, 2022, 03:48:55 PM »
Yet Nicol is talking about doing what you say only an imbecile would do:

"And it was on the basis of the match of these patterns that I would conclude that this cartridge had been introduced into a chamber at least three times prior to its final firing. So that this would represent, you might say, a practice or dry-run loading the gun and unloading it for purpose of either determining its-how it functions, or whether it was in proper function, or just for practice.'

How many times can a cartridge be "fired" so that it has two such firings before the "final firing"?

Normally "dry-firing" would be firing the gun without any ammunition in the chamber.  But Eisenberg seems to be using the term 'dry-firing' as 'dry loading and unloading'.  He is suggesting that ejector marks found on the shell could have been produced by "dry-firing" as opposed to "actual firing" (3 H 510):

Mr. EISENBERG. Now, again, if it is an ejector mark, might the difference have been caused by the fact that it may have been associated with a dry firing rather than an actual firing?
Mr. NICOL. That might be possible.

Now, when a cartridge is actually fired, only the shell is ejected.  So he is suggesting that it was ejected as something other than an empty shell.
The HSCA analysis was seriously flawed.  No one reported having difficulty hearing distinct shots.  Echos will vary with observers who are all over the place.  If ear-witnesses were fooled by echos, they would have over-estimated or "inflated" the number of shots as they suggest. The HSCA was trying to argue that there were more shots than the witnesses recalled hearing. 

Most observers recalled that the last two shots were closer than the first two but still distinct.  Many indicated that the space between 2 and 3 was about half that between 1 and 2. 

If you are arguing that the last two shots were really a shot and an echo, the witness perception of the time between them would vary widely depending on their positions.  That isn't the case.  And if there was more than a second between them, which most said was the case, the reflecting surface providing the echo would have to be more than 565 feet farther away from the source  than the observer was (so that the reflected sound travelled 1130 feet longer to reach the observer).  What large reflecting surfaces in Dealey Plaza were 565 farther away from an observer than the 6th floor TSBD SN? The only one I can think of was the Post Office Building south of Commerce St. 

Also, if the witnesses heard an echo from the shots and there were only two shots, they would have been fooled into reporting 4 shots because there is no reason to believe that they would hear the echo only on the second of two shots.

Finally, most witnesses were within 300 feet of the SN.  So any echo at least 1 second after the shot will have travelled at least an additional 1130 feet or more than 4 times farther (1330/300=4.4) which means it would be much less loud than the initial sound (1/20th at most).  The witnesses did not observe this.  They heard similar shots.

If the concept of dry firing is confusing to you maybe don't post about it. First you were talking about cycling all the shells, now I guess just one. Nicol and Eisenberg are talking about cartridge "case", in other words the shell.

Mason:
"Your understanding of "dry firing" and Nicol's are different. Nicol explained that dry firing is simply working the bullets from the clip through the chamber and unloading without pressing the trigger."

Here is the rest of Nicol's testimony that you did not post for obvious reasons.

Mr. Eisenberg.
Now, is it possible that the reason the marks were present on this cartridge but not on the other cartridge case on this cartridge case but not on the other cartridge cases you examined--is because these marks were produced by dry firing as opposed to actual firing?
Mr. Nicol.
This is possible. The weight of the empty shell would be different of course from one which had a projectile in it, so that its dynamics might be different, and it might produce a different mark-- although in the absence of accessibility of the weapon, or the absence of these marks on the tests, I really am unable to say what is the precise origin of those marks, except to speculate that they are probably from the extractor, and that the second mark that appears here, which I have indicated with a similar number, is probably an ejector mark.
Now, this, I might add, is a different type of ejector mark than the mark found on the rim from the normal firing of these tests and the evidence cartridges.
Mr. Eisenberg.
Now, you stated that another mark appeared in all three associated in juxtaposition with the three marks you have been describing?
Mr. Nicol.
Yes; and in the same angular relationship to a radii through the center of the head.
Mr. Eisenberg.
Now, again, if it is an ejector mark, might the difference have been caused by the fact that it may have been associated with a dry firing rather than an actual firing?
Mr. Nicol.
That might be possible.
Mr. Eisenberg.
Do you think a person would apply a different bolt pressure in a dry firing as opposed to an actual firing?
Mr. Nicol.
Well, since this is a manually operated weapon, it is quite possible that no two operations are done with exactly the same force. However, with reasonable reproduceability, all these marks appear to the same depth and to the same extent, so that it would appear that whatever produced them operated in identically the same fashion.

-----------------------------

The child like pseudo math aside, if you choose to ignore the conclusions of the HSCA about their own report that is your business. Offering your opinion on the subject does not change the fact that both the HSCA and WC believed the witnesses had been influenced to inflate the number of shots. You have never presented a single piece of evidence that they were wrong.


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Re: The First Shot
« Reply #898 on: May 05, 2022, 03:48:55 PM »


Offline Jack Nessan

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Re: The First Shot
« Reply #899 on: May 05, 2022, 03:52:21 PM »
So Harold Norman , the witness right beneath the gunman is a liar? He really just heard 2 shots?

Was Norman forced to state a sequence where he heard a shot , saw the president slump and then heard 2 more shots?

Why did Norman appear in several videos and even a mock trial to replicate consistently how he heard all 3 shots fired in approx  4 secs. You can verify this by timing his “boom clack clack” phrase  repetition.

To me the only reason the WC imtroduced the idea of an early 1st shot at z170 approx was that they knew it wasn’t plausible that 3 shots could have been fired in a 4.8 sec interval of time as indicated by reactions of JFK and Connally at  Z223  and the obvious hit at Z313 .

Obviously  the WC knew they couldn’t get away with suggesting that only 2 shots were fired, otherwise they WOULD have. They would have  gleefully avoided a 3 shot scenario in favor of a 2 shot in 4.8 sec. The overwhelming majority of witness hearing 3 shots forced the WC to their absurd 1st shot missed at Z170 theory so they could get an 8.3 sec spread to convince the public that  the use of an MC bolt action rifle by a lone gunman was   plausible.

Norman waited 4 days to make a statement and did not add the sound of the shells untill 12/4. BR Williams stated there was just two shots within minutes of the assassination. Who to believe? Jarman has the second shot as the headshot on 11/23.

Offline Andrew Mason

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Re: The First Shot
« Reply #900 on: May 06, 2022, 05:36:45 PM »

The child like pseudo math aside, if you choose to ignore the conclusions of the HSCA about their own report that is your business. Offering your opinion on the subject does not change the fact that both the HSCA and WC believed the witnesses had been influenced to inflate the number of shots. You have never presented a single piece of evidence that they were wrong.
If the concept of echo is confusing to you, perhaps you shouldn't write about it.  You are right, the math is simple but if you think it is pseudo math, perhaps you shouldn't write about math either.

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Re: The First Shot
« Reply #900 on: May 06, 2022, 05:36:45 PM »


Offline Jack Nessan

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Re: The First Shot
« Reply #901 on: May 07, 2022, 06:10:30 AM »
If the concept of echo is confusing to you, perhaps you shouldn't write about it.  You are right, the math is simple but if you think it is pseudo math, perhaps you shouldn't write about math either.

You forgot childlike. Pseudo math is being kind and it is definitely a childlike understanding.

Offline Andrew Mason

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Re: The First Shot
« Reply #902 on: May 07, 2022, 09:53:31 PM »
You forgot childlike. Pseudo math is being kind and it is definitely a childlike understanding.
You are right.  The physics of echos child-like simple. But you may have missed the grade 9 science lesson on the speed of sound in air and how echos work: echo delay=path difference ÷ speed of sound.   The path difference is just: reflected path - direct path.

If you disagree or think the math is wrong,  point out the error and dispense with the infantile pejoratives.

Offline Jack Nessan

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Re: The First Shot
« Reply #903 on: May 09, 2022, 03:08:39 PM »
You are right.  The physics of echos child-like simple. But you may have missed the grade 9 science lesson on the speed of sound in air and how echos work: echo delay=path difference ÷ speed of sound.   The path difference is just: reflected path - direct path.

If you disagree or think the math is wrong,  point out the error and dispense with the infantile pejoratives.

No, it is a complex issue. You have approached it with simple mindedness. You have been unable to understand the shooting sequence, maybe it would be best to concentrate on that.

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Re: The First Shot
« Reply #903 on: May 09, 2022, 03:08:39 PM »