U.S. Politics

[Richard Smith]

In the elections since Roe v Wade was overturned in the summer of 2020, the polls keep saying that the Republicans will do well. But in the real elections, the November 2022 elections and the other special elections, the Republicans do much worse than the polls said they would.

The polls keep saying that Trump is even or even a little ahead of Biden. But I expect the same pattern to continue. Trump will do significantly worse than the polls indicate.

Trump's best chance of victory is not to win the popular vote. Nor is it to lose the popular vote but win in the Electoral College. Trump's best chance of victory is to overturn the election after November 5, 2024. Through getting local officials to throw out votes wholesale, maybe all votes from certain counties, getting state legislatures to overturn the vote or getting congress to overturn the vote. I think this time there will be less emphasis of using the courts, which got them nowhere last time despite a 6-3 conservative Supreme Court. And no massive assault on Congress on January 6 since they need surprise.

Also, voter suppression and intimidation will be used.

In the meantime, the MAGA motto should be: In Land-Line-Phone-Polls we trust.

It's true that republicans have underperformed.  The leftist media has spun the abortion issue as the cause of recent disappointments for the republicans but that is largely a false narrative.  The underlying media narrative that Republicans have "banned" abortion is demonstrably false misinformation.  Not unlike "banning books" while merely making common sense efforts to ensure that age-appropriate books are in schools.  Overturning Roe was simply a long overdue and straightforward legal issue.  There is no right to an abortion in the Constitution.  Therefore, it is up to the states to make those laws.  A more important factor is "early" voting which has allowed Dems to harvest ballots from millions of students and minorities.  Many of whom don't support Biden and wouldn't otherwise vote for him.  As a result, Republicans have to win elections by about a 60-40 margin.

[Joe Elliott]

It's true that republicans have underperformed.  The leftist media has spun the abortion issue as the cause of recent disappointments for the republicans but that is largely a false narrative.  The underlying media narrative that Republicans have "banned" abortion is demonstrably false misinformation.  Not unlike "banning books" while merely making common sense efforts to ensure that age-appropriate books are in schools.  Overturning Roe was simply a long overdue and straightforward legal issue.  There is no right to an abortion in the Constitution.  Therefore, it is up to the states to make those laws.  A more important factor is "early" voting which has allowed Dems to harvest ballots from millions of students and minorities.  Many of whom don't support Biden and wouldn't otherwise vote for him.  As a result, Republicans have to win elections by about a 60-40 margin.

Republicans are not capable of winning 60-40. The Republicans best hope is losing 48-52 but having the election overturn by local officials, state legislatures and congress, like they tried in 2020. The more votes they can suppress, the closer they can make the election, the greater their odds of succeeding. The Republicans have a lot more time to think about how to do this. But the Democrats have a lot more time to think about to foil them. We shall see how this turns out. But be aware than they are millions determined to save Democracy and we are going to do a lot more work than we do in a regular election.

[Richard Smith]

More devastating poll numbers for Dirty Joe this week.  Even the leftist NY Times has him trailing in almost every swing state.  In many states by 5 or more points.   His support among minorities and younger people is cratering under his disastrous economic policies that are crushing lower income individuals.   They have Trump up 12 points in Nevada, 10 points in Georgia, and 7 points in Michigan and Arizona. Trump is even ahead in PA.  Wow.  I don't underestimate the ability of Dems to harvest ballots to narrow those margins but those are grim numbers for Old Joe. 

[Richard Smith]

The current trial against Trump is one of the greatest travesties in American politics.  They tell us it is not about politics, then bring in a person from Biden's AG's office to lead the prosecution.  There is no crime.  Literally.  They haven't even named it.  The star witnesses are a porn star and person convicted of perjury.   You can't make that up.  No one can believe these charges would have been brought against anyone except Trump.  The sole purpose is tie him up in court and hope to get at least one felony conviction from a biased leftist jury.  The case is so weak they may not even get that.  Politically, the entire circus has blown up on the Dems.  Trump is making fools of them.  Surging in the polls.  Exposing their corruption and election interference.  No other person in the history of politics could have withstood all the forces that the corrupt establishment have thrown at him.  Non-stop media slander, use of the legal system, threats of prison, millions in lawsuits.  Trump is not intimidated by any of this.  He may be the last person in American history who is not under the thumb of the corrupt establishment.  One last hope before the country goes to ruin.

[Richard Smith]

Old Joe must be getting really desperate proposing to debate Trump.  The poll numbers have frightened him out of the basement and off the beach.  It's a smart move.  Given how low the expectations are for him, all he has to do is avoid soiling himself or falling off the stage and the media will do the rest.  What will be the buzz word the leftist media circulates to all the outlets to describe his performance:  "stamina," "fiery," "forceful," "presidential."  LOL.   Trump will characterized as "ranting" and "incoherent." 

[Richard Smith]

What a devastating day for the anti-Trump haters.  LOL.  Cohen was exposed for a corrupt, lying scumbag.  Even the liberal media is in a meltdown.  No possible way of a conviction even with a radical leftist jury. This is Russian collusion 2.0 when they rolled out dementia Mueller to confirm that was a hoax.  Where are the apologies for this travesty?   

[Richard Smith]

Cohen admitted to stealing $60K from Trump today.  What else does he have to admit to having done to have this case dismissed?  Murder?  It's a travesty.  Even Old Joe in the midst of a paranoid dementia delusion should be able to comprehend that this is awful.

[Richard Smith]

Old Joe is lagging in the polls with African Americans.  Particularly males.  So he goes to Morehouse to tell them that democracy doesn't work for them.  Huh?  These are graduates of a prestigious university who will go on to great careers.  But according to Sleepy Joe they are living in a racist society with no hope.